Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI’m really disgusted by both sides of the Prop 8 issue.
I’ll disclose, I’m seriously against Prop 8. I’m wearing a No on 8 sticker at work right now. I sneer every time I see a Yes on 8 sign, and honk and give thumbs ups to the No on 8 people I see in Hillcrest.
I’m appalled by all the sign stealing, vandalism, etc this issue has brought up. My friends are all liberals who are “No on 8” people, and a few people in my extended social circle have said things about social conservatives that made me sad. It’s exactly the kind of language that some social conservatives use about homosexuals. As Liberals we’re supposed to be better than that. We’re supposed to take the high road, turn the other cheek.
Unfortunately it’s one of those issues that is emotional, not rational. We also probably won’t know the final result until Thursday or so.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI’m really disgusted by both sides of the Prop 8 issue.
I’ll disclose, I’m seriously against Prop 8. I’m wearing a No on 8 sticker at work right now. I sneer every time I see a Yes on 8 sign, and honk and give thumbs ups to the No on 8 people I see in Hillcrest.
I’m appalled by all the sign stealing, vandalism, etc this issue has brought up. My friends are all liberals who are “No on 8” people, and a few people in my extended social circle have said things about social conservatives that made me sad. It’s exactly the kind of language that some social conservatives use about homosexuals. As Liberals we’re supposed to be better than that. We’re supposed to take the high road, turn the other cheek.
Unfortunately it’s one of those issues that is emotional, not rational. We also probably won’t know the final result until Thursday or so.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI agree with your central thesis, that in recent days McCain has moved from being “highly unlikely” to win the electoral and popular vote, to merely “unlikely”.
However, looking at electoral math, Obama doesn’t need to do much better than John Kerry did to win. If he holds all the Kerry states (likely – even PA is polling closer to +7/8% Obama), he only needs to win NM, IA and CO, all states he’s polling extremely well in. If he wins either Ohio OR Florida Obama wins (both possible, as both are statistical ties). Oh, and he’s leading in Virginia (although not by much over the margin of error).
The polls could be wrong. The election isn’t over until it is over. “Likely voters” is always a dicey subject. There’s always a chance of complacency. But there’s also the chance of people wanting to vote for a winner, or not bothering to vote for someone who is percieved as having little chance of victory.
Undecided voters do seem to be breaking slightly in favor of McCain, cutting some of Obama’s leads. But I’ll be SHOCKED if Obama doesn’t end up winning Tuesday night, and possibly having it wrapped up before polls close here in California.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI agree with your central thesis, that in recent days McCain has moved from being “highly unlikely” to win the electoral and popular vote, to merely “unlikely”.
However, looking at electoral math, Obama doesn’t need to do much better than John Kerry did to win. If he holds all the Kerry states (likely – even PA is polling closer to +7/8% Obama), he only needs to win NM, IA and CO, all states he’s polling extremely well in. If he wins either Ohio OR Florida Obama wins (both possible, as both are statistical ties). Oh, and he’s leading in Virginia (although not by much over the margin of error).
The polls could be wrong. The election isn’t over until it is over. “Likely voters” is always a dicey subject. There’s always a chance of complacency. But there’s also the chance of people wanting to vote for a winner, or not bothering to vote for someone who is percieved as having little chance of victory.
Undecided voters do seem to be breaking slightly in favor of McCain, cutting some of Obama’s leads. But I’ll be SHOCKED if Obama doesn’t end up winning Tuesday night, and possibly having it wrapped up before polls close here in California.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI agree with your central thesis, that in recent days McCain has moved from being “highly unlikely” to win the electoral and popular vote, to merely “unlikely”.
However, looking at electoral math, Obama doesn’t need to do much better than John Kerry did to win. If he holds all the Kerry states (likely – even PA is polling closer to +7/8% Obama), he only needs to win NM, IA and CO, all states he’s polling extremely well in. If he wins either Ohio OR Florida Obama wins (both possible, as both are statistical ties). Oh, and he’s leading in Virginia (although not by much over the margin of error).
The polls could be wrong. The election isn’t over until it is over. “Likely voters” is always a dicey subject. There’s always a chance of complacency. But there’s also the chance of people wanting to vote for a winner, or not bothering to vote for someone who is percieved as having little chance of victory.
