Stagflation Strategy?

[moneymaker]

I just realized this morning that investing is truly analagous to surfing. Everybody is out there hoping for the big one. Only if you are skilled, in the right place ,at the right time and know how to paddle(work it) then you can catch a pretty nice ride. Everybody else is just bobbing with the swell. My experience tells me that when 2 waves are too close together they tend to cannabalize each other, oh yeah by the way I just drank a landshark beer, So! Many a time I have caught that first big wave only to find out that there is a whole set of waves coming in behind it. Analogously if you invest too much money in opportunity A then you miss opportunity B,C and D. Now the trick is when do you start counting waves. Generally there will be a calm,or sucking sound(like right before the tsunami), I call it the trough. I think we had a trough in 2008, then stocks went up(wave#1), then gold went up(wave#2), now we are ready for wave #3, except as every surfer knows you still have to look out over the horizon to see if that big one is really coming. And if it is sometimes you have to paddle pretty hard to get out there and meet it before it crashes down on top of you. My guess is that wave #3 is wait… wait… yes… real estate. For an investor now is probably a good time to invest. Now I don’t have a clue about the location, perhaps not San Diego but my gut tells me interest rates aren’t going much lower.

[CA renter]

Good question, bubblesitter. Wish we had a crystal ball.

One thing I’ve been very wrong on this past decade was interest rates. Everything says rates should be going up (should have been since 2008), but they are stomping on the gas pedal in an effort to keep rates this low. My decision over the past couple of years to hold cash hasn’t really worked very well for us, that’s for sure.

Maybe high dividend paying stocks? Those have had a pretty good run, though. Maybe RE, but there are so many potential headwinds pushing against it.

This is a very sucky time to be an investor!

[CA renter]

Good question, bubblesitter. Wish we had a crystal ball.

One thing I’ve been very wrong on this past decade was interest rates. Everything says rates should be going up (should have been since 2008), but they are stomping on the gas pedal in an effort to keep rates this low. My decision over the past couple of years to hold cash hasn’t really worked very well for us, that’s for sure.

Maybe high dividend paying stocks? Those have had a pretty good run, though. Maybe RE, but there are so many potential headwinds pushing against it.

This is a very sucky time to be an investor!

[CA renter]

Good question, bubblesitter. Wish we had a crystal ball.

One thing I’ve been very wrong on this past decade was interest rates. Everything says rates should be going up (should have been since 2008), but they are stomping on the gas pedal in an effort to keep rates this low. My decision over the past couple of years to hold cash hasn’t really worked very well for us, that’s for sure.

Maybe high dividend paying stocks? Those have had a pretty good run, though. Maybe RE, but there are so many potential headwinds pushing against it.

This is a very sucky time to be an investor!

[CA renter]

Good question, bubblesitter. Wish we had a crystal ball.

One thing I’ve been very wrong on this past decade was interest rates. Everything says rates should be going up (should have been since 2008), but they are stomping on the gas pedal in an effort to keep rates this low. My decision over the past couple of years to hold cash hasn’t really worked very well for us, that’s for sure.

Maybe high dividend paying stocks? Those have had a pretty good run, though. Maybe RE, but there are so many potential headwinds pushing against it.

This is a very sucky time to be an investor!

[CA renter]

Good question, bubblesitter. Wish we had a crystal ball.

One thing I’ve been very wrong on this past decade was interest rates. Everything says rates should be going up (should have been since 2008), but they are stomping on the gas pedal in an effort to keep rates this low. My decision over the past couple of years to hold cash hasn’t really worked very well for us, that’s for sure.

Maybe high dividend paying stocks? Those have had a pretty good run, though. Maybe RE, but there are so many potential headwinds pushing against it.

This is a very sucky time to be an investor!

[Author]

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