Home › Forums › Closed Forums › Properties or Areas › 0% down GF in Irvine
- This topic has 5 replies, 4 voices, and was last updated 17 years, 4 months ago by no_such_reality.
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December 30, 2006 at 1:25 AM #8124December 30, 2006 at 2:49 AM #42426Diego MamaniParticipant
Sales history for the same property. The first purchase was from the Irvine Company (builder).
03/1983 $152,500
06/1984 $150,500 (loss!)
10/1988 $255,000 (bubblelicious gain!)
12/1994 $223,000 (loss after 6 years!)
08/2005 $659,000 (ridiculously high bubble price)
10/2006 NOD filedLesson: Don’t be a GF like those who bought in 1988 and 2005 above (the latter put $0 down). Does this history suggest that we should buy in the next year that ends in “4”? (just kidding).
December 30, 2006 at 10:58 AM #42434TheBreezeParticipantI’m not up with the lingo. What is a GF? A gargantuanly-effed borrower?
December 30, 2006 at 11:11 AM #42437RottedOakParticipantGF = Greater Fool, someone foolish enough to purchase an already-overpriced property.
See http://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/greaterfooltheory.asp
December 30, 2006 at 8:21 PM #42462Diego MamaniParticipantThe GF is a key concept in Ponzi games (such as the recent speculative run-up in RE prices in So. Cal.) Sometimes the game participant is fully aware that the price he’s paying is ridiculously inflated, but he goes ahead hoping that he’ll be able to unload the property to a GF before the bubble bursts. It’s a gamble of course, as it is always impossible to predict when these things will end.
Most of the time, however, late entrants to the game are completely oblivious to what is going on and are motivated by greed, or fear of “being priced out”.
December 31, 2006 at 11:26 AM #42476no_such_realityParticipantMust be a flipper that bellied up. It’s the only way I account for a NOD going at 13 months. Fraud typically rolls in with a NOD at 6 to 9 months for a 1st payment default.
I was reading the real estate ads today. The pyschology is completely shifting. “Foreclosure pending” “Motivated Seller” etc.
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