[kewp]

Check out my portfolio @MarketGuru.com for ideas.

http://www.marketguru.com/V4Vendetta

I basically day-trade the leveraged short ETF’s (when I have the time). Most of my gains this year have been buying SKF (ultrashort financials) on the dips and flipping it.

There are also 3X leveraged short funds now:

http://finance.google.com/finance?q=BGZ

*But*, keep in mind the biggest rallies are in bear markets. I’m going to try staying in cash and shorting after the rallies run out of steam.

[kewp]

Check out my portfolio @MarketGuru.com for ideas.

http://www.marketguru.com/V4Vendetta

I basically day-trade the leveraged short ETF’s (when I have the time). Most of my gains this year have been buying SKF (ultrashort financials) on the dips and flipping it.

There are also 3X leveraged short funds now:

http://finance.google.com/finance?q=BGZ

*But*, keep in mind the biggest rallies are in bear markets. I’m going to try staying in cash and shorting after the rallies run out of steam.

[kewp]

Check out my portfolio @MarketGuru.com for ideas.

http://www.marketguru.com/V4Vendetta

I basically day-trade the leveraged short ETF’s (when I have the time). Most of my gains this year have been buying SKF (ultrashort financials) on the dips and flipping it.

There are also 3X leveraged short funds now:

http://finance.google.com/finance?q=BGZ

*But*, keep in mind the biggest rallies are in bear markets. I’m going to try staying in cash and shorting after the rallies run out of steam.

[kewp]

Check out my portfolio @MarketGuru.com for ideas.

http://www.marketguru.com/V4Vendetta

I basically day-trade the leveraged short ETF’s (when I have the time). Most of my gains this year have been buying SKF (ultrashort financials) on the dips and flipping it.

There are also 3X leveraged short funds now:

http://finance.google.com/finance?q=BGZ

*But*, keep in mind the biggest rallies are in bear markets. I’m going to try staying in cash and shorting after the rallies run out of steam.

[kewp]

Check out my portfolio @MarketGuru.com for ideas.

http://www.marketguru.com/V4Vendetta

I basically day-trade the leveraged short ETF’s (when I have the time). Most of my gains this year have been buying SKF (ultrashort financials) on the dips and flipping it.

There are also 3X leveraged short funds now:

http://finance.google.com/finance?q=BGZ

*But*, keep in mind the biggest rallies are in bear markets. I’m going to try staying in cash and shorting after the rallies run out of steam.

[kewp]

The safe jobs are, generally speaking, in government. All levels, state, local, federal, military, are virtually immune to the tribulations the private sector employees are about to go through.

I work for the UC system; largely because I anticipated this economic meltdown a few years ago and wanted to get locked into something stable (with good benefits) until it was over.

Well, we just got word that in addition to having a salary freeze this year, we got hit with an additional mid-cycle budget cut. To top it off our pension fund is down almost 25% and we are looking at having to begin contributions again next year.

And, as FLUW mentioned, we are only in round two of this thing.

At this point I don’t think any job is *safe* and would not be surprised at all if we had lay-offs (though I feel my position is safe).

Funny enough, I still get a few pings a month from recruiters, so there is some evidence that there will always be jobs out there for good people.

[kewp]

The safe jobs are, generally speaking, in government. All levels, state, local, federal, military, are virtually immune to the tribulations the private sector employees are about to go through.

I work for the UC system; largely because I anticipated this economic meltdown a few years ago and wanted to get locked into something stable (with good benefits) until it was over.

Well, we just got word that in addition to having a salary freeze this year, we got hit with an additional mid-cycle budget cut. To top it off our pension fund is down almost 25% and we are looking at having to begin contributions again next year.

And, as FLUW mentioned, we are only in round two of this thing.

At this point I don’t think any job is *safe* and would not be surprised at all if we had lay-offs (though I feel my position is safe).

Funny enough, I still get a few pings a month from recruiters, so there is some evidence that there will always be jobs out there for good people.

[kewp]

The safe jobs are, generally speaking, in government. All levels, state, local, federal, military, are virtually immune to the tribulations the private sector employees are about to go through.

I work for the UC system; largely because I anticipated this economic meltdown a few years ago and wanted to get locked into something stable (with good benefits) until it was over.

Well, we just got word that in addition to having a salary freeze this year, we got hit with an additional mid-cycle budget cut. To top it off our pension fund is down almost 25% and we are looking at having to begin contributions again next year.

And, as FLUW mentioned, we are only in round two of this thing.

At this point I don’t think any job is *safe* and would not be surprised at all if we had lay-offs (though I feel my position is safe).

