I think total capitulation will take a little longer just by seeing all the people on this site that are still eager to buy at the “right” price. I still remember in 1995 that most people I talked with thought RE was a waste of money. I dont see that yet. In 1994 there were nice 2 bdrm condo’s on the beach in Newport Beach for $99K. And they were’nt selling. I think we’ll need a couple more false bottoms to get sentiment totally negative. All the people that thought a bottom was in need to buy and then see it drop another 25%. Basically, when I see just about everyone on this site saying to wait, then we’ll be near a bottom. Old beliefs die hard. I’d say another 2 years may do it.
