[njtosd]

[quote=sdrealtor] . . . Even though you cant predict something perfectly you can make an assessment on the outcome post mortum.[/quote]

But that’s why they came up with the phrases Monday morning quarterback, 2-/20 hindsight, etc. You can make an assessment, but you have to keep in mind the concept of statistical significance. Everyone is entitled to their own (subjective) opinion. But to say that someone else got it wrong (objectively) you need to know how accurately the best estimator can predict.

[njtosd]

[quote=sdrealtor] . . . Even though you cant predict something perfectly you can make an assessment on the outcome post mortum.[/quote]

But that’s why they came up with the phrases Monday morning quarterback, 2-/20 hindsight, etc. You can make an assessment, but you have to keep in mind the concept of statistical significance. Everyone is entitled to their own (subjective) opinion. But to say that someone else got it wrong (objectively) you need to know how accurately the best estimator can predict.

[njtosd]

I guess what I’m trying to get at is statistical significance. If no person (realtor or not) can predict the sales price of a home (on average) with a greater than 96% accuracy, it’s meaningless (statistically) to say that someone paid a few percent too much or too little. For the same reason, it would be ridiculous to say that someone is probably wrong when they guess “heads” on the flip of a coin.

[njtosd]

I guess what I’m trying to get at is statistical significance. If no person (realtor or not) can predict the sales price of a home (on average) with a greater than 96% accuracy, it’s meaningless (statistically) to say that someone paid a few percent too much or too little. For the same reason, it would be ridiculous to say that someone is probably wrong when they guess “heads” on the flip of a coin.

[njtosd]

I guess what I’m trying to get at is statistical significance. If no person (realtor or not) can predict the sales price of a home (on average) with a greater than 96% accuracy, it’s meaningless (statistically) to say that someone paid a few percent too much or too little. For the same reason, it would be ridiculous to say that someone is probably wrong when they guess “heads” on the flip of a coin.

[njtosd]

I guess what I’m trying to get at is statistical significance. If no person (realtor or not) can predict the sales price of a home (on average) with a greater than 96% accuracy, it’s meaningless (statistically) to say that someone paid a few percent too much or too little. For the same reason, it would be ridiculous to say that someone is probably wrong when they guess “heads” on the flip of a coin.

[njtosd]

I guess what I’m trying to get at is statistical significance. If no person (realtor or not) can predict the sales price of a home (on average) with a greater than 96% accuracy, it’s meaningless (statistically) to say that someone paid a few percent too much or too little. For the same reason, it would be ridiculous to say that someone is probably wrong when they guess “heads” on the flip of a coin.

[njtosd]

[quote=Russell]. . .
Yo canto mariachi y me pagan bien cada espectaculo que doy. La verdad es que no tengo tiempe sufficiente para responder. Ojala que lo de mas te lo explique antes de que regrese de mis quehaceres.
Mientras tanto me puedes elaborar en el asunto de tus telenovelas favoritas. Mi predilecta fue “Betty la fea”, pero hoy en di me encuentro involucrado en cosas mas importantes…[/quote]

FYI – here is the result of putting the above through Google Translate. Not perfect, but interesting:

I sing mariachi and pay me well to give each show. The truth is I have no time to respond sufficiente. I hope that the more you explain it before you go to my chores.
Meanwhile I can elaborate on the issue of your favorite soap operas. My favorite was “Betty la fea”, but now I find myself involved in more important things …

[njtosd]

[quote=Russell]. . .
Yo canto mariachi y me pagan bien cada espectaculo que doy. La verdad es que no tengo tiempe sufficiente para responder. Ojala que lo de mas te lo explique antes de que regrese de mis quehaceres.
Mientras tanto me puedes elaborar en el asunto de tus telenovelas favoritas. Mi predilecta fue “Betty la fea”, pero hoy en di me encuentro involucrado en cosas mas importantes…[/quote]

FYI – here is the result of putting the above through Google Translate. Not perfect, but interesting:

I sing mariachi and pay me well to give each show. The truth is I have no time to respond sufficiente. I hope that the more you explain it before you go to my chores.
Meanwhile I can elaborate on the issue of your favorite soap operas. My favorite was “Betty la fea”, but now I find myself involved in more important things …

[njtosd]

[quote=Russell]. . .
Yo canto mariachi y me pagan bien cada espectaculo que doy. La verdad es que no tengo tiempe sufficiente para responder. Ojala que lo de mas te lo explique antes de que regrese de mis quehaceres.
Mientras tanto me puedes elaborar en el asunto de tus telenovelas favoritas. Mi predilecta fue “Betty la fea”, pero hoy en di me encuentro involucrado en cosas mas importantes…[/quote]

