Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
March 17, 2009 at 8:31 AM in reply to: Slow decline or is a big chunk about to be ripped out? #368133March 17, 2009 at 8:31 AM in reply to: Slow decline or is a big chunk about to be ripped out? #368248
(former)FormerSanDiegan
Participant[quote=Russell]
FSD,
Looks like you pretty much hit a dead ringer. If the rest comes true you will have one of the most consistently accurate records and I believe it predates this blog. Your future predictions seem likely.[/quote]Thanks. I just hope nobody digs up my 2006 post predicting a 27% decline over 5 years.
ParticipantThe stocks of the four companies cited as being the principal cause, C, BAC, WFC, and JPM, are UP 60%, 53%, 37% and 49%, respectively since this article was written.
As a result, the TARP is now down only 27%, according to the same source* for the article.
Seems to me like the TARP is doing better than many pension funds, 201k’s, IRA’s, etc.
For the record, I am not the one who made the claim that TARP would be money good. Just thought it would be of interest to post the results of my 5 minutes of research on the contents of the article.ParticipantThe stocks of the four companies cited as being the principal cause, C, BAC, WFC, and JPM, are UP 60%, 53%, 37% and 49%, respectively since this article was written.
As a result, the TARP is now down only 27%, according to the same source* for the article.
Seems to me like the TARP is doing better than many pension funds, 201k’s, IRA’s, etc.
For the record, I am not the one who made the claim that TARP would be money good. Just thought it would be of interest to post the results of my 5 minutes of research on the contents of the article.ParticipantThe stocks of the four companies cited as being the principal cause, C, BAC, WFC, and JPM, are UP 60%, 53%, 37% and 49%, respectively since this article was written.
As a result, the TARP is now down only 27%, according to the same source* for the article.
Seems to me like the TARP is doing better than many pension funds, 201k’s, IRA’s, etc.
For the record, I am not the one who made the claim that TARP would be money good. Just thought it would be of interest to post the results of my 5 minutes of research on the contents of the article.ParticipantThe stocks of the four companies cited as being the principal cause, C, BAC, WFC, and JPM, are UP 60%, 53%, 37% and 49%, respectively since this article was written.
As a result, the TARP is now down only 27%, according to the same source* for the article.
Seems to me like the TARP is doing better than many pension funds, 201k’s, IRA’s, etc.
For the record, I am not the one who made the claim that TARP would be money good. Just thought it would be of interest to post the results of my 5 minutes of research on the contents of the article.ParticipantThe stocks of the four companies cited as being the principal cause, C, BAC, WFC, and JPM, are UP 60%, 53%, 37% and 49%, respectively since this article was written.
As a result, the TARP is now down only 27%, according to the same source* for the article.
Seems to me like the TARP is doing better than many pension funds, 201k’s, IRA’s, etc.
For the record, I am not the one who made the claim that TARP would be money good. Just thought it would be of interest to post the results of my 5 minutes of research on the contents of the article.March 16, 2009 at 8:58 AM in reply to: Slow decline or is a big chunk about to be ripped out? #366940ParticipantSubmitted by FormerSanDiegan on June 4, 2007 – 11:03am.
[quote=FormerSanDiegan]I believe that the seasonal strength remaining in some areas this Spring will be a faint memory by September.
I anticipate that for SD county the bulk of the price drops in the area-wide numbers (e.g. median and Case-Shiller) will take place in 2007 and 2008. Looking back to the last downturn, the largest price declines were a couple years after the peak. We are entering that period now in San Diego.It will look like a sharp decline in terms of the numbers, but as many here have noted, the changes in median price in this cycle has lagged the changes in similar house comparisons. I view the next 2 years as the reports finally catching up.
[/quote]
I will stick with what I said 15 months ago. I suspect that the bulk of the median price decline is behind us as 2008 ended. I expect that the median will still creep lower, until the high end finally drops to the point where there is activity in that part of the market.
March 16, 2009 at 8:58 AM in reply to: Slow decline or is a big chunk about to be ripped out? #367229ParticipantSubmitted by FormerSanDiegan on June 4, 2007 – 11:03am.
