- This topic has 59 replies, 16 voices, and was last updated 9 years ago by
flyer.
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June 17, 2015 at 4:22 PM #21578June 17, 2015 at 6:00 PM #787322
The-Shoveler
ParticipantSee nothing to worry about.
Just kidding.
But really I think the current issue in SoCal is builders not keeping up with population growth.
We need to get more people to move to Texas.
June 17, 2015 at 6:05 PM #787323spdrun
ParticipantOr to the unpopulated parts of CA …
June 18, 2015 at 5:21 AM #787324flyer
ParticipantI think appreciation will continue in all of the most desirable areas–especially since there is so little, if any, buildable land left within 0-15 miles of the CA coast.
Of course, anything can happen in the future, so it will definitely be fascinating to watch how this plays out as compared to other locations around the country.
June 18, 2015 at 9:44 AM #787326poorgradstudent
ParticipantEh, I’m in the camp that current prices in San Diego County are sane, albeit slightly high. I know some people around here are calling this another bubble, but to me it looks nothing like 2005.
June 18, 2015 at 10:28 AM #787327Rich Toscano
KeymasterIn SD anyway, I feel like they got back to normal more than 5 years ago:
June 18, 2015 at 10:34 AM #787328The-Shoveler
ParticipantIMO the only level that matters is the level the Fed can live with.
That is the level where foreclosures are not killing the banks and and the economy moves (and the State can afford to pay it’s bills).
That is the level the fed (for better or worse) will force which ever way it can to occur.
anyway IMO.
June 18, 2015 at 12:20 PM #787331Anonymous
GuestEven if the current value is at the historical mean, median, whatever…there really is no normal.
June 18, 2015 at 12:49 PM #787333FlyerInHi
GuestThe Fed will be increasing rates this year.
We also have the comeuppance from profligate spending and currency debasement people talked about.
June 18, 2015 at 12:59 PM #787334spdrun
ParticipantIt’s interesting that Yellen said that she would have increased rates FASTER than her predecessors in years past today.
June 18, 2015 at 1:48 PM #787337The-Shoveler
ParticipantIMO the Fed will only raise rates if the market can bear it.
if there is any sign of pain, they will reverse course and add gas.
they will error on the side of inflation.
as always IMO anyway.
June 18, 2015 at 2:10 PM #787340FlyerInHi
Guest[quote=The-Shoveler]IMO the Fed will only raise rates if the market can bear it.
if there is any sign of pain, they will reverse course and add gas.
they will error on the side of inflation.
as always IMO anyway.[/quote]
I keep on hearing about the Fed losing control and then we end up with hyper inflation. But the same people talk about Greece which is experiencing internal deflation.
Inflation, deflation, let’s call the whole thing off
but oh, if we call the whole thing off then we must partJune 18, 2015 at 3:02 PM #787338spdrun
ParticipantLook at late 2011. The Fed did eventually reverse course, but not before things over-corrected to the down side by 20% or so.
The time between Fed meetings is enough time for something bad or good (depending on your POV) to happen.
June 18, 2015 at 3:29 PM #787344flyer
ParticipantIt seems the Fed will float the game by varying degrees as long as they can, and, that could be a long time.
Imo, the best plan is to be prepared for whatever direction things go.
June 18, 2015 at 5:59 PM #787346joec
ParticipantI think after the Fed gets off 0, if at all, they will probably hold for a while. 0 or negative rates just isn’t good in general for a normal economy.
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