[4plexowner]

“After rents increase in 5-10 years, the cash flow on this would greatly outweigh any investment options.”

What makes you think rents will rise in 5-10 years? What if they don’t?

I’m not saying that rents won’t rise (after they drop significantly) but it sounds to me like you are trying to rationalize a purchase rather than rationally analyze a potential investment

“greatly outweigh any investment options” – again, sounds like you are trying to convince yourself that buying a depreciating asset in a market where both prices and rents are declining somehow makes sense

[4plexowner]

“After rents increase in 5-10 years, the cash flow on this would greatly outweigh any investment options.”

What makes you think rents will rise in 5-10 years? What if they don’t?

I’m not saying that rents won’t rise (after they drop significantly) but it sounds to me like you are trying to rationalize a purchase rather than rationally analyze a potential investment

“greatly outweigh any investment options” – again, sounds like you are trying to convince yourself that buying a depreciating asset in a market where both prices and rents are declining somehow makes sense

[4plexowner]

“After rents increase in 5-10 years, the cash flow on this would greatly outweigh any investment options.”

What makes you think rents will rise in 5-10 years? What if they don’t?

I’m not saying that rents won’t rise (after they drop significantly) but it sounds to me like you are trying to rationalize a purchase rather than rationally analyze a potential investment

“greatly outweigh any investment options” – again, sounds like you are trying to convince yourself that buying a depreciating asset in a market where both prices and rents are declining somehow makes sense

[4plexowner]

“After rents increase in 5-10 years, the cash flow on this would greatly outweigh any investment options.”

What makes you think rents will rise in 5-10 years? What if they don’t?

I’m not saying that rents won’t rise (after they drop significantly) but it sounds to me like you are trying to rationalize a purchase rather than rationally analyze a potential investment

“greatly outweigh any investment options” – again, sounds like you are trying to convince yourself that buying a depreciating asset in a market where both prices and rents are declining somehow makes sense

[4plexowner]

“After rents increase in 5-10 years, the cash flow on this would greatly outweigh any investment options.”

What makes you think rents will rise in 5-10 years? What if they don’t?

I’m not saying that rents won’t rise (after they drop significantly) but it sounds to me like you are trying to rationalize a purchase rather than rationally analyze a potential investment

“greatly outweigh any investment options” – again, sounds like you are trying to convince yourself that buying a depreciating asset in a market where both prices and rents are declining somehow makes sense

[4plexowner]

Harry Schultz is predicting a “V” shaped economy – we are currently in the downward leg with the bottom of the “V” around 2017 – his prediction allows for rallies of up to 1 year’s duration during this “V” period (just another piece of data – take it for what it’s worth)

~

“nominal prices”, “inflation adjusted”, “peak prices” – too confusing for my simple mind and, IMO, if you have to play these mental masturbation games you are trying to rationalize something that probably doesn’t make sense

[4plexowner]

Harry Schultz is predicting a “V” shaped economy – we are currently in the downward leg with the bottom of the “V” around 2017 – his prediction allows for rallies of up to 1 year’s duration during this “V” period (just another piece of data – take it for what it’s worth)

~

“nominal prices”, “inflation adjusted”, “peak prices” – too confusing for my simple mind and, IMO, if you have to play these mental masturbation games you are trying to rationalize something that probably doesn’t make sense

[4plexowner]

Harry Schultz is predicting a “V” shaped economy – we are currently in the downward leg with the bottom of the “V” around 2017 – his prediction allows for rallies of up to 1 year’s duration during this “V” period (just another piece of data – take it for what it’s worth)

~

“nominal prices”, “inflation adjusted”, “peak prices” – too confusing for my simple mind and, IMO, if you have to play these mental masturbation games you are trying to rationalize something that probably doesn’t make sense

[4plexowner]

Harry Schultz is predicting a “V” shaped economy – we are currently in the downward leg with the bottom of the “V” around 2017 – his prediction allows for rallies of up to 1 year’s duration during this “V” period (just another piece of data – take it for what it’s worth)

~

“nominal prices”, “inflation adjusted”, “peak prices” – too confusing for my simple mind and, IMO, if you have to play these mental masturbation games you are trying to rationalize something that probably doesn’t make sense

[4plexowner]

Harry Schultz is predicting a “V” shaped economy – we are currently in the downward leg with the bottom of the “V” around 2017 – his prediction allows for rallies of up to 1 year’s duration during this “V” period (just another piece of data – take it for what it’s worth)

~

“nominal prices”, “inflation adjusted”, “peak prices” – too confusing for my simple mind and, IMO, if you have to play these mental masturbation games you are trying to rationalize something that probably doesn’t make sense

[4plexowner]

the people that write about bubble psychology say that once a bubble pops the people will not re-enter that market for a full generation – ie, the no-longer-bubbly asset is not even considered as an investment possibility for a full generation at least

that would put the start of the next appreciation cycle in real estate around 2027 (20 years from peak) to 2047 (40 years from peak)

