- This topic has 43 replies, 7 voices, and was last updated 3 years, 7 months ago by FlyerInHi.
August 30, 2017 at 11:12 AM #22403
What are the chances of the following scenario?
(1) North Korea launches a test missile or five.
(2) One or more end up off course towards Russia
(3) Russia shoots their wad in North Korea’s direction
(4) The Chinese think that the launch is intended at them, launch at Russia
(5) US sees missiles flying around, jumps into the game
(6) The only way to win is not to play
Scary s**t, makes me want to move to Argentina.August 30, 2017 at 12:01 PM #807762zkParticipant
Scary s**t, makes me want to move to Argentina.[/quote]
Now when I hear “GOAL ARGENTINA!!!!” I’ll hear “Goal: Agentina.”August 30, 2017 at 1:50 PM #807763FlyerInHiGuest
North Korea is just testing Trump and crossing his redlines.
I’m willing to bet that China is telling North Korea to launch the missiles.
What is Trump doing? Nothing.
I don’t see any danger at all other than the US having to acquiesce to North Korea having nuclear weapons and sending more defense to South Korea.
Read Graham Allison’s book Thucydites’ Trap. China is the rising power and it wants the established power to spend all its wealth on the military. Afghanistan, Iraq. Isis, terrorism, the wall… Trump surrounded by generals…August 30, 2017 at 2:19 PM #807765
It’s all a game until someone (or some computer) misinterprets it as a real threat and the missiles start flying.August 30, 2017 at 3:55 PM #807768FlyerInHiGuest
Spd, the scenario you described would be pretext for the US to attack preemptively.
We know that North Korea won’t attack first. But they will respond to a US attack. We would have to send 1/2 million troops to the Korean Peninsula in case of war.
China is going for a freeze-for-freeze and that’s the only way they will help negotiate. As Steve Bannon said, North Korea got us. Our options are rather limited. And Trump’s bluster and redlines have limited the options even more.August 30, 2017 at 4:58 PM #807769The-ShovelerParticipant
Our position will just get worse (so will the whole worlds) the longer it goes on.
Don’t kid yourself China is really in a much worse position than we are when it comes to Nk and they are not happy about it.
How do we deal with a NK with capable sub’s?
There are no good options.
And no we can’t stop playing (they will absolutely never stop no matter what we do)
The country that is being extorted the most is China.October 5, 2017 at 3:20 PM #808049FlyerInHiGuest
So adding to the danger, Trump is decertifying Iran to show his base how badass he is.
Now, the Republican Congress will likely do nothing and uphold the deal creating a rift in the Republican Party. It will be fun to watch.
Or if Congress reimposes sanctions, we may see Iran with “nukular” weapons.October 9, 2017 at 7:46 AM #808096FlyerInHiGuest
I sense an upcoming war and recession. Make sure your finances allow you to withstand and prosper despite a recession. Make sure your kids don’t join the military.
Corker: Trump leading U.S. ‘on the path to World War III’October 9, 2017 at 7:52 AM #808097
Trump is too much of a narcissist to want to perish in a nuclear holocaust.October 9, 2017 at 11:42 AM #808102FlyerInHiGuest
[quote=spdrun]Trump is too much of a narcissist to want to perish in a nuclear holocaust.[/quote]
True. But do you sense a Trump induced recession coming?October 9, 2017 at 12:33 PM #808103
No, I sense another business cycle coming. We give Presidents too much credit or blame.October 9, 2017 at 1:24 PM #808104SK in CVParticipant
We are always in a business cycle.October 9, 2017 at 1:32 PM #808105The-ShovelerParticipant
I Think it is more about the demographic cycle.
The biggest bulge US population is 26 years old.
That should keep things humming IMO for a few more years (well in absence of WAR anyway).
They have not started evacuating S.Korea so I would not be worrying too much until that starts happening.October 9, 2017 at 5:20 PM #808109
Plenty of recessions worldwide have been combined with high youth unemployment.October 9, 2017 at 11:40 PM #808115FlyerInHiGuest
spdrun, you said before that we are due for a recession. And plenty of people say that high govt spending, debt, etc, is not sustainable, blah blah.. people even said 2009 stimulus after recession would lead to much worse. I wanna know when.
Shoveler, I agree with you with regard to demographics. People are moving to large metros and developers are not building basic apartments. They concentrate on luxury apartments that bring higher rents.
I just bought another urban condo for a little double what it would have been at the bottom of the market. But I can still get good returns. Anyway, I don’t think we’ll get a bad recession in the next couple years. But business cycle wise, we are due for a recession. And with a moron in the White House……
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