[urbanrealtor]

[quote=kev374]Here is the interesting thing… if the price of goods increases (inflation) and the wages do not keep up with it then i’m guessing essential goods will be prioritized by people and there will be severe cutbacks in non-essential goods.

So, in essence demand for non-essential goods will drop like a rock causing deflation in those asset classes…correct?

Now, given that our economy is 70% spending there will be a sharp overall contraction in GDP due to pullbacks. A hike in inflation may be brief and overcome with serious deflationary forces. What do you think?

So, you say the government comes in and dumps money… however, what could the government do? Lending money to the banks isn’t going to change much as banks are unwilling to lend money to people in the first place and if sentiment is low and employment is shaky.. people will not want to borrow in any case. Unless the govermnet throws money from helicopters which is unlikely I don’t see how “printing money” actually would work.

The only other scenario is extreme where the government effectively cancels everyones debt…which seems to be what the government is attempting to do indirectly. Acquire toxic assets through FNM/FRE/FHA and then bail them out. Also let people declare BK on their credit cards and then shore up the balance sheets of the banks…of course that has the exact same problem as above.

The government cannot pursue bailouts without increasing the national debt/deficit… therefore to overcome these deficits somewhere down the road there has to be increase in taxes or austerity measures. These will once again result in a severe recession, unemployment, deflationary forces etc. BACK TO SQUARE ONE except it has only DELAYED THE INEVITABLE 🙂

Comments?[/quote]

You have a point but its not quite that mechanical.
There are 3 primary types of inflation.

Demand side:
In most major inflationary events, there is a manic printing of money. Literal printing of paper currency (eg: Weimar, Zimbabwe, Mexico).
That puts more nominal cash in peoples pockets and causes prices to rise (basically a demand pull).
In our case, “printing” means lending a crap load of money to, and buying bonds from, troubled firms.
That does not directly put cash in people’s hands.
It does go a good distance toward making skittish firms less reactive.

Supply side:
Most inflationary events in the US have been due to supply shocks of consumables or commodities.
Supply shocks tend to cause destructive demand and lead to remedies at the end user level.
So, for example gas prices increased dramatically between 2005 and 2011 but that lead to a modification of vehicle consumption and lifestyle.
Overall prices did not shoot up (even though most everything uses gas to get to market).

Confidence:
If a country (eg: Iceland or Greece) carries a huge load of debt in a currency it cannot print or control, then it can cause the currency they use to become worthless. For example if the US owed China 5Trillion denominated in RMB (instead of Dollars), then either the Chinese government or just the market could double that debtload overnight just by changing the exchange rate.

For us to have a big (like really big) inflationary event (or like what you described), we would have to see strong components of all three coupled with a very weak domestic economy and probably a big food production break down (like the dustbowl).
Remember we grow more food per capita than most of the planet.
That really creates a limit on how broke we can get.
This means its almost always unlikely you will starve in the US (unless you are in the Carpenters).

And again, you are right because if that perfect storm happened (as it sort of did in the 1930s), the anemic consumption would drive down prices (as it did int he 1930s).

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=walterwhite]I got it without the font. Please don’t ignore me[/quote]

PD/sc/ww:
Why does your name keep showing up without a post?

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=sdrealtor]I’d change my opinions but they are always right so why bother?[/quote]

I change most opinions twice a day.
And they are always right even when they change.

[urbanrealtor]

Big Black
Operation Ivy
(old) Bad Religion
(very old) Metallica
(even older) Misfits

Screamin Seamen
#51
Blindspot
Flogging Molly (oddly)
Pogues
Sorry if the list is a bit predictable.

[urbanrealtor]

Preferred plumbing. Google them.
I use them for our HOA repairs.
We actually tried to give them an upgrade and service contract for the whole complex and the owner told us our pipes were old but that such an upgrade would be a waste of money.

Props to him for turning down a 100k job he felt unnecessary.

Google them.

