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Viewing 11 posts - 31 through 41 (of 41 total)
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  • February 1, 2008 at 11:05 AM #146884
    ice9
    Participant

    Trying to time the market is speculation, and it’s a losing game.

    Long term the market rises, so invest for the long term. It’s really that simple.

    February 1, 2008 at 11:14 AM #146851
    nostradamus
    Participant

    I agree with ice9, this is the "lazy portfolio" strategy which has proven to be best time and time again. Still, I wouldn't want to start going long right now…

    I am admittedly a hypocrite, as I have been playing with shorts here and there.

    February 1, 2008 at 11:14 AM #146950
    nostradamus
    Participant

    I agree with ice9, this is the "lazy portfolio" strategy which has proven to be best time and time again. Still, I wouldn't want to start going long right now…

    I am admittedly a hypocrite, as I have been playing with shorts here and there.

    February 1, 2008 at 11:14 AM #146889
    nostradamus
    Participant

    I agree with ice9, this is the "lazy portfolio" strategy which has proven to be best time and time again. Still, I wouldn't want to start going long right now…

    I am admittedly a hypocrite, as I have been playing with shorts here and there.

    February 1, 2008 at 11:14 AM #146877
    nostradamus
    Participant

    I agree with ice9, this is the "lazy portfolio" strategy which has proven to be best time and time again. Still, I wouldn't want to start going long right now…

    I am admittedly a hypocrite, as I have been playing with shorts here and there.

    February 1, 2008 at 11:14 AM #146607
    nostradamus
    Participant

    I agree with ice9, this is the "lazy portfolio" strategy which has proven to be best time and time again. Still, I wouldn't want to start going long right now…

    I am admittedly a hypocrite, as I have been playing with shorts here and there.

    February 1, 2008 at 12:38 PM #146637
    stockstradr
    Participant

    Regarding the comment on gold, yes I’m also nervous.

    I’ve hung onto my ~25% of portfolio position in gold. Yes, I’m very nervous we could see a significant pullback from profit taking, possibly taking gold down $100 or more off the $930+ top. I’m hoping that does NOT happen. In the mid-term (24 months), however, I fairly confident gold will advance above $1200/ounce.

    Regarding stocks, I believe the optimists are having some temporary success convincing the markets that the recession fears were overblown. I think index movement over next few weeks to few months will be difficult to predict, until data comes in (April, latest) that completely confirms the recession has started. So, my strategy is to start taking SHORT positions because no matter the fluctions of next few months, eventually Bad News will take the markets MUCH lower this year.

    You know what I really wish for? I want some incredibly OPTIMISTIC (but groundless) news to completely dominate for a day, sending the markets wildly UP…and same time lowering the cost of PUT options on the indexes.

    On that day, I will be buying puts, right when they are On Sale.

    February 1, 2008 at 12:38 PM #146881
    stockstradr
    Participant

    Regarding the comment on gold, yes I’m also nervous.

    I’ve hung onto my ~25% of portfolio position in gold. Yes, I’m very nervous we could see a significant pullback from profit taking, possibly taking gold down $100 or more off the $930+ top. I’m hoping that does NOT happen. In the mid-term (24 months), however, I fairly confident gold will advance above $1200/ounce.

    Regarding stocks, I believe the optimists are having some temporary success convincing the markets that the recession fears were overblown. I think index movement over next few weeks to few months will be difficult to predict, until data comes in (April, latest) that completely confirms the recession has started. So, my strategy is to start taking SHORT positions because no matter the fluctions of next few months, eventually Bad News will take the markets MUCH lower this year.

    You know what I really wish for? I want some incredibly OPTIMISTIC (but groundless) news to completely dominate for a day, sending the markets wildly UP…and same time lowering the cost of PUT options on the indexes.

    On that day, I will be buying puts, right when they are On Sale.

    February 1, 2008 at 12:38 PM #146908
    stockstradr
    Participant

    Regarding the comment on gold, yes I’m also nervous.

    I’ve hung onto my ~25% of portfolio position in gold. Yes, I’m very nervous we could see a significant pullback from profit taking, possibly taking gold down $100 or more off the $930+ top. I’m hoping that does NOT happen. In the mid-term (24 months), however, I fairly confident gold will advance above $1200/ounce.

    Regarding stocks, I believe the optimists are having some temporary success convincing the markets that the recession fears were overblown. I think index movement over next few weeks to few months will be difficult to predict, until data comes in (April, latest) that completely confirms the recession has started. So, my strategy is to start taking SHORT positions because no matter the fluctions of next few months, eventually Bad News will take the markets MUCH lower this year.

    You know what I really wish for? I want some incredibly OPTIMISTIC (but groundless) news to completely dominate for a day, sending the markets wildly UP…and same time lowering the cost of PUT options on the indexes.

    On that day, I will be buying puts, right when they are On Sale.

    February 1, 2008 at 12:38 PM #146919
    stockstradr
    Participant

    Regarding the comment on gold, yes I’m also nervous.

    I’ve hung onto my ~25% of portfolio position in gold. Yes, I’m very nervous we could see a significant pullback from profit taking, possibly taking gold down $100 or more off the $930+ top. I’m hoping that does NOT happen. In the mid-term (24 months), however, I fairly confident gold will advance above $1200/ounce.

    Regarding stocks, I believe the optimists are having some temporary success convincing the markets that the recession fears were overblown. I think index movement over next few weeks to few months will be difficult to predict, until data comes in (April, latest) that completely confirms the recession has started. So, my strategy is to start taking SHORT positions because no matter the fluctions of next few months, eventually Bad News will take the markets MUCH lower this year.

    You know what I really wish for? I want some incredibly OPTIMISTIC (but groundless) news to completely dominate for a day, sending the markets wildly UP…and same time lowering the cost of PUT options on the indexes.

    On that day, I will be buying puts, right when they are On Sale.

    February 1, 2008 at 12:38 PM #146980
    stockstradr
    Participant

    Regarding the comment on gold, yes I’m also nervous.

    I’ve hung onto my ~25% of portfolio position in gold. Yes, I’m very nervous we could see a significant pullback from profit taking, possibly taking gold down $100 or more off the $930+ top. I’m hoping that does NOT happen. In the mid-term (24 months), however, I fairly confident gold will advance above $1200/ounce.

    Regarding stocks, I believe the optimists are having some temporary success convincing the markets that the recession fears were overblown. I think index movement over next few weeks to few months will be difficult to predict, until data comes in (April, latest) that completely confirms the recession has started. So, my strategy is to start taking SHORT positions because no matter the fluctions of next few months, eventually Bad News will take the markets MUCH lower this year.

    You know what I really wish for? I want some incredibly OPTIMISTIC (but groundless) news to completely dominate for a day, sending the markets wildly UP…and same time lowering the cost of PUT options on the indexes.

    On that day, I will be buying puts, right when they are On Sale.

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