[DWCAP]

let me cavat that,

not saying AN is wrong, just that months of supply is one of those indicators that can swing wildly. Wasnt months of supply in the height of the bubble, 2004, like 3 weeks?

[DWCAP]

let me cavat that,

not saying AN is wrong, just that months of supply is one of those indicators that can swing wildly. Wasnt months of supply in the height of the bubble, 2004, like 3 weeks?

[DWCAP]

In my head it was six months supply is considered normal, but that is +/- 1 month. If it were a normal market it wouldnt be unusal to see 5 month supply’s in the spring rush and 7 month supplys in the fall slowing before properties that didnt sell delist for the winter. But this is just what I have in my head and could be totally wrong.

AN, another way to think about it is that MM is one of the most manipulated markets right now, and months of supply as a stand alone indicator in a highly manipulated market can often be totally wrong.

[DWCAP]

In my head it was six months supply is considered normal, but that is +/- 1 month. If it were a normal market it wouldnt be unusal to see 5 month supply’s in the spring rush and 7 month supplys in the fall slowing before properties that didnt sell delist for the winter. But this is just what I have in my head and could be totally wrong.

AN, another way to think about it is that MM is one of the most manipulated markets right now, and months of supply as a stand alone indicator in a highly manipulated market can often be totally wrong.

[DWCAP]

In my head it was six months supply is considered normal, but that is +/- 1 month. If it were a normal market it wouldnt be unusal to see 5 month supply’s in the spring rush and 7 month supplys in the fall slowing before properties that didnt sell delist for the winter. But this is just what I have in my head and could be totally wrong.

AN, another way to think about it is that MM is one of the most manipulated markets right now, and months of supply as a stand alone indicator in a highly manipulated market can often be totally wrong.

[DWCAP]

In my head it was six months supply is considered normal, but that is +/- 1 month. If it were a normal market it wouldnt be unusal to see 5 month supply’s in the spring rush and 7 month supplys in the fall slowing before properties that didnt sell delist for the winter. But this is just what I have in my head and could be totally wrong.

AN, another way to think about it is that MM is one of the most manipulated markets right now, and months of supply as a stand alone indicator in a highly manipulated market can often be totally wrong.

[DWCAP]

In my head it was six months supply is considered normal, but that is +/- 1 month. If it were a normal market it wouldnt be unusal to see 5 month supply’s in the spring rush and 7 month supplys in the fall slowing before properties that didnt sell delist for the winter. But this is just what I have in my head and could be totally wrong.

AN, another way to think about it is that MM is one of the most manipulated markets right now, and months of supply as a stand alone indicator in a highly manipulated market can often be totally wrong.

[DWCAP]

I think the avidavids that she didnt know what he was doing, he didnt know what she was doing, and he didnt know what his firm was doing but decided to buy millions in stock is just to much. I laughed my ass off at that. Do people actually believe this stuff, or do they just not wanna get in a fight about this kinda crap?

[DWCAP]

I think the avidavids that she didnt know what he was doing, he didnt know what she was doing, and he didnt know what his firm was doing but decided to buy millions in stock is just to much. I laughed my ass off at that. Do people actually believe this stuff, or do they just not wanna get in a fight about this kinda crap?

[DWCAP]

I think the avidavids that she didnt know what he was doing, he didnt know what she was doing, and he didnt know what his firm was doing but decided to buy millions in stock is just to much. I laughed my ass off at that. Do people actually believe this stuff, or do they just not wanna get in a fight about this kinda crap?

[DWCAP]

I think the avidavids that she didnt know what he was doing, he didnt know what she was doing, and he didnt know what his firm was doing but decided to buy millions in stock is just to much. I laughed my ass off at that. Do people actually believe this stuff, or do they just not wanna get in a fight about this kinda crap?

[DWCAP]

I think the avidavids that she didnt know what he was doing, he didnt know what she was doing, and he didnt know what his firm was doing but decided to buy millions in stock is just to much. I laughed my ass off at that. Do people actually believe this stuff, or do they just not wanna get in a fight about this kinda crap?

[DWCAP]

Maybe I missed something in that article, but I see two really glairing problems with this idea, other than the fact that it is so irresponsible and cruel.

