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  • April 1, 2010 at 9:30 AM #17292
    Scarlett
    Participant

    Here is an interesting article:
    http://gregfielding.housingstorm.com/2010/03/30/should-homes-be-twice-1996/?source=patrick.net

    He really doesn’t say much, but the graphs are intriguing. I’ve seen the history of home values one before.

    I believe he has not corrected for inflation, so, if his prediction is right, the Case-Shiller avg. index should hover probably a little above 100. Still a-ways to go in any case. But I am no expert. Maybe I am seeing what I want to see.

    I would love to see what the wise Piggs have to say.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:50 AM #533980
    an
    Participant

    I like charts Rich posted in his Bubble Primer: http://piggington.com/shambing_away_from_cheapness_but_still_milling_about_in_the_gene much better. I think interest plays a huge role.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:50 AM #534107
    an
    Participant

    I like charts Rich posted in his Bubble Primer: http://piggington.com/shambing_away_from_cheapness_but_still_milling_about_in_the_gene much better. I think interest plays a huge role.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:50 AM #534565
    an
    Participant

    I like charts Rich posted in his Bubble Primer: http://piggington.com/shambing_away_from_cheapness_but_still_milling_about_in_the_gene much better. I think interest plays a huge role.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:50 AM #534662
    an
    Participant

    I like charts Rich posted in his Bubble Primer: http://piggington.com/shambing_away_from_cheapness_but_still_milling_about_in_the_gene much better. I think interest plays a huge role.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:50 AM #534927
    an
    Participant

    I like charts Rich posted in his Bubble Primer: http://piggington.com/shambing_away_from_cheapness_but_still_milling_about_in_the_gene much better. I think interest plays a huge role.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:54 AM #533985
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    This guy is mixing inflaiton adjusted curves and non-inflation adjusted curves.

    I completely disagree with the chart where he has a big yellow bar that indicates the remaining bubble to deflate to get us back to 1996 (or 1994 or 1989) prices.

    He’s completely ignored inflation in that chart.

    Consider that due to inflation it requires about $140 today to equate to $100 in 1994.

    If he did this analysis on a High School Economics project he would receive an F.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:54 AM #534112
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    This guy is mixing inflaiton adjusted curves and non-inflation adjusted curves.

    I completely disagree with the chart where he has a big yellow bar that indicates the remaining bubble to deflate to get us back to 1996 (or 1994 or 1989) prices.

    He’s completely ignored inflation in that chart.

    Consider that due to inflation it requires about $140 today to equate to $100 in 1994.

    If he did this analysis on a High School Economics project he would receive an F.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:54 AM #534570
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    This guy is mixing inflaiton adjusted curves and non-inflation adjusted curves.

    I completely disagree with the chart where he has a big yellow bar that indicates the remaining bubble to deflate to get us back to 1996 (or 1994 or 1989) prices.

    He’s completely ignored inflation in that chart.

    Consider that due to inflation it requires about $140 today to equate to $100 in 1994.

    If he did this analysis on a High School Economics project he would receive an F.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:54 AM #534667
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    This guy is mixing inflaiton adjusted curves and non-inflation adjusted curves.

    I completely disagree with the chart where he has a big yellow bar that indicates the remaining bubble to deflate to get us back to 1996 (or 1994 or 1989) prices.

    He’s completely ignored inflation in that chart.

    Consider that due to inflation it requires about $140 today to equate to $100 in 1994.

    If he did this analysis on a High School Economics project he would receive an F.

    April 1, 2010 at 9:54 AM #534932
    (former)FormerSanDiegan
    Participant

    This guy is mixing inflaiton adjusted curves and non-inflation adjusted curves.

    I completely disagree with the chart where he has a big yellow bar that indicates the remaining bubble to deflate to get us back to 1996 (or 1994 or 1989) prices.

    He’s completely ignored inflation in that chart.

    Consider that due to inflation it requires about $140 today to equate to $100 in 1994.

    If he did this analysis on a High School Economics project he would receive an F.

    April 1, 2010 at 10:11 AM #534005
    Scarlett
    Participant

    So where do you think the C-S index should be if you adjust for inflation?

    Are we there yet, or we still have ways to go?

    April 1, 2010 at 10:11 AM #534133
    Scarlett
    Participant

    So where do you think the C-S index should be if you adjust for inflation?

    Are we there yet, or we still have ways to go?

    April 1, 2010 at 10:11 AM #534590
    Scarlett
    Participant

    So where do you think the C-S index should be if you adjust for inflation?

    Are we there yet, or we still have ways to go?

    April 1, 2010 at 10:11 AM #534687
    Scarlett
    Participant

    So where do you think the C-S index should be if you adjust for inflation?

    Are we there yet, or we still have ways to go?

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