We are richer when house prices go down

[felix]

I’m not assuming a V pattern. Prices most likely will bottom and stabilize until inventory is worked off.

Price stabilization doesn’t mean every one who wants a home will get one. Only those those who act will get what they want for a reasonable price. Those who don’t act may get nothing at all.

Yes, Temecula Guy may be able to buy another of the same model down the street. It may even sell for less. However, at some point, and it’s not that far away despite what you read here, he will not be able to buy any of those homes. They will be gone.

Lastly, no one is going to be able tell you when the bottom hits or when to act. It just happens and then everything is gone.

I looked at and some bought property in Telluride a number of years ago. I was out there for only a week and looked at about 8 properties. A week later they were all sold and nothing in that price range was available. Even during this downturn I was bid triple what I paid for that property.

Reading this blog I am concerned that many here who want an affordable home don’t understand that they can miss out. You don’t want to let this opportunity to buy a home at a reasonable price(compared to recent pricing and other investments)without getting the home many here seem to desperately want.

[JWM in SD]

Felix, who do you think you are dealing with here? The RE market is not the stock market. It not like trying to catch a falling biotech stock. It just doesn’t move that fast. There has been massive overbuilding of tract homes and credit is contracting severly…who will there be to compete with that has cash, income and good credit two years from now…optimistically?

Buy now or be priced out forever right?

[JWM in SD]

Felix, who do you think you are dealing with here? The RE market is not the stock market. It not like trying to catch a falling biotech stock. It just doesn’t move that fast. There has been massive overbuilding of tract homes and credit is contracting severly…who will there be to compete with that has cash, income and good credit two years from now…optimistically?

Buy now or be priced out forever right?

[JWM in SD]

Felix, who do you think you are dealing with here? The RE market is not the stock market. It not like trying to catch a falling biotech stock. It just doesn’t move that fast. There has been massive overbuilding of tract homes and credit is contracting severly…who will there be to compete with that has cash, income and good credit two years from now…optimistically?

Buy now or be priced out forever right?

[JWM in SD]

Felix, who do you think you are dealing with here? The RE market is not the stock market. It not like trying to catch a falling biotech stock. It just doesn’t move that fast. There has been massive overbuilding of tract homes and credit is contracting severly…who will there be to compete with that has cash, income and good credit two years from now…optimistically?

Buy now or be priced out forever right?

[JWM in SD]

Felix, who do you think you are dealing with here? The RE market is not the stock market. It not like trying to catch a falling biotech stock. It just doesn’t move that fast. There has been massive overbuilding of tract homes and credit is contracting severly…who will there be to compete with that has cash, income and good credit two years from now…optimistically?

Buy now or be priced out forever right?

[felix]

Ray,

I should have been more clear. I don’t think average Joe’s can or should be doing what I have done. I think that may be part of what created this mess. That is a valid point.

My post was meant as a response to the renting versus buying argument. I was pointing out that people with capital can now purchase Socal property at relatively good prices which generate get a nice rental income while still being an asset that historically appreciates well.

I was also pointing out that at or near the bottom there won’t be enough properties to go around. That is what makes bottoms.

[felix]

Ray,

I should have been more clear. I don’t think average Joe’s can or should be doing what I have done. I think that may be part of what created this mess. That is a valid point.

My post was meant as a response to the renting versus buying argument. I was pointing out that people with capital can now purchase Socal property at relatively good prices which generate get a nice rental income while still being an asset that historically appreciates well.

I was also pointing out that at or near the bottom there won’t be enough properties to go around. That is what makes bottoms.

[felix]

Ray,

I should have been more clear. I don’t think average Joe’s can or should be doing what I have done. I think that may be part of what created this mess. That is a valid point.

My post was meant as a response to the renting versus buying argument. I was pointing out that people with capital can now purchase Socal property at relatively good prices which generate get a nice rental income while still being an asset that historically appreciates well.

I was also pointing out that at or near the bottom there won’t be enough properties to go around. That is what makes bottoms.

[felix]

Ray,

I should have been more clear. I don’t think average Joe’s can or should be doing what I have done. I think that may be part of what created this mess. That is a valid point.

My post was meant as a response to the renting versus buying argument. I was pointing out that people with capital can now purchase Socal property at relatively good prices which generate get a nice rental income while still being an asset that historically appreciates well.

I was also pointing out that at or near the bottom there won’t be enough properties to go around. That is what makes bottoms.

[felix]

Ray,

I should have been more clear. I don’t think average Joe’s can or should be doing what I have done. I think that may be part of what created this mess. That is a valid point.

My post was meant as a response to the renting versus buying argument. I was pointing out that people with capital can now purchase Socal property at relatively good prices which generate get a nice rental income while still being an asset that historically appreciates well.

I was also pointing out that at or near the bottom there won’t be enough properties to go around. That is what makes bottoms.

[felix]

Jwm, you’re right.

There has been over building of tract homes and a contracting of credit. If those are the type of homes you are interested in then until inventory declines prices will be weak. That doesn’t mean you can wait forever to buy if you are interested. At some time, not too far off, those who can buy will.

And RE is different than the stock market with regard to timing. It doesn’t move as fast. However, the psychology behind buying and selling RE and the stock market are quite similar. It seems many here want to buy but are waiting for the bottom tick. They may miss out.

[felix]

Jwm, you’re right.

There has been over building of tract homes and a contracting of credit. If those are the type of homes you are interested in then until inventory declines prices will be weak. That doesn’t mean you can wait forever to buy if you are interested. At some time, not too far off, those who can buy will.

And RE is different than the stock market with regard to timing. It doesn’t move as fast. However, the psychology behind buying and selling RE and the stock market are quite similar. It seems many here want to buy but are waiting for the bottom tick. They may miss out.

[felix]

Jwm, you’re right.

There has been over building of tract homes and a contracting of credit. If those are the type of homes you are interested in then until inventory declines prices will be weak. That doesn’t mean you can wait forever to buy if you are interested. At some time, not too far off, those who can buy will.

And RE is different than the stock market with regard to timing. It doesn’t move as fast. However, the psychology behind buying and selling RE and the stock market are quite similar. It seems many here want to buy but are waiting for the bottom tick. They may miss out.

[felix]

Jwm, you’re right.

There has been over building of tract homes and a contracting of credit. If those are the type of homes you are interested in then until inventory declines prices will be weak. That doesn’t mean you can wait forever to buy if you are interested. At some time, not too far off, those who can buy will.

And RE is different than the stock market with regard to timing. It doesn’t move as fast. However, the psychology behind buying and selling RE and the stock market are quite similar. It seems many here want to buy but are waiting for the bottom tick. They may miss out.

[Author]

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