Forum Replies Created
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AuthorPosts
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SD Realtor
ParticipantOkay CAR –
4/15/08 – 5/15/08 compared to 4/15/09 – 5/15/09 for detached homes only. 08 is on top and 09 is on the bottom.
Zip Code #Solds LP SP DOM
92009 27 928k 881k 71
92009 43 815k 773k 4992008 15 742k 716k 41
92008 15 531k 512k 6292054 25 447k 433k 56
92054 18 339k 320k 7792056 26 425k 413k 58
92056 44 330k 324k 5092024 33 946k 886k 88
92024 24 895k 858k 3892129 29 594k 570k 52
92129 22 587k 575k 4792131 29 768k 734k 54
92131 24 736k 696k 5192126 57 427k 414k 58
92126 38 353k 353k 6092127 29 1.08M 1.02M 74
92127 20 966k 888k 6292117 35 489k 467k 64
92117 32 422k 416k 4091913 42 446k 431k 65
91913 44 363k 372k 5892104 17 450k 435k 27
92104 18 523k 511k 7092071 30 402k 377k 71
92071 26 338k 336k 8692037 20 3.345M 3M 57
92037 11 3.59M 2.8M 10192130 36 1.15M 1.092M 41
92130 25 981k 928k 57Notes and observations. Because the time period was only 5 days ago, expect 2009 sales to grow due to agent tardiness.
92127 was further filtered with homes built after 1998 to get a focus on more 4S timeframes of being buit.
I was actually surprised at the results at first but then it hit me that sales volume does not have to be up given that we have a substantial reduction in inventory.
Have at it guys
SD Realtor
ParticipantOkay CAR –
4/15/08 – 5/15/08 compared to 4/15/09 – 5/15/09 for detached homes only. 08 is on top and 09 is on the bottom.
Zip Code #Solds LP SP DOM
92009 27 928k 881k 71
92009 43 815k 773k 4992008 15 742k 716k 41
92008 15 531k 512k 6292054 25 447k 433k 56
92054 18 339k 320k 7792056 26 425k 413k 58
92056 44 330k 324k 5092024 33 946k 886k 88
92024 24 895k 858k 3892129 29 594k 570k 52
92129 22 587k 575k 4792131 29 768k 734k 54
92131 24 736k 696k 5192126 57 427k 414k 58
92126 38 353k 353k 6092127 29 1.08M 1.02M 74
92127 20 966k 888k 6292117 35 489k 467k 64
92117 32 422k 416k 4091913 42 446k 431k 65
91913 44 363k 372k 5892104 17 450k 435k 27
92104 18 523k 511k 7092071 30 402k 377k 71
92071 26 338k 336k 8692037 20 3.345M 3M 57
92037 11 3.59M 2.8M 10192130 36 1.15M 1.092M 41
92130 25 981k 928k 57Notes and observations. Because the time period was only 5 days ago, expect 2009 sales to grow due to agent tardiness.
92127 was further filtered with homes built after 1998 to get a focus on more 4S timeframes of being buit.
I was actually surprised at the results at first but then it hit me that sales volume does not have to be up given that we have a substantial reduction in inventory.
Have at it guys
SD Realtor
ParticipantOkay CAR –
4/15/08 – 5/15/08 compared to 4/15/09 – 5/15/09 for detached homes only. 08 is on top and 09 is on the bottom.
Zip Code #Solds LP SP DOM
92009 27 928k 881k 71
92009 43 815k 773k 4992008 15 742k 716k 41
92008 15 531k 512k 6292054 25 447k 433k 56
92054 18 339k 320k 7792056 26 425k 413k 58
92056 44 330k 324k 5092024 33 946k 886k 88
92024 24 895k 858k 3892129 29 594k 570k 52
92129 22 587k 575k 4792131 29 768k 734k 54
92131 24 736k 696k 5192126 57 427k 414k 58
92126 38 353k 353k 6092127 29 1.08M 1.02M 74
92127 20 966k 888k 6292117 35 489k 467k 64
92117 32 422k 416k 4091913 42 446k 431k 65
91913 44 363k 372k 5892104 17 450k 435k 27
92104 18 523k 511k 7092071 30 402k 377k 71
92071 26 338k 336k 8692037 20 3.345M 3M 57
92037 11 3.59M 2.8M 10192130 36 1.15M 1.092M 41
92130 25 981k 928k 57Notes and observations. Because the time period was only 5 days ago, expect 2009 sales to grow due to agent tardiness.
92127 was further filtered with homes built after 1998 to get a focus on more 4S timeframes of being buit.
I was actually surprised at the results at first but then it hit me that sales volume does not have to be up given that we have a substantial reduction in inventory.
Have at it guys
SD Realtor
ParticipantNot a bad strategy CAR. I think it is one of those to each his own. I agree that rates will move up but not the kind of movement that will be the Holy Crap movement that we will need to crater pricing. I don’t think that kind of movement will come for awhile now. To the extent they move up so that they do inhibit some sales, yeah I could see that happening into the fall and such but again, I don’t see the big event happening for a few years.
SD Realtor
ParticipantNot a bad strategy CAR. I think it is one of those to each his own. I agree that rates will move up but not the kind of movement that will be the Holy Crap movement that we will need to crater pricing. I don’t think that kind of movement will come for awhile now. To the extent they move up so that they do inhibit some sales, yeah I could see that happening into the fall and such but again, I don’t see the big event happening for a few years.
