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sdduuuude
Participant[quote=permabear]The problem is it was owned by a smoker and reeks. Don’t tell me “new carpet, new paint” – my parents bought an ex-smoker house and after gutting the entire thing: paint, flooring, vent and pipes, furnace, it STILL smells like smoke.[/quote]
The keys to this problem are 1) ammonia and 2) oil-based primer.
Our house was nasty when we bought it. The aluminum windows were YELLOW from smoke stains. I tried cleaners, bleach, solvents (laquer thinner, acetone, etc.). Nothing worked. Until I tried ammonia. It was like magic. Took that smoky film right off. Smoke-film on the walls will seep right through water-based primer, too.
Just have EVERYTHING wiped down w/ an ammonia solution and use a very expensive, very smelly oil-based primier and you are good-to-go. Of course, the carpets have to go also.
sdduuuude
Participant[quote=permabear]The problem is it was owned by a smoker and reeks. Don’t tell me “new carpet, new paint” – my parents bought an ex-smoker house and after gutting the entire thing: paint, flooring, vent and pipes, furnace, it STILL smells like smoke.[/quote]
The keys to this problem are 1) ammonia and 2) oil-based primer.
Our house was nasty when we bought it. The aluminum windows were YELLOW from smoke stains. I tried cleaners, bleach, solvents (laquer thinner, acetone, etc.). Nothing worked. Until I tried ammonia. It was like magic. Took that smoky film right off. Smoke-film on the walls will seep right through water-based primer, too.
Just have EVERYTHING wiped down w/ an ammonia solution and use a very expensive, very smelly oil-based primier and you are good-to-go. Of course, the carpets have to go also.
sdduuuude
Participant[quote=permabear]The problem is it was owned by a smoker and reeks. Don’t tell me “new carpet, new paint” – my parents bought an ex-smoker house and after gutting the entire thing: paint, flooring, vent and pipes, furnace, it STILL smells like smoke.[/quote]
The keys to this problem are 1) ammonia and 2) oil-based primer.
Our house was nasty when we bought it. The aluminum windows were YELLOW from smoke stains. I tried cleaners, bleach, solvents (laquer thinner, acetone, etc.). Nothing worked. Until I tried ammonia. It was like magic. Took that smoky film right off. Smoke-film on the walls will seep right through water-based primer, too.
Just have EVERYTHING wiped down w/ an ammonia solution and use a very expensive, very smelly oil-based primier and you are good-to-go. Of course, the carpets have to go also.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhile it seems we are close to historical norms in price-to-rent and price-to-income ratios, I have some doubts that this tells the right story.
Does the reported average or median income take into consideration all the people making $0? i.e.
if 90 people are making $50K and 10 are making $0, do they report an average of $45K or $50K. Do they average in the “0” values or do they just take the average salary of the people who are working? Hmmmm.Secondly, are we really at historical norms with unemployment as high as it is ? I mean – we may be at an average price/income ratio, but these are not average times. The last time unemployment was this high, what was the price/income ratio or price/rent ratio ?
Would be nice to see a scatter-plot of local unemployment vs. price/rent ratio to see if we are in the ballpark.
To me, this suggests prices are higher than they “should” be. I have to point to bank behavior as the cause. The bailout and stimulus money has completely shielded the housing market from the unemployment situation and has completely shielded banks from their own stupid decisions and has given owners who would otherwise have to bail a chance to hold on. Couple this with municipal borrowing to prop up wages of city workers and you have yourself a housing-market-life-support-system.
One thing to keep in mind – even if pain is not felt in the higher demographic areas, eventually the substitution effect will bring pain from the lower-end to the higher-end markets
But given the low-end is still being bailed out, it will be a long time before it is seen in sdr’s neighborhood.
Another recession should make these prices move a bit, but the bailout money has a significant dampening effect on dramatic movements in price.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhile it seems we are close to historical norms in price-to-rent and price-to-income ratios, I have some doubts that this tells the right story.
Does the reported average or median income take into consideration all the people making $0? i.e.
if 90 people are making $50K and 10 are making $0, do they report an average of $45K or $50K. Do they average in the “0” values or do they just take the average salary of the people who are working? Hmmmm.Secondly, are we really at historical norms with unemployment as high as it is ? I mean – we may be at an average price/income ratio, but these are not average times. The last time unemployment was this high, what was the price/income ratio or price/rent ratio ?
Would be nice to see a scatter-plot of local unemployment vs. price/rent ratio to see if we are in the ballpark.
To me, this suggests prices are higher than they “should” be. I have to point to bank behavior as the cause. The bailout and stimulus money has completely shielded the housing market from the unemployment situation and has completely shielded banks from their own stupid decisions and has given owners who would otherwise have to bail a chance to hold on. Couple this with municipal borrowing to prop up wages of city workers and you have yourself a housing-market-life-support-system.
One thing to keep in mind – even if pain is not felt in the higher demographic areas, eventually the substitution effect will bring pain from the lower-end to the higher-end markets
But given the low-end is still being bailed out, it will be a long time before it is seen in sdr’s neighborhood.
Another recession should make these prices move a bit, but the bailout money has a significant dampening effect on dramatic movements in price.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhile it seems we are close to historical norms in price-to-rent and price-to-income ratios, I have some doubts that this tells the right story.
