Time to buy the stock market?

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

[quote=stockstradr]FormerSanDiegan,

4plexowner’s post was VERY sharp, very insightful. I say that 4plexowner is NOT confused and is correct with that post.

Some of the most legendary, decades-long-stellar track record hedge fund managers have same analysis on 2000 to 2007 period as 4plexowner’s post.

Their view is that great bear market (and great depression) began with the dot com market crash (but that decline was not allowed to run its natural course, it was instead artificially “kicked forward” to now.

But now we don’t have any ammo left to kick the can forward some more.[/quote]

I agree that we entered a secular bear in 2000 and that the Fed’s response to the stock market bubble collapse did lead to the further inflation of the housing bubble.

My point is that his statement that “we just finished a 25 year bull market in US equities” is
false.

How could we have just finished a 25 year bull market in equities, when a mere 6 years ago we had just experienced a 40-50% decline in equities ?

His assertion that “to think that a 25 year bull market can be corrected in 15 months is fairly amusing” is misleading since, in fact the bull run ended in 2000 and we have been in a secular bear market for 8-9 years, not 15 months.

[4plexowner]

yeah, I guess I’m wrong

all the charts that show the Dow reaching its all time high in late 2007 must be wrong as well

[4plexowner]

yeah, I guess I’m wrong

all the charts that show the Dow reaching its all time high in late 2007 must be wrong as well

[4plexowner]

yeah, I guess I’m wrong

all the charts that show the Dow reaching its all time high in late 2007 must be wrong as well

[4plexowner]

yeah, I guess I’m wrong

all the charts that show the Dow reaching its all time high in late 2007 must be wrong as well

[4plexowner]

yeah, I guess I’m wrong

all the charts that show the Dow reaching its all time high in late 2007 must be wrong as well

[4plexowner]

“Over the last 30 years, the Dow’s January performance has correctly predicted the direction of the full year ahead an amazing 87% of the time.”

from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

[4plexowner]

“Over the last 30 years, the Dow’s January performance has correctly predicted the direction of the full year ahead an amazing 87% of the time.”

from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

[4plexowner]

“Over the last 30 years, the Dow’s January performance has correctly predicted the direction of the full year ahead an amazing 87% of the time.”

from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

[4plexowner]

“Over the last 30 years, the Dow’s January performance has correctly predicted the direction of the full year ahead an amazing 87% of the time.”

from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

[4plexowner]

“Over the last 30 years, the Dow’s January performance has correctly predicted the direction of the full year ahead an amazing 87% of the time.”

from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

[4plexowner]

“In fact, the recent five-month decline of 31% was the sharpest five months of losses since the bear market of 1937.”

again, from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

notice he didn’t say, “… since the bear market of 2000-2003”

and 31% decline in 5 months!!!

how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???

[4plexowner]

“In fact, the recent five-month decline of 31% was the sharpest five months of losses since the bear market of 1937.”

again, from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

notice he didn’t say, “… since the bear market of 2000-2003”

and 31% decline in 5 months!!!

how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???

[4plexowner]

“In fact, the recent five-month decline of 31% was the sharpest five months of losses since the bear market of 1937.”

again, from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

notice he didn’t say, “… since the bear market of 2000-2003”

and 31% decline in 5 months!!!

how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???

[4plexowner]

“In fact, the recent five-month decline of 31% was the sharpest five months of losses since the bear market of 1937.”

again, from Richard Russell’s Feb 2 missive

notice he didn’t say, “… since the bear market of 2000-2003”

and 31% decline in 5 months!!!

how’s that buy-and-hold strategy working out for ya’???

[Author]

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