A monkey named George

[rankandfile]

Isn’t Duke Cunningham rotting in a prison right now for doing the same thing? Is it me or is this a serious offense (if it is true)? Have any of the other media outlets been notified of this? Are the people at VoiceOfSanDiego working on it?

[ocrenter]

I varified the sale price with my usual source. But I would like to see SD realtor, sd realtor, and bugs look into this as well.

[ocrenter]

I varified the sale price with my usual source. But I would like to see SD realtor, sd realtor, and bugs look into this as well.

[ocrenter]

I varified the sale price with my usual source. But I would like to see SD realtor, sd realtor, and bugs look into this as well.

[ocrenter]

1 526 Sweet Pea Pl Sep 06 $540,000 3/2.5 1268 sqft
3 621 Sweet Pea Pl May 06 $561,000 3/2.5 1268
4 525 Sweet Pea Pl Mar 06 $555,000 3/2.5 1268
6 581 Sweet Pea Pl Aug 05 $705,000 3/2.5 1268 ***
8 646 Sweet Pea Pl Apr 05 $573,000 3/2.5 1268
9 645 Sweet Pea Pl Jan 05 $550,000 3/2.5 1268

[ocrenter]

1 526 Sweet Pea Pl Sep 06 $540,000 3/2.5 1268 sqft
3 621 Sweet Pea Pl May 06 $561,000 3/2.5 1268
4 525 Sweet Pea Pl Mar 06 $555,000 3/2.5 1268
6 581 Sweet Pea Pl Aug 05 $705,000 3/2.5 1268 ***
8 646 Sweet Pea Pl Apr 05 $573,000 3/2.5 1268
9 645 Sweet Pea Pl Jan 05 $550,000 3/2.5 1268

[ocrenter]

1 526 Sweet Pea Pl Sep 06 $540,000 3/2.5 1268 sqft
3 621 Sweet Pea Pl May 06 $561,000 3/2.5 1268
4 525 Sweet Pea Pl Mar 06 $555,000 3/2.5 1268
6 581 Sweet Pea Pl Aug 05 $705,000 3/2.5 1268 ***
8 646 Sweet Pea Pl Apr 05 $573,000 3/2.5 1268
9 645 Sweet Pea Pl Jan 05 $550,000 3/2.5 1268

[HLS]

BRS…Additive
it is actually the “garbage” first. Here is a link to the report.

http://www.census.gov/const/newressales.pdf

Read the “Explanatory Notes” at bottom of page 1.
It is +/- 12.00% not 0.12%

Also,a SALE is defined as a deposit taken or a sales agreement signed. (NOT a closed escrow)
Many of them won’t be able to close on a jumbo loan.
The July revised numbers should be pathetic, IF they ever release them.

TABLE 1, On page 2, the top half is “seasonally adjusted” The sales YOY in the “west” are down 19.6%
The bottom half is NOT seasonally adjusted and YTD sales are down 30%.

I do not have a clear understanding on HOW they factor “seasonally adjusted” Do you know ??
Am I correct in seeing NOT seasonally adjusted as the REAL numbers, and the “adjusted” as manipulated ??

The only talk on Friday was SALES UP 22%
Being down 9% would still be accurate with their margin of error. GREAT QUALITY REPORT, eh ??

I’ve marked September 27th on my calendar. I can’t wait to see the margin of error on the August report.
****************************************************
i.e. 2.4% +/- 12% = -9.6% to 14.4% or

2.4% * (1+/-0.12) = 2.1% to 2.9%

If it is the first, they should never publish that garbage. My guess is that it is the second.

[HLS]

BRS…Additive
it is actually the “garbage” first. Here is a link to the report.

http://www.census.gov/const/newressales.pdf

Read the “Explanatory Notes” at bottom of page 1.
It is +/- 12.00% not 0.12%

Also,a SALE is defined as a deposit taken or a sales agreement signed. (NOT a closed escrow)
Many of them won’t be able to close on a jumbo loan.
The July revised numbers should be pathetic, IF they ever release them.