FYI – here is the result of putting the above through Google Translate. Not perfect, but interesting:

I sing mariachi and pay me well to give each show. The truth is I have no time to respond sufficiente. I hope that the more you explain it before you go to my chores.
Meanwhile I can elaborate on the issue of your favorite soap operas. My favorite was “Betty la fea”, but now I find myself involved in more important things …

[njtosd]

[quote=Russell]. . .
Yo canto mariachi y me pagan bien cada espectaculo que doy. La verdad es que no tengo tiempe sufficiente para responder. Ojala que lo de mas te lo explique antes de que regrese de mis quehaceres.
Mientras tanto me puedes elaborar en el asunto de tus telenovelas favoritas. Mi predilecta fue “Betty la fea”, pero hoy en di me encuentro involucrado en cosas mas importantes…[/quote]

FYI – here is the result of putting the above through Google Translate. Not perfect, but interesting:

I sing mariachi and pay me well to give each show. The truth is I have no time to respond sufficiente. I hope that the more you explain it before you go to my chores.
Meanwhile I can elaborate on the issue of your favorite soap operas. My favorite was “Betty la fea”, but now I find myself involved in more important things …

[njtosd]

[quote=Russell]. . .
Yo canto mariachi y me pagan bien cada espectaculo que doy. La verdad es que no tengo tiempe sufficiente para responder. Ojala que lo de mas te lo explique antes de que regrese de mis quehaceres.
Mientras tanto me puedes elaborar en el asunto de tus telenovelas favoritas. Mi predilecta fue “Betty la fea”, pero hoy en di me encuentro involucrado en cosas mas importantes…[/quote]

FYI – here is the result of putting the above through Google Translate. Not perfect, but interesting:

I sing mariachi and pay me well to give each show. The truth is I have no time to respond sufficiente. I hope that the more you explain it before you go to my chores.
Meanwhile I can elaborate on the issue of your favorite soap operas. My favorite was “Betty la fea”, but now I find myself involved in more important things …

[njtosd]

[quote=briansd1]
. . .
I believe that in America, people are English centric to their detriment. It’s like it’s a point of pride not to speak any foreign language (it should be shameful, in my opinion).

In Germany, The Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, etc, people are all bilingual in their native tongues and English.[/quote]

I am very much in favor of learning one (or more) languages other than the one you grew up speaking. As a friend once said, I speak “enough French to be annoying” and I would like to learn more Spanish.
On the other hand, I think Americans get a bad rap when it comes to being English-centric. Most Americans have very little exposure to foreign languages (compared to Europeans, for example) during the course of the day. The Germans, Dutch, Belgians, etc. that you speak of are not bilingual entirely by choice – it makes economic sense. In other words, my guess is that it is more common for a European to speak English as a second language than, for example, Welsh. As the economists say, it’s all a matter of incentives.

[njtosd]

[quote=briansd1]
. . .
I believe that in America, people are English centric to their detriment. It’s like it’s a point of pride not to speak any foreign language (it should be shameful, in my opinion).

In Germany, The Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, etc, people are all bilingual in their native tongues and English.[/quote]

I am very much in favor of learning one (or more) languages other than the one you grew up speaking. As a friend once said, I speak “enough French to be annoying” and I would like to learn more Spanish.
On the other hand, I think Americans get a bad rap when it comes to being English-centric. Most Americans have very little exposure to foreign languages (compared to Europeans, for example) during the course of the day. The Germans, Dutch, Belgians, etc. that you speak of are not bilingual entirely by choice – it makes economic sense. In other words, my guess is that it is more common for a European to speak English as a second language than, for example, Welsh. As the economists say, it’s all a matter of incentives.

[njtosd]

[quote=briansd1]
. . .
I believe that in America, people are English centric to their detriment. It’s like it’s a point of pride not to speak any foreign language (it should be shameful, in my opinion).

In Germany, The Netherlands, Belgium, Switzerland, etc, people are all bilingual in their native tongues and English.[/quote]

I am very much in favor of learning one (or more) languages other than the one you grew up speaking. As a friend once said, I speak “enough French to be annoying” and I would like to learn more Spanish.
On the other hand, I think Americans get a bad rap when it comes to being English-centric. Most Americans have very little exposure to foreign languages (compared to Europeans, for example) during the course of the day. The Germans, Dutch, Belgians, etc. that you speak of are not bilingual entirely by choice – it makes economic sense. In other words, my guess is that it is more common for a European to speak English as a second language than, for example, Welsh. As the economists say, it’s all a matter of incentives.

[Author]

Posts