Does the reported average or median income take into consideration all the people making $0? i.e.
if 90 people are making $50K and 10 are making $0, do they report an average of $45K or $50K. Do they average in the “0” values or do they just take the average salary of the people who are working? Hmmmm.Secondly, are we really at historical norms with unemployment as high as it is ? I mean – we may be at an average price/income ratio, but these are not average times. The last time unemployment was this high, what was the price/income ratio or price/rent ratio ?
Would be nice to see a scatter-plot of local unemployment vs. price/rent ratio to see if we are in the ballpark.
To me, this suggests prices are higher than they “should” be. I have to point to bank behavior as the cause. The bailout and stimulus money has completely shielded the housing market from the unemployment situation and has completely shielded banks from their own stupid decisions and has given owners who would otherwise have to bail a chance to hold on. Couple this with municipal borrowing to prop up wages of city workers and you have yourself a housing-market-life-support-system.
One thing to keep in mind – even if pain is not felt in the higher demographic areas, eventually the substitution effect will bring pain from the lower-end to the higher-end markets
But given the low-end is still being bailed out, it will be a long time before it is seen in sdr’s neighborhood.
Another recession should make these prices move a bit, but the bailout money has a significant dampening effect on dramatic movements in price.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhile it seems we are close to historical norms in price-to-rent and price-to-income ratios, I have some doubts that this tells the right story.
Does the reported average or median income take into consideration all the people making $0? i.e.
if 90 people are making $50K and 10 are making $0, do they report an average of $45K or $50K. Do they average in the “0” values or do they just take the average salary of the people who are working? Hmmmm.Secondly, are we really at historical norms with unemployment as high as it is ? I mean – we may be at an average price/income ratio, but these are not average times. The last time unemployment was this high, what was the price/income ratio or price/rent ratio ?
Would be nice to see a scatter-plot of local unemployment vs. price/rent ratio to see if we are in the ballpark.
To me, this suggests prices are higher than they “should” be. I have to point to bank behavior as the cause. The bailout and stimulus money has completely shielded the housing market from the unemployment situation and has completely shielded banks from their own stupid decisions and has given owners who would otherwise have to bail a chance to hold on. Couple this with municipal borrowing to prop up wages of city workers and you have yourself a housing-market-life-support-system.
One thing to keep in mind – even if pain is not felt in the higher demographic areas, eventually the substitution effect will bring pain from the lower-end to the higher-end markets
But given the low-end is still being bailed out, it will be a long time before it is seen in sdr’s neighborhood.
Another recession should make these prices move a bit, but the bailout money has a significant dampening effect on dramatic movements in price.
sdduuuude
ParticipantWhile it seems we are close to historical norms in price-to-rent and price-to-income ratios, I have some doubts that this tells the right story.
Does the reported average or median income take into consideration all the people making $0? i.e.
if 90 people are making $50K and 10 are making $0, do they report an average of $45K or $50K. Do they average in the “0” values or do they just take the average salary of the people who are working? Hmmmm.Secondly, are we really at historical norms with unemployment as high as it is ? I mean – we may be at an average price/income ratio, but these are not average times. The last time unemployment was this high, what was the price/income ratio or price/rent ratio ?
Would be nice to see a scatter-plot of local unemployment vs. price/rent ratio to see if we are in the ballpark.
To me, this suggests prices are higher than they “should” be. I have to point to bank behavior as the cause. The bailout and stimulus money has completely shielded the housing market from the unemployment situation and has completely shielded banks from their own stupid decisions and has given owners who would otherwise have to bail a chance to hold on. Couple this with municipal borrowing to prop up wages of city workers and you have yourself a housing-market-life-support-system.
One thing to keep in mind – even if pain is not felt in the higher demographic areas, eventually the substitution effect will bring pain from the lower-end to the higher-end markets
But given the low-end is still being bailed out, it will be a long time before it is seen in sdr’s neighborhood.
Another recession should make these prices move a bit, but the bailout money has a significant dampening effect on dramatic movements in price.
December 1, 2010 at 9:16 AM in reply to: Looking for good family area that I can commute from to El Cajon #634484sdduuuude
ParticipantI second the Tierrasanta idea. There are many 2-story houses there, but not all of them.
Easy access to La Jolla and I-15.
December 1, 2010 at 9:16 AM in reply to: Looking for good family area that I can commute from to El Cajon #634563sdduuuude
ParticipantI second the Tierrasanta idea. There are many 2-story houses there, but not all of them.
Easy access to La Jolla and I-15.
December 1, 2010 at 9:16 AM in reply to: Looking for good family area that I can commute from to El Cajon #635138sdduuuude
ParticipantI second the Tierrasanta idea. There are many 2-story houses there, but not all of them.
Easy access to La Jolla and I-15.
December 1, 2010 at 9:16 AM in reply to: Looking for good family area that I can commute from to El Cajon #635266sdduuuude
ParticipantI second the Tierrasanta idea. There are many 2-story houses there, but not all of them.
Easy access to La Jolla and I-15.
December 1, 2010 at 9:16 AM in reply to: Looking for good family area that I can commute from to El Cajon #635584sdduuuude
ParticipantI second the Tierrasanta idea. There are many 2-story houses there, but not all of them.
Easy access to La Jolla and I-15.
sdduuuude
ParticipantI would replace them all with Linux.
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