TABLE 1, On page 2, the top half is “seasonally adjusted” The sales YOY in the “west” are down 19.6%
The bottom half is NOT seasonally adjusted and YTD sales are down 30%.

I do not have a clear understanding on HOW they factor “seasonally adjusted” Do you know ??
Am I correct in seeing NOT seasonally adjusted as the REAL numbers, and the “adjusted” as manipulated ??

The only talk on Friday was SALES UP 22%
Being down 9% would still be accurate with their margin of error. GREAT QUALITY REPORT, eh ??

I’ve marked September 27th on my calendar. I can’t wait to see the margin of error on the August report.
****************************************************
i.e. 2.4% +/- 12% = -9.6% to 14.4% or

2.4% * (1+/-0.12) = 2.1% to 2.9%

If it is the first, they should never publish that garbage. My guess is that it is the second.

[HLS]

BRS…Additive
it is actually the “garbage” first. Here is a link to the report.

http://www.census.gov/const/newressales.pdf

Read the “Explanatory Notes” at bottom of page 1.
It is +/- 12.00% not 0.12%

Also,a SALE is defined as a deposit taken or a sales agreement signed. (NOT a closed escrow)
Many of them won’t be able to close on a jumbo loan.
The July revised numbers should be pathetic, IF they ever release them.

TABLE 1, On page 2, the top half is “seasonally adjusted” The sales YOY in the “west” are down 19.6%
The bottom half is NOT seasonally adjusted and YTD sales are down 30%.

I do not have a clear understanding on HOW they factor “seasonally adjusted” Do you know ??
Am I correct in seeing NOT seasonally adjusted as the REAL numbers, and the “adjusted” as manipulated ??

The only talk on Friday was SALES UP 22%
Being down 9% would still be accurate with their margin of error. GREAT QUALITY REPORT, eh ??

I’ve marked September 27th on my calendar. I can’t wait to see the margin of error on the August report.
****************************************************
i.e. 2.4% +/- 12% = -9.6% to 14.4% or

2.4% * (1+/-0.12) = 2.1% to 2.9%

If it is the first, they should never publish that garbage. My guess is that it is the second.

[bsrsharma]

How can U.S. Census put its name on this nonsense? One needs 10,000 data points to get +/-1% sampling error (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error ). Are they too lazy to get accurate data on 10,000 data points? 12% margin suggests they collected less than 100 real data points and reported it as a national statistic. Pathetic.

BTW, I have seen similar nonsense in CPI and unemployment rate. For CPI, they conveniently leave out “volatile” food and energy prices. For unemployment rate, they consider anyone unemployed for more than 6 months as “discouraged workers” and leave them out of statistics.

[bsrsharma]

How can U.S. Census put its name on this nonsense? One needs 10,000 data points to get +/-1% sampling error (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error ). Are they too lazy to get accurate data on 10,000 data points? 12% margin suggests they collected less than 100 real data points and reported it as a national statistic. Pathetic.

BTW, I have seen similar nonsense in CPI and unemployment rate. For CPI, they conveniently leave out “volatile” food and energy prices. For unemployment rate, they consider anyone unemployed for more than 6 months as “discouraged workers” and leave them out of statistics.

[bsrsharma]

How can U.S. Census put its name on this nonsense? One needs 10,000 data points to get +/-1% sampling error (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error ). Are they too lazy to get accurate data on 10,000 data points? 12% margin suggests they collected less than 100 real data points and reported it as a national statistic. Pathetic.

BTW, I have seen similar nonsense in CPI and unemployment rate. For CPI, they conveniently leave out “volatile” food and energy prices. For unemployment rate, they consider anyone unemployed for more than 6 months as “discouraged workers” and leave them out of statistics.

[HLS]

Can you clarify “Seasonally Adjusted” ??

[HLS]

Can you clarify “Seasonally Adjusted” ??

[Author]

Posts