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=svelte]I should point out that my limerick was not meant to represent any particular pigg, but rather a fictional phantom pigg with attributes exhibited by any number of piggs. Including myself.[/quote]
right.

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=Rich Toscano][quote=desmond]Yes, why would you want to read somebody with a different opinon?[/quote]

It’s not about differing opinions, it’s about people who constantly opine on topics that you don’t find interesting. It’s basically a threadjack mitigation tool.[/quote]

In what way does this impact sharks?

I have a sense I will be ignored more.

Damn.

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=Jacarandoso]If all is fair in love and war than beating down a guy for his alleged hate speech against what he perceives as his encroaching enemy is absurd. Grandstanding on it is for whores.[/quote]
Except that all isn’t fair in love or war.
And talking back at haters is not absurd in the least.
See?
Here I go doing it now.
I don’t think that makes me a whore.
though other things might…

[urbanrealtor]

Claiming an ownership right in a doomed property is kinda dumb.

Maybe if the claimant had a BK that could stop the REO but otherwise his claim will be wiped out by the REO.

See if Joe claims he has a bonafide interest in Jim’s house it means fuckall if the bank comes in and says “we get house because you not pay us” (done in the voice of the Amazons from Futurama) and wipe out any subordinate liens.
And the LP would most likely be subordinate.

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=SD Realtor]Very well spoken Rus.

Compared to:

“Again it’s a shame 15% of the population controls that much of the media and controls the other 85%. That’s not what America was built on. Jewish Americans should be called anti-American when they attack us and control our media.”

Oh yeah and I wonder who the “us” is and the “our media” is that the bigot was referring to. I guess in his world there are jewish americans and the rest of the citizens are americans right?[/quote]

You are supposed to note it when you change your post.

Anyhow, I find asshat/markmax far more of a circus than most I read here. He actually made coffee come out of my nose the other day. In that sense he is more of a bread in that he nourishes my need to meanly laugh at something.

The irony that an anti-gay agent (or assistant or whatever rustico/russell/jacarandoso is) taking a high ground in a conversation about bigotry is so silly I fear that the furrow in my brow may be stuck there.

[urbanrealtor]

I don’t buy the inherent wrongness of Israel itself.
I don’t think the way it was conceived, set up, or executed was intelligent but that does not somehow mean it has no right to exist.
The US was built on aggression and oppression toward opponents and with a fair amount of zeal toward any fucked up goals sold to the public (eg: manifest destiny/remember-the-Alamo/remember-the-Goliad/ Anglo-Californian-betrayal-of-the-Californios).

However, you need to get past how everybody got here and actually address what to do now that we are here.

I really think it is to the detriment of all sides to focus on how Israel got there whether they have a right to exist.

Its not really relevant.

They are there and they kicked the bejesus out of a lot of regional players.

They are power to be reckoned with and the other players should actually try to reckon with them in a constructive way.

I genuinely believe that the zealous influence of American cousins have kept the narrative paranoid and paralyzed in much the same way the narrative was kept back in Ulster.

There was no reason for the IRA to maintain its uber-Fenian position other than to appease the stupid American benefactors.

The fact that they have nukes is not a reason to condescend to them. Its a reason to treat them more like the rational adults they are and stop perverting their positions with our agenda.

Dershowitz’ Ziono-Jihadi cheerleading squad notwithstanding.

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=pri_dk]Along with racism, another warning sign for Nazi type political groups is fanatical reverence for a single leader.
[/quote]

Yeah. And by that definition, most Mac users are storm troopers.

Seriously, to be any kind of actual Nazi, you have to endorse mass killing of non-combatant enemies.

I mean even Apple had a night of the long knives.
Or several.

Calling dumb people Nazis just devalues the memory of the Nazis and devalues the memories of those they hurt.

Oskar Schindler was a Nazi. And a very honorable person. But lets not forget that he enriched himself with slave labor. He did redeem himself (in sort of a Grinch-stole-christmas way) but he was part of an evil machine.