I have been reading Martin Armstrong’s papers looking in particular for his thoughts on real estate – he says earliest recovery is 4 years from peak which is 2011 – more likely is 10 years from peak which is 2017 – outside possibility is that real estate is NEVER again considered an investment

[google Martin Armstrong and you will find his works – eye opening the way he is being treated by our government – Kondratieff was put to death for the same accuracy in economic forecasting that Mr. Armstrong has demonstrated]

I believe that bubble psychology is worth giving some thought to when considering San Diego real estate prices – be careful comparing what happened from 1998 to 2007 to previous real estate cycles

~

before I started selling my rental units I researched all the real estate bears I could find (2002-2004 timeframe) – John Templeton was predicting as much as a 70% decline in US real estate values – his was the most bearish prediction I found

[4plexowner]

the people that write about bubble psychology say that once a bubble pops the people will not re-enter that market for a full generation – ie, the no-longer-bubbly asset is not even considered as an investment possibility for a full generation at least

that would put the start of the next appreciation cycle in real estate around 2027 (20 years from peak) to 2047 (40 years from peak)

I have been reading Martin Armstrong’s papers looking in particular for his thoughts on real estate – he says earliest recovery is 4 years from peak which is 2011 – more likely is 10 years from peak which is 2017 – outside possibility is that real estate is NEVER again considered an investment

[google Martin Armstrong and you will find his works – eye opening the way he is being treated by our government – Kondratieff was put to death for the same accuracy in economic forecasting that Mr. Armstrong has demonstrated]

I believe that bubble psychology is worth giving some thought to when considering San Diego real estate prices – be careful comparing what happened from 1998 to 2007 to previous real estate cycles

~

before I started selling my rental units I researched all the real estate bears I could find (2002-2004 timeframe) – John Templeton was predicting as much as a 70% decline in US real estate values – his was the most bearish prediction I found

[4plexowner]

the people that write about bubble psychology say that once a bubble pops the people will not re-enter that market for a full generation – ie, the no-longer-bubbly asset is not even considered as an investment possibility for a full generation at least

that would put the start of the next appreciation cycle in real estate around 2027 (20 years from peak) to 2047 (40 years from peak)

I have been reading Martin Armstrong’s papers looking in particular for his thoughts on real estate – he says earliest recovery is 4 years from peak which is 2011 – more likely is 10 years from peak which is 2017 – outside possibility is that real estate is NEVER again considered an investment

[google Martin Armstrong and you will find his works – eye opening the way he is being treated by our government – Kondratieff was put to death for the same accuracy in economic forecasting that Mr. Armstrong has demonstrated]

I believe that bubble psychology is worth giving some thought to when considering San Diego real estate prices – be careful comparing what happened from 1998 to 2007 to previous real estate cycles

~

before I started selling my rental units I researched all the real estate bears I could find (2002-2004 timeframe) – John Templeton was predicting as much as a 70% decline in US real estate values – his was the most bearish prediction I found

[4plexowner]

the people that write about bubble psychology say that once a bubble pops the people will not re-enter that market for a full generation – ie, the no-longer-bubbly asset is not even considered as an investment possibility for a full generation at least

that would put the start of the next appreciation cycle in real estate around 2027 (20 years from peak) to 2047 (40 years from peak)

I have been reading Martin Armstrong’s papers looking in particular for his thoughts on real estate – he says earliest recovery is 4 years from peak which is 2011 – more likely is 10 years from peak which is 2017 – outside possibility is that real estate is NEVER again considered an investment

[google Martin Armstrong and you will find his works – eye opening the way he is being treated by our government – Kondratieff was put to death for the same accuracy in economic forecasting that Mr. Armstrong has demonstrated]

I believe that bubble psychology is worth giving some thought to when considering San Diego real estate prices – be careful comparing what happened from 1998 to 2007 to previous real estate cycles

~

before I started selling my rental units I researched all the real estate bears I could find (2002-2004 timeframe) – John Templeton was predicting as much as a 70% decline in US real estate values – his was the most bearish prediction I found

[4plexowner]

the people that write about bubble psychology say that once a bubble pops the people will not re-enter that market for a full generation – ie, the no-longer-bubbly asset is not even considered as an investment possibility for a full generation at least

that would put the start of the next appreciation cycle in real estate around 2027 (20 years from peak) to 2047 (40 years from peak)

I have been reading Martin Armstrong’s papers looking in particular for his thoughts on real estate – he says earliest recovery is 4 years from peak which is 2011 – more likely is 10 years from peak which is 2017 – outside possibility is that real estate is NEVER again considered an investment

[google Martin Armstrong and you will find his works – eye opening the way he is being treated by our government – Kondratieff was put to death for the same accuracy in economic forecasting that Mr. Armstrong has demonstrated]

I believe that bubble psychology is worth giving some thought to when considering San Diego real estate prices – be careful comparing what happened from 1998 to 2007 to previous real estate cycles

~

before I started selling my rental units I researched all the real estate bears I could find (2002-2004 timeframe) – John Templeton was predicting as much as a 70% decline in US real estate values – his was the most bearish prediction I found

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