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March 17, 2008 at 7:07 PM in reply to: Remember the Cal Poly Professor who wrote a paper refuting the housing bubble? #171982March 17, 2008 at 7:07 PM in reply to: Remember the Cal Poly Professor who wrote a paper refuting the housing bubble? #172316alarmclockParticipant
From Page 2 of the most recent version of the paper (2006):
Defining a Bubble
Charles Kindleberger (1987) defined a bubble this way:
a sharp rise in price of an asset or a range of assets in a continuous process, with the initial
rise generating expectations of further rises and attracting new buyers—generally
speculators interested in profits from trading rather than in its use or earning capacity. The
rise is then followed by a reversal of expectations and a sharp decline in price, often
resulting in severe financial crisis—in short, the bubble bursts.Also, looks like his wife offers financial advice: http://www.smithfinancialplace.com/ I wonder if they recommended buying MBSs on option, 30-to-1 leverage. She has a book coming out, Houseonomics, May 2008: http://smithfinancialplace.com/?q=node/27 ??
March 17, 2008 at 7:07 PM in reply to: Remember the Cal Poly Professor who wrote a paper refuting the housing bubble? #172319alarmclockParticipantFrom Page 2 of the most recent version of the paper (2006):
Defining a Bubble
Charles Kindleberger (1987) defined a bubble this way:
a sharp rise in price of an asset or a range of assets in a continuous process, with the initial
rise generating expectations of further rises and attracting new buyers—generally
speculators interested in profits from trading rather than in its use or earning capacity. The
rise is then followed by a reversal of expectations and a sharp decline in price, often
resulting in severe financial crisis—in short, the bubble bursts.Also, looks like his wife offers financial advice: http://www.smithfinancialplace.com/ I wonder if they recommended buying MBSs on option, 30-to-1 leverage. She has a book coming out, Houseonomics, May 2008: http://smithfinancialplace.com/?q=node/27 ??
March 17, 2008 at 7:07 PM in reply to: Remember the Cal Poly Professor who wrote a paper refuting the housing bubble? #172339alarmclockParticipantFrom Page 2 of the most recent version of the paper (2006):
Defining a Bubble
Charles Kindleberger (1987) defined a bubble this way:
a sharp rise in price of an asset or a range of assets in a continuous process, with the initial
rise generating expectations of further rises and attracting new buyers—generally
speculators interested in profits from trading rather than in its use or earning capacity. The
rise is then followed by a reversal of expectations and a sharp decline in price, often
resulting in severe financial crisis—in short, the bubble bursts.Also, looks like his wife offers financial advice: http://www.smithfinancialplace.com/ I wonder if they recommended buying MBSs on option, 30-to-1 leverage. She has a book coming out, Houseonomics, May 2008: http://smithfinancialplace.com/?q=node/27 ??
March 17, 2008 at 7:07 PM in reply to: Remember the Cal Poly Professor who wrote a paper refuting the housing bubble? #172420alarmclockParticipantFrom Page 2 of the most recent version of the paper (2006):
Defining a Bubble
Charles Kindleberger (1987) defined a bubble this way:
a sharp rise in price of an asset or a range of assets in a continuous process, with the initial
rise generating expectations of further rises and attracting new buyers—generally
speculators interested in profits from trading rather than in its use or earning capacity. The
rise is then followed by a reversal of expectations and a sharp decline in price, often
resulting in severe financial crisis—in short, the bubble bursts.Also, looks like his wife offers financial advice: http://www.smithfinancialplace.com/ I wonder if they recommended buying MBSs on option, 30-to-1 leverage. She has a book coming out, Houseonomics, May 2008: http://smithfinancialplace.com/?q=node/27 ??
March 16, 2008 at 6:05 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171132alarmclockParticipantNevermind, I hadn’t read this yet
http://piggington.com/a_nother_brief_moment_on_the_bear_stearns_situationMarch 16, 2008 at 6:05 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171463alarmclockParticipantNevermind, I hadn’t read this yet
http://piggington.com/a_nother_brief_moment_on_the_bear_stearns_situationMarch 16, 2008 at 6:05 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171470alarmclockParticipantNevermind, I hadn’t read this yet
http://piggington.com/a_nother_brief_moment_on_the_bear_stearns_situationMarch 16, 2008 at 6:05 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171490alarmclockParticipantNevermind, I hadn’t read this yet
http://piggington.com/a_nother_brief_moment_on_the_bear_stearns_situationMarch 16, 2008 at 6:05 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171571alarmclockParticipantNevermind, I hadn’t read this yet
http://piggington.com/a_nother_brief_moment_on_the_bear_stearns_situationMarch 16, 2008 at 6:04 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171127alarmclockParticipant1) So the Fed intervened by offering credit to support JP’s acquisition of Chase… what *exactly* did the Fed’s intervention prevent? Isn’t this pretty much the worst-case scenario for Bear?
2) WTF did sarbox actually do for anyone?
3) If this is a domino (carlyle > bear), who is the next go go? Will it be Lehman?
March 16, 2008 at 6:04 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171459alarmclockParticipant1) So the Fed intervened by offering credit to support JP’s acquisition of Chase… what *exactly* did the Fed’s intervention prevent? Isn’t this pretty much the worst-case scenario for Bear?
2) WTF did sarbox actually do for anyone?
3) If this is a domino (carlyle > bear), who is the next go go? Will it be Lehman?
March 16, 2008 at 6:04 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171464alarmclockParticipant1) So the Fed intervened by offering credit to support JP’s acquisition of Chase… what *exactly* did the Fed’s intervention prevent? Isn’t this pretty much the worst-case scenario for Bear?
2) WTF did sarbox actually do for anyone?
3) If this is a domino (carlyle > bear), who is the next go go? Will it be Lehman?
March 16, 2008 at 6:04 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171484alarmclockParticipant1) So the Fed intervened by offering credit to support JP’s acquisition of Chase… what *exactly* did the Fed’s intervention prevent? Isn’t this pretty much the worst-case scenario for Bear?
2) WTF did sarbox actually do for anyone?
3) If this is a domino (carlyle > bear), who is the next go go? Will it be Lehman?
March 16, 2008 at 6:04 PM in reply to: JPM offers to buy Bear for $2/shared; Fed cuts discount rate #171565alarmclockParticipant1) So the Fed intervened by offering credit to support JP’s acquisition of Chase… what *exactly* did the Fed’s intervention prevent? Isn’t this pretty much the worst-case scenario for Bear?
2) WTF did sarbox actually do for anyone?
3) If this is a domino (carlyle > bear), who is the next go go? Will it be Lehman?
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