My gut reaction was to write something akin to, why would anyone purchase an option arm on say a 2M home… However my next thought was that the best opportunity for people may be due to greedy real estate professionals who went and plunked down for places with hopes to spin them quickly. I tend to think these will be the first opportunity homes on the high end that hit the market.
Also I wonder if we are thinking about high end homes in a different manner. My thoughts on high end homes are 1.5M or 2M and up. I don’t classify an 800k home as a high end home. Yes I know that is a huge amount of money and I certainly do not mean to devalue or demean a home of that price.
Here is a great example of opportunity or soon to be opportunity. I got a call from a lady a few months back who owns a home up in Carlsbad. She poo pood me and didn’t list because of my sour outlook on the market and my price recommendation. I explained to her it would be a waste of my time to list at her desired price. Anyways she said she was sorry but couldn’t list with me. Well she had no problem getting Prudential to list her home. So I did some more research on her and she has 7 homes, 5 of them bought within the last 3 years… and they are all in the 700-1M range. Nice places, but not high end. She is definitely in denial. While she acknowledges the down market she said most of the realtors she speaks to say it is a simple correction that will pick up again in the spring…
I guess I wandered off topic. I do think that the high end will come down (and has come down already). The next two years should start to erode it and I would assume the speculators on the high end (and it will be interesting to see how many there are) will be the first to go. I also still maintain that it will take more patience for the high end and that high ends will vary in the quality, quantity and amount of depreciation. The “newer” high end homes to me are more prone to the first and more substantial moves.
Just my guess which is not worth much.
What would be interesting to me is to hear what pricing people classify as high end.