Second, someone made a remark about stock market valuations not being too high? I guess when Warren Buffet made a statement last week that stocks are over valued at these levels and he is buying very little, he must have been wrong. I mean look a the guy’s track record….
That was me. I am going by Mr. Uber-Housing Bear (Shiller’s) definition of long-term valuation. By Shiller’s measure stocks are not overvalued, relative to fundamentals (earnings). Stocks are not in the same speculative bubble that real estate was in 2005 or that stocks were in 200. Not by a long shot.
That does not mean that stocks will not decline when earnings decline. When earnings decline, stocks should decline as well, based on fundamentals.