[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

If you look at fundamentals you would assume that the demand for oil hasn’t dropped overnight, but yet the price of oil seems to have lost its’ luster.

From today’s LA Times …
“The Chinese government reported that oil imports to the fast-growing country had fallen 7% in July to a seven-month low.”

So, maybe fundamentals of supply and demand do matter.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

If you look at fundamentals you would assume that the demand for oil hasn’t dropped overnight, but yet the price of oil seems to have lost its’ luster.

From today’s LA Times …
“The Chinese government reported that oil imports to the fast-growing country had fallen 7% in July to a seven-month low.”

So, maybe fundamentals of supply and demand do matter.

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

This article cites all the obvious things, but does not identify the precise factor that leads him to the conclusion of 2000 prices.

The closest thing I can find is that he says lending standards have tightened to something close to 2000 standards … “These dynamics are actually much worse than what were in place in the summer of 2000”

What happens if lending standards tighten to 1985 standards (which I could see happening)? Does this mean we are headed to 1985 prices.

Give me something solid to hang your hat on regarding 2000 prices, not all the hype and emotion-laden prose …

my favorites …
“interrupted consumption binge”
“It’s a pleasant dream, but the wakeup call can’t be too far off.”
“every step down the housing abyss”
“horrific fundamentals”
“sentimental hope”
“sooner or later reality must intrude.”
“Once the wake up call sounds …”

and of course the last sentence …

“read my new book “Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse.””

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

This article cites all the obvious things, but does not identify the precise factor that leads him to the conclusion of 2000 prices.

The closest thing I can find is that he says lending standards have tightened to something close to 2000 standards … “These dynamics are actually much worse than what were in place in the summer of 2000”

What happens if lending standards tighten to 1985 standards (which I could see happening)? Does this mean we are headed to 1985 prices.

Give me something solid to hang your hat on regarding 2000 prices, not all the hype and emotion-laden prose …

my favorites …
“interrupted consumption binge”
“It’s a pleasant dream, but the wakeup call can’t be too far off.”
“every step down the housing abyss”
“horrific fundamentals”
“sentimental hope”
“sooner or later reality must intrude.”
“Once the wake up call sounds …”

and of course the last sentence …

“read my new book “Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse.””

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

This article cites all the obvious things, but does not identify the precise factor that leads him to the conclusion of 2000 prices.

The closest thing I can find is that he says lending standards have tightened to something close to 2000 standards … “These dynamics are actually much worse than what were in place in the summer of 2000”

What happens if lending standards tighten to 1985 standards (which I could see happening)? Does this mean we are headed to 1985 prices.

Give me something solid to hang your hat on regarding 2000 prices, not all the hype and emotion-laden prose …

my favorites …
“interrupted consumption binge”
“It’s a pleasant dream, but the wakeup call can’t be too far off.”
“every step down the housing abyss”
“horrific fundamentals”
“sentimental hope”
“sooner or later reality must intrude.”
“Once the wake up call sounds …”

and of course the last sentence …

“read my new book “Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse.””

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

This article cites all the obvious things, but does not identify the precise factor that leads him to the conclusion of 2000 prices.

The closest thing I can find is that he says lending standards have tightened to something close to 2000 standards … “These dynamics are actually much worse than what were in place in the summer of 2000”

What happens if lending standards tighten to 1985 standards (which I could see happening)? Does this mean we are headed to 1985 prices.

Give me something solid to hang your hat on regarding 2000 prices, not all the hype and emotion-laden prose …

my favorites …
“interrupted consumption binge”
“It’s a pleasant dream, but the wakeup call can’t be too far off.”
“every step down the housing abyss”
“horrific fundamentals”
“sentimental hope”
“sooner or later reality must intrude.”
“Once the wake up call sounds …”

and of course the last sentence …

“read my new book “Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse.””

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

This article cites all the obvious things, but does not identify the precise factor that leads him to the conclusion of 2000 prices.

The closest thing I can find is that he says lending standards have tightened to something close to 2000 standards … “These dynamics are actually much worse than what were in place in the summer of 2000”

What happens if lending standards tighten to 1985 standards (which I could see happening)? Does this mean we are headed to 1985 prices.

Give me something solid to hang your hat on regarding 2000 prices, not all the hype and emotion-laden prose …

my favorites …
“interrupted consumption binge”
“It’s a pleasant dream, but the wakeup call can’t be too far off.”
“every step down the housing abyss”
“horrific fundamentals”
“sentimental hope”
“sooner or later reality must intrude.”
“Once the wake up call sounds …”

and of course the last sentence …

“read my new book “Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse.””

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

For that short a time frame, liquid cash is the only option in my book.
The trend of dollar decline has stalled. Stocks, both US and foreign, can see wild swings over short periods of time. You can chose between + 3.5% guaranteed or something likely between + 20% or – 20% (but unknown).

You choose.

I would start picking exit points for stock. Get to the point where, if you lost 20-50% in your stocks that you could still implement your plan (or a related back-up plan).

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

For that short a time frame, liquid cash is the only option in my book.
The trend of dollar decline has stalled. Stocks, both US and foreign, can see wild swings over short periods of time. You can chose between + 3.5% guaranteed or something likely between + 20% or – 20% (but unknown).

You choose.

I would start picking exit points for stock. Get to the point where, if you lost 20-50% in your stocks that you could still implement your plan (or a related back-up plan).

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

For that short a time frame, liquid cash is the only option in my book.
The trend of dollar decline has stalled. Stocks, both US and foreign, can see wild swings over short periods of time. You can chose between + 3.5% guaranteed or something likely between + 20% or – 20% (but unknown).

You choose.

I would start picking exit points for stock. Get to the point where, if you lost 20-50% in your stocks that you could still implement your plan (or a related back-up plan).

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

For that short a time frame, liquid cash is the only option in my book.
The trend of dollar decline has stalled. Stocks, both US and foreign, can see wild swings over short periods of time. You can chose between + 3.5% guaranteed or something likely between + 20% or – 20% (but unknown).

You choose.

I would start picking exit points for stock. Get to the point where, if you lost 20-50% in your stocks that you could still implement your plan (or a related back-up plan).

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

For that short a time frame, liquid cash is the only option in my book.
The trend of dollar decline has stalled. Stocks, both US and foreign, can see wild swings over short periods of time. You can chose between + 3.5% guaranteed or something likely between + 20% or – 20% (but unknown).

You choose.

I would start picking exit points for stock. Get to the point where, if you lost 20-50% in your stocks that you could still implement your plan (or a related back-up plan).

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

sdduuuude makes a great point.

When you see the bottom, you will recognize the bottom, you will want the bottom, but most won’t be able to afford the bottom (because of loan conditions).

Much like the bottom shown below.

[img_assist|nid=8575|title=Hopefully this is what the bottom looks like|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=88|height=124]

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

sdduuuude makes a great point.

When you see the bottom, you will recognize the bottom, you will want the bottom, but most won’t be able to afford the bottom (because of loan conditions).

Much like the bottom shown below.

[img_assist|nid=8575|title=Hopefully this is what the bottom looks like|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=88|height=124]

[(former)FormerSanDiegan]

sdduuuude makes a great point.

When you see the bottom, you will recognize the bottom, you will want the bottom, but most won’t be able to afford the bottom (because of loan conditions).

Much like the bottom shown below.

[img_assist|nid=8575|title=Hopefully this is what the bottom looks like|desc=|link=node|align=left|width=88|height=124]

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