SD Realtor
ParticipantNot a bad strategy CAR. I think it is one of those to each his own. I agree that rates will move up but not the kind of movement that will be the Holy Crap movement that we will need to crater pricing. I don’t think that kind of movement will come for awhile now. To the extent they move up so that they do inhibit some sales, yeah I could see that happening into the fall and such but again, I don’t see the big event happening for a few years.
SD Realtor
ParticipantNot a bad strategy CAR. I think it is one of those to each his own. I agree that rates will move up but not the kind of movement that will be the Holy Crap movement that we will need to crater pricing. I don’t think that kind of movement will come for awhile now. To the extent they move up so that they do inhibit some sales, yeah I could see that happening into the fall and such but again, I don’t see the big event happening for a few years.
SD Realtor
ParticipantNot a bad strategy CAR. I think it is one of those to each his own. I agree that rates will move up but not the kind of movement that will be the Holy Crap movement that we will need to crater pricing. I don’t think that kind of movement will come for awhile now. To the extent they move up so that they do inhibit some sales, yeah I could see that happening into the fall and such but again, I don’t see the big event happening for a few years.
SD Realtor
ParticipantBob I am not a bond market expert nor am I a novice. I do have access to some very expert bond market guys though. I have been waiting for th ebond market to pop for quite a long time but am out of the guessing business for it.
The current administration is not going to let the bond market pop. Even if they have to give the entire state of Alaska to China, I do not seem them letting that market roll over just yet. Things are entirely to fragile right now so they need to slow roll the process just like everything else.
Look back at previous posts and we have discussed all of this as nauseam so you are not really bringing anything new to the table. We all admit it will pop, we all admit that we could/should see double digit interest rates like the 80s and the only disagreement is when.
If you think Obama is gonna let this happen in the next few months or even a year I disagree entirely. It doesn’t matter what he has to put up as collateral.
SD Realtor
ParticipantBob I am not a bond market expert nor am I a novice. I do have access to some very expert bond market guys though. I have been waiting for th ebond market to pop for quite a long time but am out of the guessing business for it.
The current administration is not going to let the bond market pop. Even if they have to give the entire state of Alaska to China, I do not seem them letting that market roll over just yet. Things are entirely to fragile right now so they need to slow roll the process just like everything else.
Look back at previous posts and we have discussed all of this as nauseam so you are not really bringing anything new to the table. We all admit it will pop, we all admit that we could/should see double digit interest rates like the 80s and the only disagreement is when.
If you think Obama is gonna let this happen in the next few months or even a year I disagree entirely. It doesn’t matter what he has to put up as collateral.
SD Realtor
ParticipantBob I am not a bond market expert nor am I a novice. I do have access to some very expert bond market guys though. I have been waiting for th ebond market to pop for quite a long time but am out of the guessing business for it.
The current administration is not going to let the bond market pop. Even if they have to give the entire state of Alaska to China, I do not seem them letting that market roll over just yet. Things are entirely to fragile right now so they need to slow roll the process just like everything else.
Look back at previous posts and we have discussed all of this as nauseam so you are not really bringing anything new to the table. We all admit it will pop, we all admit that we could/should see double digit interest rates like the 80s and the only disagreement is when.
If you think Obama is gonna let this happen in the next few months or even a year I disagree entirely. It doesn’t matter what he has to put up as collateral.
SD Realtor
ParticipantBob I am not a bond market expert nor am I a novice. I do have access to some very expert bond market guys though. I have been waiting for th ebond market to pop for quite a long time but am out of the guessing business for it.
The current administration is not going to let the bond market pop. Even if they have to give the entire state of Alaska to China, I do not seem them letting that market roll over just yet. Things are entirely to fragile right now so they need to slow roll the process just like everything else.
Look back at previous posts and we have discussed all of this as nauseam so you are not really bringing anything new to the table. We all admit it will pop, we all admit that we could/should see double digit interest rates like the 80s and the only disagreement is when.
If you think Obama is gonna let this happen in the next few months or even a year I disagree entirely. It doesn’t matter what he has to put up as collateral.
SD Realtor
ParticipantBob I am not a bond market expert nor am I a novice. I do have access to some very expert bond market guys though. I have been waiting for th ebond market to pop for quite a long time but am out of the guessing business for it.
The current administration is not going to let the bond market pop. Even if they have to give the entire state of Alaska to China, I do not seem them letting that market roll over just yet. Things are entirely to fragile right now so they need to slow roll the process just like everything else.
Look back at previous posts and we have discussed all of this as nauseam so you are not really bringing anything new to the table. We all admit it will pop, we all admit that we could/should see double digit interest rates like the 80s and the only disagreement is when.
If you think Obama is gonna let this happen in the next few months or even a year I disagree entirely. It doesn’t matter what he has to put up as collateral.
SD Realtor
ParticipantI will try to look at numbers tonite CAR but from my recollection the volume of sales was up fairly substantially over last year for many zips. Not just the low end ones either as people like to downplay it.
If I do not get numbers to you tonite please bump the thread again as I am super swamped and tomorrow will have more time.
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