Undecided voters do seem to be breaking slightly in favor of McCain, cutting some of Obama’s leads. But I’ll be SHOCKED if Obama doesn’t end up winning Tuesday night, and possibly having it wrapped up before polls close here in California.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI agree with your central thesis, that in recent days McCain has moved from being “highly unlikely” to win the electoral and popular vote, to merely “unlikely”.
However, looking at electoral math, Obama doesn’t need to do much better than John Kerry did to win. If he holds all the Kerry states (likely – even PA is polling closer to +7/8% Obama), he only needs to win NM, IA and CO, all states he’s polling extremely well in. If he wins either Ohio OR Florida Obama wins (both possible, as both are statistical ties). Oh, and he’s leading in Virginia (although not by much over the margin of error).
The polls could be wrong. The election isn’t over until it is over. “Likely voters” is always a dicey subject. There’s always a chance of complacency. But there’s also the chance of people wanting to vote for a winner, or not bothering to vote for someone who is percieved as having little chance of victory.
Undecided voters do seem to be breaking slightly in favor of McCain, cutting some of Obama’s leads. But I’ll be SHOCKED if Obama doesn’t end up winning Tuesday night, and possibly having it wrapped up before polls close here in California.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI agree with your central thesis, that in recent days McCain has moved from being “highly unlikely” to win the electoral and popular vote, to merely “unlikely”.
However, looking at electoral math, Obama doesn’t need to do much better than John Kerry did to win. If he holds all the Kerry states (likely – even PA is polling closer to +7/8% Obama), he only needs to win NM, IA and CO, all states he’s polling extremely well in. If he wins either Ohio OR Florida Obama wins (both possible, as both are statistical ties). Oh, and he’s leading in Virginia (although not by much over the margin of error).
The polls could be wrong. The election isn’t over until it is over. “Likely voters” is always a dicey subject. There’s always a chance of complacency. But there’s also the chance of people wanting to vote for a winner, or not bothering to vote for someone who is percieved as having little chance of victory.
Undecided voters do seem to be breaking slightly in favor of McCain, cutting some of Obama’s leads. But I’ll be SHOCKED if Obama doesn’t end up winning Tuesday night, and possibly having it wrapped up before polls close here in California.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI’m eagerly awaiting for one of the candidates to say “Housing prices are too high, they need to fall to correct further and raise affordability”.
The McCain plan is the opposite of what I feel we need. Let the FBs lose their homes, and let’s start over.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI’m eagerly awaiting for one of the candidates to say “Housing prices are too high, they need to fall to correct further and raise affordability”.
The McCain plan is the opposite of what I feel we need. Let the FBs lose their homes, and let’s start over.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI’m eagerly awaiting for one of the candidates to say “Housing prices are too high, they need to fall to correct further and raise affordability”.
The McCain plan is the opposite of what I feel we need. Let the FBs lose their homes, and let’s start over.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI’m eagerly awaiting for one of the candidates to say “Housing prices are too high, they need to fall to correct further and raise affordability”.
The McCain plan is the opposite of what I feel we need. Let the FBs lose their homes, and let’s start over.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantI’m eagerly awaiting for one of the candidates to say “Housing prices are too high, they need to fall to correct further and raise affordability”.
The McCain plan is the opposite of what I feel we need. Let the FBs lose their homes, and let’s start over.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantWe’re probably looking at a short term buy opportunity with a dead cat’s bounce. I have co-workers who are saying things like “with the market so low, maybe I should put more in my IRA”.
I’d say if we get down to 1000 or so it’s a great buy opportunity. That would be another 9% from where it closed today, and if that happens I’m throwing as much cash as I can at the market.
poorgradstudent
ParticipantWe’re probably looking at a short term buy opportunity with a dead cat’s bounce. I have co-workers who are saying things like “with the market so low, maybe I should put more in my IRA”.
I’d say if we get down to 1000 or so it’s a great buy opportunity. That would be another 9% from where it closed today, and if that happens I’m throwing as much cash as I can at the market.
-
AuthorPosts