1) This would depress sales, not increase them. The closer and closer to the “hat picking date” more and more stores would demand credit/check/or debt payments and not cash. Hell a few weeks before they wouldnt accept cash at all. But consumers would be DEMANDING to pay in cash, cause they would want to get rid of it. Sales would plumet, or prices skyrocket by 10% plus. Vending machines would all suddenly be “out of service”. Those terrible ‘pay day loan’ places would be screwed as no one would want cash (maybe a fringe benifit???)
It would fall terribly hard on the poorest people, who use cash because they are terrible credit risks and dont have enough money for legit bank accounts. How would kids/teens get payed or pay for stuff? There is a bill now to outlaw them having a credit card in the Senate. So they wouldnt be able to avoid the financial losses as we would, and believe it or not they spend alot of money. (movies, clothes, junk food, etc) It would be crazyness.

2) To avoid the above crazyness, most people would just deposit most of their cash money in the banks. I could deposit $100 the day before the devaluation, the bank would loose $10 per deposit overall, but would still owe me $100 the day after. It would wipe out the banks capital ratio’s, atleast the ones linked to hard cash in their vaults. And arnt we spending trillions to shore up the banks already? So maybe the banks only loose a few billion, how many people think they can withstand that kinda loss in 1 day?

I just dont see how this is a good idea at all, unless you put your time interval for evalation to end like a month before all hell broke loose.

[DWCAP]

Maybe I missed something in that article, but I see two really glairing problems with this idea, other than the fact that it is so irresponsible and cruel.

1) This would depress sales, not increase them. The closer and closer to the “hat picking date” more and more stores would demand credit/check/or debt payments and not cash. Hell a few weeks before they wouldnt accept cash at all. But consumers would be DEMANDING to pay in cash, cause they would want to get rid of it. Sales would plumet, or prices skyrocket by 10% plus. Vending machines would all suddenly be “out of service”. Those terrible ‘pay day loan’ places would be screwed as no one would want cash (maybe a fringe benifit???)
It would fall terribly hard on the poorest people, who use cash because they are terrible credit risks and dont have enough money for legit bank accounts. How would kids/teens get payed or pay for stuff? There is a bill now to outlaw them having a credit card in the Senate. So they wouldnt be able to avoid the financial losses as we would, and believe it or not they spend alot of money. (movies, clothes, junk food, etc) It would be crazyness.

2) To avoid the above crazyness, most people would just deposit most of their cash money in the banks. I could deposit $100 the day before the devaluation, the bank would loose $10 per deposit overall, but would still owe me $100 the day after. It would wipe out the banks capital ratio’s, atleast the ones linked to hard cash in their vaults. And arnt we spending trillions to shore up the banks already? So maybe the banks only loose a few billion, how many people think they can withstand that kinda loss in 1 day?

I just dont see how this is a good idea at all, unless you put your time interval for evalation to end like a month before all hell broke loose.

[DWCAP]

Maybe I missed something in that article, but I see two really glairing problems with this idea, other than the fact that it is so irresponsible and cruel.

1) This would depress sales, not increase them. The closer and closer to the “hat picking date” more and more stores would demand credit/check/or debt payments and not cash. Hell a few weeks before they wouldnt accept cash at all. But consumers would be DEMANDING to pay in cash, cause they would want to get rid of it. Sales would plumet, or prices skyrocket by 10% plus. Vending machines would all suddenly be “out of service”. Those terrible ‘pay day loan’ places would be screwed as no one would want cash (maybe a fringe benifit???)
It would fall terribly hard on the poorest people, who use cash because they are terrible credit risks and dont have enough money for legit bank accounts. How would kids/teens get payed or pay for stuff? There is a bill now to outlaw them having a credit card in the Senate. So they wouldnt be able to avoid the financial losses as we would, and believe it or not they spend alot of money. (movies, clothes, junk food, etc) It would be crazyness.

2) To avoid the above crazyness, most people would just deposit most of their cash money in the banks. I could deposit $100 the day before the devaluation, the bank would loose $10 per deposit overall, but would still owe me $100 the day after. It would wipe out the banks capital ratio’s, atleast the ones linked to hard cash in their vaults. And arnt we spending trillions to shore up the banks already? So maybe the banks only loose a few billion, how many people think they can withstand that kinda loss in 1 day?

I just dont see how this is a good idea at all, unless you put your time interval for evalation to end like a month before all hell broke loose.

[Author]

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