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November 10, 2008 at 10:18 PM #302957November 10, 2008 at 10:31 PM #302523temeculaguyParticipant
Here’s an example, but note this is not the tract I bought in, just comparable fundamentals and one that I considered.
http://www.redfin.com/CA/Temecula/45269-Chateau-Ct-92592/home/12512013
It’s a short but based on the price reduction suggests no action at 339k, it sold new in 2000 for 313k, so an offer of 300-313k would put you near $90 a foot and at or below year 2000 pricing, something I consider a safe play.
While my experience with shorts was not good, it did distract me for months while the market fell another 10% so it was good overall and you never know when one will work.
November 10, 2008 at 10:31 PM #302885temeculaguyParticipantHere’s an example, but note this is not the tract I bought in, just comparable fundamentals and one that I considered.
http://www.redfin.com/CA/Temecula/45269-Chateau-Ct-92592/home/12512013
It’s a short but based on the price reduction suggests no action at 339k, it sold new in 2000 for 313k, so an offer of 300-313k would put you near $90 a foot and at or below year 2000 pricing, something I consider a safe play.
While my experience with shorts was not good, it did distract me for months while the market fell another 10% so it was good overall and you never know when one will work.
November 10, 2008 at 10:31 PM #302893temeculaguyParticipantHere’s an example, but note this is not the tract I bought in, just comparable fundamentals and one that I considered.
http://www.redfin.com/CA/Temecula/45269-Chateau-Ct-92592/home/12512013
It’s a short but based on the price reduction suggests no action at 339k, it sold new in 2000 for 313k, so an offer of 300-313k would put you near $90 a foot and at or below year 2000 pricing, something I consider a safe play.
While my experience with shorts was not good, it did distract me for months while the market fell another 10% so it was good overall and you never know when one will work.
November 10, 2008 at 10:31 PM #302911temeculaguyParticipantHere’s an example, but note this is not the tract I bought in, just comparable fundamentals and one that I considered.
http://www.redfin.com/CA/Temecula/45269-Chateau-Ct-92592/home/12512013
It’s a short but based on the price reduction suggests no action at 339k, it sold new in 2000 for 313k, so an offer of 300-313k would put you near $90 a foot and at or below year 2000 pricing, something I consider a safe play.
While my experience with shorts was not good, it did distract me for months while the market fell another 10% so it was good overall and you never know when one will work.
November 10, 2008 at 10:31 PM #302967temeculaguyParticipantHere’s an example, but note this is not the tract I bought in, just comparable fundamentals and one that I considered.
http://www.redfin.com/CA/Temecula/45269-Chateau-Ct-92592/home/12512013
It’s a short but based on the price reduction suggests no action at 339k, it sold new in 2000 for 313k, so an offer of 300-313k would put you near $90 a foot and at or below year 2000 pricing, something I consider a safe play.
While my experience with shorts was not good, it did distract me for months while the market fell another 10% so it was good overall and you never know when one will work.
November 10, 2008 at 10:57 PM #302543temeculaguyParticipantSD Realtor, I can’t believe you won’t drink the Farmar koolaid, I drank that days ago, I already peed it out. I ordered a pitcher of Ariza koolaid, the second unit with Odom leading it can probably beat about 1/3 of the teams in the NBA, even in March. Jordan is tough, he’ll be there all year. The koolaid that I’m not willing to drink is the Bynum flavor. I have a sinking feeling he won’t make it through the year, I want him to but I know he is too injury prone. I feel like every Philidelphia Eagles fan when Donovan McHurt goes down half way through the season. They must cringe at every sack knowing he’s way past his normal bedtime making it 10 weeks into the year. Bynum has never played a full season in his life, not even in high school, so I know it’s coming.
November 10, 2008 at 10:57 PM #302905temeculaguyParticipantSD Realtor, I can’t believe you won’t drink the Farmar koolaid, I drank that days ago, I already peed it out. I ordered a pitcher of Ariza koolaid, the second unit with Odom leading it can probably beat about 1/3 of the teams in the NBA, even in March. Jordan is tough, he’ll be there all year. The koolaid that I’m not willing to drink is the Bynum flavor. I have a sinking feeling he won’t make it through the year, I want him to but I know he is too injury prone. I feel like every Philidelphia Eagles fan when Donovan McHurt goes down half way through the season. They must cringe at every sack knowing he’s way past his normal bedtime making it 10 weeks into the year. Bynum has never played a full season in his life, not even in high school, so I know it’s coming.
November 10, 2008 at 10:57 PM #302913temeculaguyParticipantSD Realtor, I can’t believe you won’t drink the Farmar koolaid, I drank that days ago, I already peed it out. I ordered a pitcher of Ariza koolaid, the second unit with Odom leading it can probably beat about 1/3 of the teams in the NBA, even in March. Jordan is tough, he’ll be there all year. The koolaid that I’m not willing to drink is the Bynum flavor. I have a sinking feeling he won’t make it through the year, I want him to but I know he is too injury prone. I feel like every Philidelphia Eagles fan when Donovan McHurt goes down half way through the season. They must cringe at every sack knowing he’s way past his normal bedtime making it 10 weeks into the year. Bynum has never played a full season in his life, not even in high school, so I know it’s coming.