[quote=FormerSanDiegan]I believe that the seasonal strength remaining in some areas this Spring will be a faint memory by September.
I anticipate that for SD county the bulk of the price drops in the area-wide numbers (e.g. median and Case-Shiller) will take place in 2007 and 2008. Looking back to the last downturn, the largest price declines were a couple years after the peak. We are entering that period now in San Diego.It will look like a sharp decline in terms of the numbers, but as many here have noted, the changes in median price in this cycle has lagged the changes in similar house comparisons. I view the next 2 years as the reports finally catching up.
[/quote]
I will stick with what I said 15 months ago. I suspect that the bulk of the median price decline is behind us as 2008 ended. I expect that the median will still creep lower, until the high end finally drops to the point where there is activity in that part of the market.
March 16, 2009 at 8:58 AM in reply to: Slow decline or is a big chunk about to be ripped out? #367392ParticipantSubmitted by FormerSanDiegan on June 4, 2007 – 11:03am.
[quote=FormerSanDiegan]I believe that the seasonal strength remaining in some areas this Spring will be a faint memory by September.
I anticipate that for SD county the bulk of the price drops in the area-wide numbers (e.g. median and Case-Shiller) will take place in 2007 and 2008. Looking back to the last downturn, the largest price declines were a couple years after the peak. We are entering that period now in San Diego.It will look like a sharp decline in terms of the numbers, but as many here have noted, the changes in median price in this cycle has lagged the changes in similar house comparisons. I view the next 2 years as the reports finally catching up.
[/quote]
I will stick with what I said 15 months ago. I suspect that the bulk of the median price decline is behind us as 2008 ended. I expect that the median will still creep lower, until the high end finally drops to the point where there is activity in that part of the market.
March 16, 2009 at 8:58 AM in reply to: Slow decline or is a big chunk about to be ripped out? #367431ParticipantSubmitted by FormerSanDiegan on June 4, 2007 – 11:03am.
[quote=FormerSanDiegan]I believe that the seasonal strength remaining in some areas this Spring will be a faint memory by September.
I anticipate that for SD county the bulk of the price drops in the area-wide numbers (e.g. median and Case-Shiller) will take place in 2007 and 2008. Looking back to the last downturn, the largest price declines were a couple years after the peak. We are entering that period now in San Diego.It will look like a sharp decline in terms of the numbers, but as many here have noted, the changes in median price in this cycle has lagged the changes in similar house comparisons. I view the next 2 years as the reports finally catching up.
[/quote]
I will stick with what I said 15 months ago. I suspect that the bulk of the median price decline is behind us as 2008 ended. I expect that the median will still creep lower, until the high end finally drops to the point where there is activity in that part of the market.
March 16, 2009 at 8:58 AM in reply to: Slow decline or is a big chunk about to be ripped out? #367542ParticipantSubmitted by FormerSanDiegan on June 4, 2007 – 11:03am.
[quote=FormerSanDiegan]I believe that the seasonal strength remaining in some areas this Spring will be a faint memory by September.
I anticipate that for SD county the bulk of the price drops in the area-wide numbers (e.g. median and Case-Shiller) will take place in 2007 and 2008. Looking back to the last downturn, the largest price declines were a couple years after the peak. We are entering that period now in San Diego.It will look like a sharp decline in terms of the numbers, but as many here have noted, the changes in median price in this cycle has lagged the changes in similar house comparisons. I view the next 2 years as the reports finally catching up.
[/quote]
I will stick with what I said 15 months ago. I suspect that the bulk of the median price decline is behind us as 2008 ended. I expect that the median will still creep lower, until the high end finally drops to the point where there is activity in that part of the market.
Participant[quote=Russell]Maybe FSD is being Facetious, I can’t tell anymore.[/quote]
I usually am, but the comment in question was made by FO.
Participant[quote=Russell]Maybe FSD is being Facetious, I can’t tell anymore.[/quote]
I usually am, but the comment in question was made by FO.
Participant[quote=Russell]Maybe FSD is being Facetious, I can’t tell anymore.[/quote]
I usually am, but the comment in question was made by FO.
-
AuthorPosts
