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poorgradstudent
ParticipantI seriously don’t have the patience to record everything I eat in an app.
Participant[quote=FlyerInHi]
Very interesting observation. The Supreme Court because of Republican appointment is more conservative than the population, although they caved on gay marriage because they knew that upholding marriage discrimination would be untenable to a younger public. [/quote]I’m not sure I totally agree with this. Justice Kennedy has some libertarian leanings that frustrate both Democrats and Republicans at times. He’s the swing vote that keeps Roe v. Wade intact, and was also arguably the swing vote on DOMA. Yet he also voted to give GW Bush Florida over Gore, and is a big proponent that campaign spending is a form of Free Speech. In particular in the last 10 or so years, Kennedy’s overall opinions have drifted slightly liberal.
I suppose you can float the argument that the conservative justices are VERY conservative (Alito, Scalia and Thomas in particular, with Roberts being more middle of the road conservative) while the liberals are somewhat less heavily liberal. In practical terms this just means the conservatives are slightly more likely to peel off an extra vote for a 6-3 decision rather than much of a difference in real policy. Most of the time, as goes Kennedy, so goes the court, and although his individual positions can differ from the population, overall I’m not sure he’s too far off from the middle.
ParticipantIt looks like both updated their webpages and models over the Holidays and have some bugs and kinks to work out.
ParticipantI imagine it will have the greatest impact on Miami.
Participant[quote=ltsdd]Anyone else here think that OIL is oversold? I am thinking of bottom-fishing get scoop up some shares.[/quote]
What’s your timeframe?
Chinese demand has definitely fallen in the short run. In the long run, demand should bounce back at least somewhat.
Although it’s all but impossible for us to really know what the Saudi’s are thinking, there’s some speculation they are intentionally keeping production high and prices low to try to drive some competitors like oil sands out of business.
Long term there’s way more upside to OIL than downside. But there’s little reason to think prices are going to bounce back strong in the next six or twelve months.
ParticipantI have the answer. It’s 42.
We still need to figure out the question. It’s not “how many roads must a man walk down?”
Participant[quote=FlyerInHi][quote=mrkenneth]I am one of those pesky Canadians competing to buy an affordable property here. All because American landlords are so greedy! Back in Vancouver, landlords run charities and rent out properties below cost.[/quote]
Are you buying a second home or as a full time resident?
My Canadian friends say that Canadians are better at saving money… Do you think it’s true?[/quote]
I think *on the whole* Canadians are more like Midwesterners… they don’t care as much about flash, style and status symbols as California and the East Coast do.
That said, Toronto itself reminds me a lot of New York City.
Participant[quote=The-Shoveler]I am always amazed at how many Beach mansions are mostly sitting empty (trophy’s I guess)[/quote]
Well, as a specific high profile example, I’m not sure how much time the Romney’s actually spend at their La Jolla mansion.
ParticipantSatanism has always struck me as a little… childish. I mean, without Christianity and the Bible, you don’t have Satan. Satan is a character of the New Testament. So it’s sort of odd branding for Atheists/Secular Humanists to take on. I realize part of that is historical and part of it is intended for shock value, but in 2015 it seems more than a little silly.
ParticipantI don’t think Trump or Bush have better than a 2% chance of actually winning, for the record. Bush has a ton of cash, but he’s got no personality… he doesn’t even seem to really WANT to be president.
So Scenario #1 was Rubio. Here’s Scenario #2 (Chickens run the Henhouse)
Clinton still wins the Democratic Nomination because Bernie polls poorly with minority voters, a huge chunk of the Democratic Coalition.
Cruz wins Iowa, takes second in New Hampshire (or wins a very crowded field there), and manages to grind his way to the nomination as a sort of compromise between the Trump wing (~25% of the party) and everyone else.
Clinton of course destroys Cruz in the general election, because he’s Cruz. Massive Coat Tails allow Democrats to take 4 seats in the Senate to take a 50-50 tie, and the House is too close to call on Election Night. Ultimately Paul Ryan holds onto the speakership by a slim majority, but can’t pass anything past his own caucus, much less send it to the Senate to get rejected.
ParticipantRubio wins the Republican Nomination
Clinton wins the Democratic NominationClinton wins the White House in a close popular election but dominates the Electoral College thanks to current Democratic structural advantages.
The Democrats gain 3 seats in the Senate leaving the Republicans a slim 51-49 majority. Democrats make small gains in the house (10-12 seats), but no massive coattail effect, and Republicans keep a majority, losing their most moderate members from purplish districts.
ParticipantThere are zip codes that are above bubble levels and zip codes still below. From a very broad perspective higher end zip codes seem to have bounced back more forcefully than areas like Santee/Chula Vista.
If prices go up another 5-10% in the next year I’ll start talking “bubble”, but for now I’m sticking with prices being “relatively high”, but not a true bubble. The peak of a normal cycle isn’t a bubble, it’s only when prices overshoot “normal” highs significantly it becomes a bubble with high risk of popping.
I feel like it’s a great time to sell, and buyers should exercise extreme caution.
Participant[quote=flu]
Look at the percentage of Canadian buyers. Even so who the fvck cares..some has money, its legal, buy. Its called capitalism.
Maybe if more people would save and invest instead if spending their paycheck buying useless crap at Walmart, they too could afford a place to live.[/quote]
*hands flu a Snickers*
As for “who cares”, it’s pretty relevant as to answering part of the question of “Why is demand steady even as prices keep rising?”. 20-30% is far from trivial. Also, Chinese demand is likely to fluctuate a lot more than Canadian demand. Yes, if oil prices skyrocket again the Canadian Dollar may gain ground on the US dollar and tip the scales, but Canadian appetites are a lot more steady and stable than Chinese.
Participant[quote=harvey]
I’m no chemist, but I do know enough about basic biochemistry that simply ignoring global CO2 levels because it is a “life building block” is utterly misinformed and downright stupid.
[/quote]You know where there’s a lot of CO2?
Venus.
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