Another thing. I think that housing will track Iraq.
Whatever the percentage housing decline is, we won’t see a bottom until we’re out of iraq.
Also, there won’t be a bottom until we experience a recession. We’re now due for a recession, and I don’t believe that the Fed will, want to, or are capable, of engineering a safe landing of the general economy.
I’m not buying until:
1) recession hits (job losses will kill the new areas),
2) some Iraq resolution is worked out (so energy costs and risks are stabilized).
