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sdduuuude
ParticipantThe plan is for the Fed to grab as much power as they can:
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/04/fed-uncertainty-principle.html
sdduuuude
ParticipantThe plan is for the Fed to grab as much power as they can:
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/04/fed-uncertainty-principle.html
sdduuuude
ParticipantThe plan is for the Fed to grab as much power as they can:
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/04/fed-uncertainty-principle.html
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhat I really meant to say was unemployment peaks towards the end of the recession, not recovers. And even that is not quite right.
It appears to peak at the end or after the end of the recession, so I stand corrected.
Here’s a good graph:
So, if this guy says meaningful recovery won’t happen until 2011, that means the unemployment peak could be any time in 2010.
I’m thinking the recession will last 30 months, to end in June 2010.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhat I really meant to say was unemployment peaks towards the end of the recession, not recovers. And even that is not quite right.
It appears to peak at the end or after the end of the recession, so I stand corrected.
Here’s a good graph:
So, if this guy says meaningful recovery won’t happen until 2011, that means the unemployment peak could be any time in 2010.
I’m thinking the recession will last 30 months, to end in June 2010.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhat I really meant to say was unemployment peaks towards the end of the recession, not recovers. And even that is not quite right.
It appears to peak at the end or after the end of the recession, so I stand corrected.
Here’s a good graph:
So, if this guy says meaningful recovery won’t happen until 2011, that means the unemployment peak could be any time in 2010.
I’m thinking the recession will last 30 months, to end in June 2010.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhat I really meant to say was unemployment peaks towards the end of the recession, not recovers. And even that is not quite right.
It appears to peak at the end or after the end of the recession, so I stand corrected.
Here’s a good graph:
So, if this guy says meaningful recovery won’t happen until 2011, that means the unemployment peak could be any time in 2010.
I’m thinking the recession will last 30 months, to end in June 2010.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhat I really meant to say was unemployment peaks towards the end of the recession, not recovers. And even that is not quite right.
It appears to peak at the end or after the end of the recession, so I stand corrected.
Here’s a good graph:
So, if this guy says meaningful recovery won’t happen until 2011, that means the unemployment peak could be any time in 2010.
I’m thinking the recession will last 30 months, to end in June 2010.
December 2, 2008 at 8:20 AM in reply to: question: if i buy a vanguard european index fund am i hedging against the dollar? #310584sdduuuude
Participant[quote=fat_lazy_union_worker]not really because you’re buying into shares of euro companies which are equally getting trashed. No offense. It’s really too late to think about investing in europe or the euro. It’s a race to the bottom. Some of the euro economy is probably in worse shape then the states.[/quote]
I’ll second that.
December 2, 2008 at 8:20 AM in reply to: question: if i buy a vanguard european index fund am i hedging against the dollar? #310948sdduuuude
Participant[quote=fat_lazy_union_worker]not really because you’re buying into shares of euro companies which are equally getting trashed. No offense. It’s really too late to think about investing in europe or the euro. It’s a race to the bottom. Some of the euro economy is probably in worse shape then the states.[/quote]
I’ll second that.
December 2, 2008 at 8:20 AM in reply to: question: if i buy a vanguard european index fund am i hedging against the dollar? #310973sdduuuude
Participant[quote=fat_lazy_union_worker]not really because you’re buying into shares of euro companies which are equally getting trashed. No offense. It’s really too late to think about investing in europe or the euro. It’s a race to the bottom. Some of the euro economy is probably in worse shape then the states.[/quote]
I’ll second that.
December 2, 2008 at 8:20 AM in reply to: question: if i buy a vanguard european index fund am i hedging against the dollar? #310993sdduuuude
Participant[quote=fat_lazy_union_worker]not really because you’re buying into shares of euro companies which are equally getting trashed. No offense. It’s really too late to think about investing in europe or the euro. It’s a race to the bottom. Some of the euro economy is probably in worse shape then the states.[/quote]
I’ll second that.
December 2, 2008 at 8:20 AM in reply to: question: if i buy a vanguard european index fund am i hedging against the dollar? #311058sdduuuude
Participant[quote=fat_lazy_union_worker]not really because you’re buying into shares of euro companies which are equally getting trashed. No offense. It’s really too late to think about investing in europe or the euro. It’s a race to the bottom. Some of the euro economy is probably in worse shape then the states.[/quote]
I’ll second that.
sdduuuude
ParticipantKrugman says
“Meaningful employment recovery may not occur before 2011”
I think this is significant. Employment always recovers in the middle or towards the end of a recession. If he’s thinking 2011, that could mean a 4 or 5-year recession.
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