Real actual Nazis (and people who through deed or allegiance aspire to their legacy) are the only ones who deserve that name.

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=walterwhite]If Jews loved the USA they would vote rp. If rp loses it’s because Jews hate the USA. Rp alone can save America from doom. If rp loses and America is doomed, it’s the Jews fault.

There you have it. Logic![/quote]

LOL.
Rad.

I still want that sack of gold.

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=markmax33]
Your irrational points of view are why you hate Ron Paul and attack every blog post. We get it now. He did nothing to attack you and even suggested a better way to protect Israeli interests and you make fun of him. Good job. It is un-american to spend foreign aid. The founding fathers warned against it, it isn’t authorized by the constitution but yet the second you talk about reducing foreign aid to the whole middle east and treating everyone’s motherland the same constitutional way and giving Israel back her sovereignty you call that person an anti-Semite and call names. We get you now SK.[/quote]

No.
That was me you were quoting.
I don’t think criticizing Israel or AIPAC or Netanyahu is anti-Semitic.
(Considering how many Arab Semites have died or been oppressed at their hands, I don’t think that applies at all.)
I call people who paint a group into a certain role as bigots.
Its like saying that Chinese are all in collusion to manipulate the price of real estate because I have lots of Chinese clients.
Or that gays are trying to control the future of kewl computing because all my gay friends and clients have Apple products and stylish glasses.

I think there is a very strong case to be made to cut off all funding for Israel. However, the people who make those decisions are in congress.
Both voters and lobbyists influence those decision-makers.

And I don’t hate Ron Paul at all.
I just don’t think that he is a candidate I would vote fore.
Honestly, I think he has more integrity than most politicians.
But that does not convince me that my interests are best served by him.

The Constitution is just that. It constitutes government by defining who is responsible for what kind of decision-making (eg: president-military; congress-declaration of war). It does not, by itself, make the decisions.

John Stewart (who, unlike the Rockefeller family, is Jewish) has complained multiple times about the chilling effect on public discourse with regards to debate about Israeli policies. Which is probably why I never see Alan Dershowitz on his show.

In sum:
-We disagree about Ron Paul (because you are mindless follower).
-The Congress approves foreign aid and intervention as they are allowed to do under the constitution.
-Criticism of, and debate about US policies toward Israel are not inherently Anti-Semitic.
-Your statements about Jews controlling things are bigoted. That suggests that you are bigot.

[urbanrealtor]

[quote=Allan from Fallbrook]

Dan: Jackson Pollack was an artist. Polack is slang for someone of Polish descent.

While we did declare war on Japan following the Pearl Harbor attack, we did NOT declare war on Germany and Italy. Both Germany and Italy declared war on us, and thus we found ourselves embroiled in the European conflict, as well as the Pacific War. The rest, as they say, is history.[/quote]

Regarding the helicopter ejections seats:
Actually, the term “polack” is an anglicized exonym of the Polish endonym “polak” (which is a male-gendered adjective/noun for polish or polish person). This is, mind you the language most in need of a Cyrillic alphabet and with the most weird Latin phonetics. Jackson Pollack is just a differently anglicized version (kind of like Cassidy/Cassaday/O’Caiside/O’Casedeagh). But yes, you are correct that the most common spelling of the derogatory American slur is “polack”.

However, since I was describing my wife and my step-mother, the proper endonym would be “polka” (the female version–or should that be pollcka?..hmm).

Quick side note on Polka: The mass immigration into southern texas of German (Poland was part of Germany at the time) immigrants left an indelible mark on that area. Ever wonder why there is always an accordion in Mexican music? Or why Mennonite Cheese comes from Oaxaca?

Regarding WWII:
Yeah.
They declared war on us and we could have just held back and let everyone else run out of steam before doing anything (which we sort of did).
But personal sentiment played a big role in us heading to Europe.

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