Funny enough, I still get a few pings a month from recruiters, so there is some evidence that there will always be jobs out there for good people.

[kewp]

The safe jobs are, generally speaking, in government. All levels, state, local, federal, military, are virtually immune to the tribulations the private sector employees are about to go through.

I work for the UC system; largely because I anticipated this economic meltdown a few years ago and wanted to get locked into something stable (with good benefits) until it was over.

Well, we just got word that in addition to having a salary freeze this year, we got hit with an additional mid-cycle budget cut. To top it off our pension fund is down almost 25% and we are looking at having to begin contributions again next year.

And, as FLUW mentioned, we are only in round two of this thing.

At this point I don’t think any job is *safe* and would not be surprised at all if we had lay-offs (though I feel my position is safe).

Funny enough, I still get a few pings a month from recruiters, so there is some evidence that there will always be jobs out there for good people.

[kewp]

The safe jobs are, generally speaking, in government. All levels, state, local, federal, military, are virtually immune to the tribulations the private sector employees are about to go through.

I work for the UC system; largely because I anticipated this economic meltdown a few years ago and wanted to get locked into something stable (with good benefits) until it was over.

Well, we just got word that in addition to having a salary freeze this year, we got hit with an additional mid-cycle budget cut. To top it off our pension fund is down almost 25% and we are looking at having to begin contributions again next year.

And, as FLUW mentioned, we are only in round two of this thing.

At this point I don’t think any job is *safe* and would not be surprised at all if we had lay-offs (though I feel my position is safe).

Funny enough, I still get a few pings a month from recruiters, so there is some evidence that there will always be jobs out there for good people.

[kewp]

[quote=sdduuuude]
If it overshoots to the downside, then we may have an underdamped and possibly unstable system (positive feedback or open loop), as I suspect.
[/quote]

I think this is the most likely scenario (its always happened in the past with much smaller bubbles).

Foreclosures beget more foreclosures. Same with short-sales and unemployment. I remember hearing a statistic that during the 80’s slump, when one engineering job left SD, three 7/11 employees went with them.

You are correct that its only a ‘negative’ feedback loop if you are talking about negative bias against the upside. You could make the case that this is correct in the long term, as the generic long-term trend is upwards.

[kewp]

[quote=sdduuuude]
If it overshoots to the downside, then we may have an underdamped and possibly unstable system (positive feedback or open loop), as I suspect.
[/quote]

I think this is the most likely scenario (its always happened in the past with much smaller bubbles).

Foreclosures beget more foreclosures. Same with short-sales and unemployment. I remember hearing a statistic that during the 80’s slump, when one engineering job left SD, three 7/11 employees went with them.

You are correct that its only a ‘negative’ feedback loop if you are talking about negative bias against the upside. You could make the case that this is correct in the long term, as the generic long-term trend is upwards.

[kewp]

[quote=sdduuuude]
If it overshoots to the downside, then we may have an underdamped and possibly unstable system (positive feedback or open loop), as I suspect.
[/quote]

I think this is the most likely scenario (its always happened in the past with much smaller bubbles).

Foreclosures beget more foreclosures. Same with short-sales and unemployment. I remember hearing a statistic that during the 80’s slump, when one engineering job left SD, three 7/11 employees went with them.

You are correct that its only a ‘negative’ feedback loop if you are talking about negative bias against the upside. You could make the case that this is correct in the long term, as the generic long-term trend is upwards.

[kewp]

[quote=sdduuuude]
If it overshoots to the downside, then we may have an underdamped and possibly unstable system (positive feedback or open loop), as I suspect.
[/quote]

I think this is the most likely scenario (its always happened in the past with much smaller bubbles).

Foreclosures beget more foreclosures. Same with short-sales and unemployment. I remember hearing a statistic that during the 80’s slump, when one engineering job left SD, three 7/11 employees went with them.

You are correct that its only a ‘negative’ feedback loop if you are talking about negative bias against the upside. You could make the case that this is correct in the long term, as the generic long-term trend is upwards.

[kewp]

[quote=sdduuuude]
If it overshoots to the downside, then we may have an underdamped and possibly unstable system (positive feedback or open loop), as I suspect.
[/quote]

I think this is the most likely scenario (its always happened in the past with much smaller bubbles).

Foreclosures beget more foreclosures. Same with short-sales and unemployment. I remember hearing a statistic that during the 80’s slump, when one engineering job left SD, three 7/11 employees went with them.

You are correct that its only a ‘negative’ feedback loop if you are talking about negative bias against the upside. You could make the case that this is correct in the long term, as the generic long-term trend is upwards.

[Author]

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