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Fearful
ParticipantMaybe CV is sort of a sweet spot for value preservation: At the top of the “plankton food chain”; strongly affected by move-up equity transfers (unlike the $raptorduck territory) but not vulnerable to the initial speculation runup; preserved by the school system … the houses did not initially attract reckless buyers, and those same buyers are more likely to shrug off the high cost by virtue of the schools … also, the schools attract buyers willing to hold on longer than the typical … what does the future hold? Gravity eventually takes hold; as cost differentials to further north and to the east increase, downward pressure …
ParticipantMaybe CV is sort of a sweet spot for value preservation: At the top of the “plankton food chain”; strongly affected by move-up equity transfers (unlike the $raptorduck territory) but not vulnerable to the initial speculation runup; preserved by the school system … the houses did not initially attract reckless buyers, and those same buyers are more likely to shrug off the high cost by virtue of the schools … also, the schools attract buyers willing to hold on longer than the typical … what does the future hold? Gravity eventually takes hold; as cost differentials to further north and to the east increase, downward pressure …
ParticipantTrulia.com is pretty funny. I read some of the Q&A section. Like shark infested waters – packed with hungry realtors. I am tempted to chum it: “Hi! We are a young couple with a bunch of money looking to buy our first home. Is it a good time to buy in San Diego?”
ParticipantTrulia.com is pretty funny. I read some of the Q&A section. Like shark infested waters – packed with hungry realtors. I am tempted to chum it: “Hi! We are a young couple with a bunch of money looking to buy our first home. Is it a good time to buy in San Diego?”
ParticipantTrulia.com is pretty funny. I read some of the Q&A section. Like shark infested waters – packed with hungry realtors. I am tempted to chum it: “Hi! We are a young couple with a bunch of money looking to buy our first home. Is it a good time to buy in San Diego?”
ParticipantTrulia.com is pretty funny. I read some of the Q&A section. Like shark infested waters – packed with hungry realtors. I am tempted to chum it: “Hi! We are a young couple with a bunch of money looking to buy our first home. Is it a good time to buy in San Diego?”
ParticipantTrulia.com is pretty funny. I read some of the Q&A section. Like shark infested waters – packed with hungry realtors. I am tempted to chum it: “Hi! We are a young couple with a bunch of money looking to buy our first home. Is it a good time to buy in San Diego?”
ParticipantI am a little surprised that knowledge of the changed conforming loan limits did not affect the February slide.
Regarding your 15-20%, assuming the real (deflated by CPI) bottom is reached in 2012, and prices reach the 1997 nadir, the prices have now got about 40% yet to go on a nominal basis.
ParticipantI am a little surprised that knowledge of the changed conforming loan limits did not affect the February slide.
Regarding your 15-20%, assuming the real (deflated by CPI) bottom is reached in 2012, and prices reach the 1997 nadir, the prices have now got about 40% yet to go on a nominal basis.
ParticipantI am a little surprised that knowledge of the changed conforming loan limits did not affect the February slide.
Regarding your 15-20%, assuming the real (deflated by CPI) bottom is reached in 2012, and prices reach the 1997 nadir, the prices have now got about 40% yet to go on a nominal basis.
ParticipantI am a little surprised that knowledge of the changed conforming loan limits did not affect the February slide.
Regarding your 15-20%, assuming the real (deflated by CPI) bottom is reached in 2012, and prices reach the 1997 nadir, the prices have now got about 40% yet to go on a nominal basis.
ParticipantI am a little surprised that knowledge of the changed conforming loan limits did not affect the February slide.
Regarding your 15-20%, assuming the real (deflated by CPI) bottom is reached in 2012, and prices reach the 1997 nadir, the prices have now got about 40% yet to go on a nominal basis.
ParticipantSure thing. Nominal:
(L M H A)
-31% -26% -17% -24%Deflated by US-CPI:
vs. peak
-36% -31% -22% -29%YoY
-30% -24% -16% -22%MoM
-4.4% -4.1% -3.0% -3.9%The decline really took off beginning last August. I guess that should not be a surprise. I wonder what full year August numbers will show.
If you annualize the monthly declines, the numbers are truly awful.
Nominal:
-40% -38% -28% -36%Real:
-42% -40% -31% -38%ParticipantSure thing. Nominal:
(L M H A)
-31% -26% -17% -24%Deflated by US-CPI:
vs. peak
-36% -31% -22% -29%YoY
-30% -24% -16% -22%MoM
-4.4% -4.1% -3.0% -3.9%The decline really took off beginning last August. I guess that should not be a surprise. I wonder what full year August numbers will show.
If you annualize the monthly declines, the numbers are truly awful.
Nominal:
-40% -38% -28% -36%Real:
-42% -40% -31% -38% -
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