November 10, 2008 at 10:57 PM #302931temeculaguyParticipantSD Realtor, I can’t believe you won’t drink the Farmar koolaid, I drank that days ago, I already peed it out. I ordered a pitcher of Ariza koolaid, the second unit with Odom leading it can probably beat about 1/3 of the teams in the NBA, even in March. Jordan is tough, he’ll be there all year. The koolaid that I’m not willing to drink is the Bynum flavor. I have a sinking feeling he won’t make it through the year, I want him to but I know he is too injury prone. I feel like every Philidelphia Eagles fan when Donovan McHurt goes down half way through the season. They must cringe at every sack knowing he’s way past his normal bedtime making it 10 weeks into the year. Bynum has never played a full season in his life, not even in high school, so I know it’s coming.
November 10, 2008 at 10:57 PM #302987temeculaguyParticipantSD Realtor, I can’t believe you won’t drink the Farmar koolaid, I drank that days ago, I already peed it out. I ordered a pitcher of Ariza koolaid, the second unit with Odom leading it can probably beat about 1/3 of the teams in the NBA, even in March. Jordan is tough, he’ll be there all year. The koolaid that I’m not willing to drink is the Bynum flavor. I have a sinking feeling he won’t make it through the year, I want him to but I know he is too injury prone. I feel like every Philidelphia Eagles fan when Donovan McHurt goes down half way through the season. They must cringe at every sack knowing he’s way past his normal bedtime making it 10 weeks into the year. Bynum has never played a full season in his life, not even in high school, so I know it’s coming.
November 11, 2008 at 6:40 AM #302583Nor-LA-SD-guyParticipantYea What TG says seems to be what we are seeing as well, the good ones (good deals, on nice properties) go fast. I am talking hours here not days, and there are many bids, if they are slow to summit the offers to the banks they can get bid up fairly high within a day or two.
Found out what they are building off the 15 between Cal, oaks and hot springs road,
It’s a High school, looks like it will be a nice one similar to the new one at the end of Clinton Keith RD .
Just my opinion but T.V. is still evolving into a very nice community despite the downturn.
And I just have not seen the slow down in the stores in the area (or even SD) everyone else seems to be seeing, I must live in a different T.V. (or SD) I guess.
Sometimes I think we a talking ourselves into a much worse downturn than this needs to be.
JMO .
November 11, 2008 at 6:40 AM #302945Nor-LA-SD-guyParticipantYea What TG says seems to be what we are seeing as well, the good ones (good deals, on nice properties) go fast. I am talking hours here not days, and there are many bids, if they are slow to summit the offers to the banks they can get bid up fairly high within a day or two.
Found out what they are building off the 15 between Cal, oaks and hot springs road,
It’s a High school, looks like it will be a nice one similar to the new one at the end of Clinton Keith RD .
Just my opinion but T.V. is still evolving into a very nice community despite the downturn.
And I just have not seen the slow down in the stores in the area (or even SD) everyone else seems to be seeing, I must live in a different T.V. (or SD) I guess.
Sometimes I think we a talking ourselves into a much worse downturn than this needs to be.
JMO .
November 11, 2008 at 6:40 AM #302953Nor-LA-SD-guyParticipantYea What TG says seems to be what we are seeing as well, the good ones (good deals, on nice properties) go fast. I am talking hours here not days, and there are many bids, if they are slow to summit the offers to the banks they can get bid up fairly high within a day or two.
Found out what they are building off the 15 between Cal, oaks and hot springs road,
It’s a High school, looks like it will be a nice one similar to the new one at the end of Clinton Keith RD .
Just my opinion but T.V. is still evolving into a very nice community despite the downturn.
And I just have not seen the slow down in the stores in the area (or even SD) everyone else seems to be seeing, I must live in a different T.V. (or SD) I guess.
Sometimes I think we a talking ourselves into a much worse downturn than this needs to be.
JMO .
November 11, 2008 at 6:40 AM #302971Nor-LA-SD-guyParticipantYea What TG says seems to be what we are seeing as well, the good ones (good deals, on nice properties) go fast. I am talking hours here not days, and there are many bids, if they are slow to summit the offers to the banks they can get bid up fairly high within a day or two.
Found out what they are building off the 15 between Cal, oaks and hot springs road,
It’s a High school, looks like it will be a nice one similar to the new one at the end of Clinton Keith RD .
Just my opinion but T.V. is still evolving into a very nice community despite the downturn.
And I just have not seen the slow down in the stores in the area (or even SD) everyone else seems to be seeing, I must live in a different T.V. (or SD) I guess.
Sometimes I think we a talking ourselves into a much worse downturn than this needs to be.
JMO .
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