Perhaps I should have asked Perhaps I should have asked “what do you fear might happen?”
spdrun
August 10, 2017 @
3:29 PM
Fear or cheer? Fear or cheer?
Coronita
August 10, 2017 @
3:43 PM
Other option: Trump gets Other option: Trump gets reelected for another 4 years.
Not fearful of it, nor do I care. Life goes on.
FlyerInHi
August 11, 2017 @
8:11 AM
Wouldn’t the be Dalai Lama Wouldn’t the be Dalai Lama returning be a good thing?
moneymaker
August 11, 2017 @
9:12 PM
I just thought I’d throw an I just thought I’d throw an outlier in. Interestingly nobody has picked the statistically more likely event of a housing crash. Although I don’t really remember which came first in 2008, anybody? By crash, I’m going to say a correction of 20% or more.
svelte
August 11, 2017 @
10:15 PM
moneymaker wrote:I just [quote=moneymaker]I just thought I’d throw an outlier in. Interestingly nobody has picked the statistically more likely event of a housing crash. Although I don’t really remember which came first in 2008, anybody? By crash, I’m going to say a correction of 20% or more.[/quote]
Data please showing a 20% correction in housing is more likely than a 20% correction in the stock market.
moneymaker
August 12, 2017 @
9:52 AM
svelte sorry I do not have svelte sorry I do not have the data – just a gut feeling. P.S.-Buy Ford, down 11% this year. Buy low, sell high! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_housing_bubble
Check out the second paragraph under background. Anything sound familiar?
svelte wrote:moneymaker [quote=svelte][quote=moneymaker]I just thought I’d throw an outlier in. Interestingly nobody has picked the statistically more likely event of a housing crash. Although I don’t really remember which came first in 2008, anybody? By crash, I’m going to say a correction of 20% or more.[/quote]
Data please showing a 20% correction in housing is more likely than a 20% correction in the stock market.[/quote]
Stock prices are much more volatile than house prices, so of the two, it’s statistically far likelier for stocks to fall 20% (or any %).
moneymaker
August 15, 2017 @
8:17 PM
Totally agree Rich, however Totally agree Rich, however if/when stocks drop people may sell (dooh that’s obviously what will cause the drop) and then will likely invest in real estate. When real estate prices drop I don’t see people starting to buy stocks, I see fear. Gold/bonds could also rise but I don’t see the smart money going that way. In other words a drop in stock will help real estate but a drop in real estate won’t help stocks, in my opinion, of course i could be wrong, but then that would violate rule #1.
ocrenter
August 12, 2017 @
4:45 AM
moneymaker wrote:I just [quote=moneymaker]I just thought I’d throw an outlier in. Interestingly nobody has picked the statistically more likely event of a housing crash. Although I don’t really remember which came first in 2008, anybody? By crash, I’m going to say a correction of 20% or more.[/quote]
stock market crash needs to happen first.
moneymaker
August 12, 2017 @
9:29 AM
Yes ocrenter I believe you Yes ocrenter I believe you are correct as the last crash preceeded official crash by 3 months, although they were really happening simultaneously as they were connected.
ocrenter
August 12, 2017 @
4:44 AM
FlyerInHi wrote:Wouldn’t the [quote=FlyerInHi]Wouldn’t the be Dalai Lama returning be a good thing?[/quote]
of course. but good things are not happening anytime soon.
August 10, 2017 @ 3:27 PM
Perhaps I should have asked
Perhaps I should have asked “what do you fear might happen?”
August 10, 2017 @ 3:29 PM
Fear or cheer?
Fear or cheer?
August 10, 2017 @ 3:43 PM
Other option: Trump gets
Other option: Trump gets reelected for another 4 years.
Not fearful of it, nor do I care. Life goes on.
August 11, 2017 @ 8:11 AM
Wouldn’t the be Dalai Lama
Wouldn’t the be Dalai Lama returning be a good thing?
August 11, 2017 @ 9:12 PM
I just thought I’d throw an
I just thought I’d throw an outlier in. Interestingly nobody has picked the statistically more likely event of a housing crash. Although I don’t really remember which came first in 2008, anybody? By crash, I’m going to say a correction of 20% or more.
August 11, 2017 @ 10:15 PM
moneymaker wrote:I just
[quote=moneymaker]I just thought I’d throw an outlier in. Interestingly nobody has picked the statistically more likely event of a housing crash. Although I don’t really remember which came first in 2008, anybody? By crash, I’m going to say a correction of 20% or more.[/quote]
Data please showing a 20% correction in housing is more likely than a 20% correction in the stock market.
August 12, 2017 @ 9:52 AM
svelte sorry I do not have
svelte sorry I do not have the data – just a gut feeling. P.S.-Buy Ford, down 11% this year. Buy low, sell high!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_housing_bubble
Check out the second paragraph under background. Anything sound familiar?
August 12, 2017 @ 9:57 AM
moneymaker
[quote=moneymaker]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_housing_bubble
Check out the second paragraph under background. Anything sound familiar?[/quote]
Nope. Not really.
August 12, 2017 @ 11:21 AM
svelte wrote:moneymaker
[quote=svelte][quote=moneymaker]I just thought I’d throw an outlier in. Interestingly nobody has picked the statistically more likely event of a housing crash. Although I don’t really remember which came first in 2008, anybody? By crash, I’m going to say a correction of 20% or more.[/quote]
Data please showing a 20% correction in housing is more likely than a 20% correction in the stock market.[/quote]
Stock prices are much more volatile than house prices, so of the two, it’s statistically far likelier for stocks to fall 20% (or any %).
August 15, 2017 @ 8:17 PM
Totally agree Rich, however
Totally agree Rich, however if/when stocks drop people may sell (dooh that’s obviously what will cause the drop) and then will likely invest in real estate. When real estate prices drop I don’t see people starting to buy stocks, I see fear. Gold/bonds could also rise but I don’t see the smart money going that way. In other words a drop in stock will help real estate but a drop in real estate won’t help stocks, in my opinion, of course i could be wrong, but then that would violate rule #1.
August 12, 2017 @ 4:45 AM
moneymaker wrote:I just
[quote=moneymaker]I just thought I’d throw an outlier in. Interestingly nobody has picked the statistically more likely event of a housing crash. Although I don’t really remember which came first in 2008, anybody? By crash, I’m going to say a correction of 20% or more.[/quote]
stock market crash needs to happen first.
August 12, 2017 @ 9:29 AM
Yes ocrenter I believe you
Yes ocrenter I believe you are correct as the last crash preceeded official crash by 3 months, although they were really happening simultaneously as they were connected.
August 12, 2017 @ 4:44 AM
FlyerInHi wrote:Wouldn’t the
[quote=FlyerInHi]Wouldn’t the be Dalai Lama returning be a good thing?[/quote]
of course. but good things are not happening anytime soon.