[bsrsharma]

which is how the Japanese stole the business from the U.S. manufacturers

That is the operative statement. Wait for versions 2 or 3, we may all be buying.  Just like Microsoft Windows! 

[bsrsharma]

which is how the Japanese stole the business from the U.S. manufacturers

That is the operative statement. Wait for versions 2 or 3, we may all be buying.  Just like Microsoft Windows! 

[bsrsharma]

They are just raising rates

On the flip side, they are offering  one of the highest rates on FDIC insured deposits to attract funds. Agreed,  they may fail. But you can get good rates while it lasts.  I may bite!

[bsrsharma]

They are just raising rates

On the flip side, they are offering  one of the highest rates on FDIC insured deposits to attract funds. Agreed,  they may fail. But you can get good rates while it lasts.  I may bite!

[bsrsharma]

They are just raising rates

On the flip side, they are offering  one of the highest rates on FDIC insured deposits to attract funds. Agreed,  they may fail. But you can get good rates while it lasts.  I may bite!

[bsrsharma]

basics that your parents had.

I share the same sentiment. My recommendation is to try to move to one of the "Red" (inland) states. Nothing political; those have affordable family friendly housing costs. Atlanta, Dallas/Ft.Worth/Austin/Charlotte/Nashville etc., look good if your job skills are geographically portable and you are not tied down by inseparable family bonds.

[bsrsharma]

basics that your parents had.

I share the same sentiment. My recommendation is to try to move to one of the "Red" (inland) states. Nothing political; those have affordable family friendly housing costs. Atlanta, Dallas/Ft.Worth/Austin/Charlotte/Nashville etc., look good if your job skills are geographically portable and you are not tied down by inseparable family bonds.

[bsrsharma]

basics that your parents had.

I share the same sentiment. My recommendation is to try to move to one of the "Red" (inland) states. Nothing political; those have affordable family friendly housing costs. Atlanta, Dallas/Ft.Worth/Austin/Charlotte/Nashville etc., look good if your job skills are geographically portable and you are not tied down by inseparable family bonds.

[bsrsharma]

cashman,

Being in a somewhat similar situation, I am planning to place all my cash in FDIC insured accounts with highest returns possible in multiple institutions (i.e. not exceeding $100K at a place). After the last weeks BNP Paribas news, I am sceptical about earning reports etc., I suspect most institutions have exposure to real estate, especially residential kind. Also, HELOC, credit card debt will all be impacted by real estate defaults. I saw S & L crisis from up close and if there is one thing I learnt, it is how irrational asset valuations can be.

[bsrsharma]

cashman,

Being in a somewhat similar situation, I am planning to place all my cash in FDIC insured accounts with highest returns possible in multiple institutions (i.e. not exceeding $100K at a place). After the last weeks BNP Paribas news, I am sceptical about earning reports etc., I suspect most institutions have exposure to real estate, especially residential kind. Also, HELOC, credit card debt will all be impacted by real estate defaults. I saw S & L crisis from up close and if there is one thing I learnt, it is how irrational asset valuations can be.

[bsrsharma]

cashman,

Being in a somewhat similar situation, I am planning to place all my cash in FDIC insured accounts with highest returns possible in multiple institutions (i.e. not exceeding $100K at a place). After the last weeks BNP Paribas news, I am sceptical about earning reports etc., I suspect most institutions have exposure to real estate, especially residential kind. Also, HELOC, credit card debt will all be impacted by real estate defaults. I saw S & L crisis from up close and if there is one thing I learnt, it is how irrational asset valuations can be.

[bsrsharma]

No simple answer. It is a function of both location & price range. Good locations are likely to decline some what less while the bottom will fall out of the lowest fifth or so (in desirability).

In terms of price, the Jumbo kind in the 500K – 800K will get hit hardest. Practically that market has gone away overnight due to near non-availability of reasonable mortgage.

If you integrate all transaction over next 5 years, my guess is a 50% decline in today’s prices. Of course, if inflation is severe, the nominal decline may be much less. In case of hyper inflation, there may not even be a nominal decline (or may be there will be a net increase, nominally). If that happens, you can of course see the impact on exchange value of $ and also purchasing power decline.

[bsrsharma]

No simple answer. It is a function of both location & price range. Good locations are likely to decline some what less while the bottom will fall out of the lowest fifth or so (in desirability).

In terms of price, the Jumbo kind in the 500K – 800K will get hit hardest. Practically that market has gone away overnight due to near non-availability of reasonable mortgage.

If you integrate all transaction over next 5 years, my guess is a 50% decline in today’s prices. Of course, if inflation is severe, the nominal decline may be much less. In case of hyper inflation, there may not even be a nominal decline (or may be there will be a net increase, nominally). If that happens, you can of course see the impact on exchange value of $ and also purchasing power decline.

[bsrsharma]

No simple answer. It is a function of both location & price range. Good locations are likely to decline some what less while the bottom will fall out of the lowest fifth or so (in desirability).

In terms of price, the Jumbo kind in the 500K – 800K will get hit hardest. Practically that market has gone away overnight due to near non-availability of reasonable mortgage.

If you integrate all transaction over next 5 years, my guess is a 50% decline in today’s prices. Of course, if inflation is severe, the nominal decline may be much less. In case of hyper inflation, there may not even be a nominal decline (or may be there will be a net increase, nominally). If that happens, you can of course see the impact on exchange value of $ and also purchasing power decline.

[bsrsharma]

This is an interesting anecdote from a FDIC employee involved in the S & L Crisis of the 1980s. Shows the complexities of FDIC insurance. Be careful if you have a bunch of cash!

A LIFE SAVINGS NEARLY LOST

Twelve days after a bank closing in Hennessay, OK, in late 1985, only four FDIC employees remained at the bank to complete a payoff. By then, there were no more than a dozen uninsured depositors with whom we had not met. At noon, an elderly woman walked into the lobby and was shown to my office. We got right to business, and she explained that her husband had just retired after 40 years with a local farmers’ co-op. The couple had four accounts with the bank—a checking account with a few thousand dollars, a savings account with about $10,000, and two Certificates of Deposit, each for $100,000. One CD was in her name, payable upon death to her husband. The other was in her husband’s name, payable upon death to her. The bank had set up these two CD accounts so both would be protected with FDIC insurance. I told the woman that the CDs would be covered with FDIC insurance, but the other two accounts would not because they were set up jointly with her husband. She and her husband were each entitled to $100,000 of protection for the CDs, but they would lose the roughly $12,000 in smaller accounts. The woman sighed at losing $12,000, then told me that her husband had passed away on the same day the bank failed and she could not cope with any more bad news. I was shocked at this revelation because I realized that when her husband died, the CD in his name became her property. So, she was probably going to lose the other $100,000, which only seconds before I had told her was covered by FDIC insurance. I had no choice but to give her the bad news. She became extremely distraught at the thought of losing more than half of her and her late husband’s life savings. FDIC staff decided to consult a senior attorney in Washington about the matter, who asked the time of death. He explained that we were paying out funds based on the ownership at 3:00 p.m. on the day the bank closed, so if the husband was alive then, the insurance limits would cover both of them. I volunteered to call the woman to find out the time of death. The phone rang and rang. Finally, she picked up and I got the answer I was hoping for. Her husband had died at 10:15…p.m. So both CDs were, indeed, covered. I gave a thumbs up! –Robert C. Schoppe

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