Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › Let’s just see how “safe” those investments in China are….
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Allan from Fallbrook.
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January 21, 2008 at 9:58 AM #139589January 21, 2008 at 10:59 AM #139658
Allan from Fallbrook
ParticipantNost: In my mind, it has always been a question as to how a centrally planned communist government will react when (somewhat) free market forces start exerting real pressure on their economy.
Add to that the inevitable backlash once these various businessmen, entrepeneurs, and financiers start demanding an equal voice in the running of the country.
In the background, you have a large and very disaffected peasantry, all of whom are watching their way of life becoming progressively more disenfranchised.
Throw in pollution, endemic AIDS in certain parts of the country, a growing and vocal cadre of former Chinese Army officers that don’t like the present government and are agitating for its ouster, no rule of law to protect intellectual property and a yawning gap when it comes to lawyers and upper management.
You now have a real interesting soup pot bubbling.
January 21, 2008 at 10:59 AM #139922ParticipantNost: In my mind, it has always been a question as to how a centrally planned communist government will react when (somewhat) free market forces start exerting real pressure on their economy.
Add to that the inevitable backlash once these various businessmen, entrepeneurs, and financiers start demanding an equal voice in the running of the country.
In the background, you have a large and very disaffected peasantry, all of whom are watching their way of life becoming progressively more disenfranchised.
Throw in pollution, endemic AIDS in certain parts of the country, a growing and vocal cadre of former Chinese Army officers that don’t like the present government and are agitating for its ouster, no rule of law to protect intellectual property and a yawning gap when it comes to lawyers and upper management.
You now have a real interesting soup pot bubbling.
January 21, 2008 at 10:59 AM #139967ParticipantNost: In my mind, it has always been a question as to how a centrally planned communist government will react when (somewhat) free market forces start exerting real pressure on their economy.
Add to that the inevitable backlash once these various businessmen, entrepeneurs, and financiers start demanding an equal voice in the running of the country.
In the background, you have a large and very disaffected peasantry, all of whom are watching their way of life becoming progressively more disenfranchised.
Throw in pollution, endemic AIDS in certain parts of the country, a growing and vocal cadre of former Chinese Army officers that don’t like the present government and are agitating for its ouster, no rule of law to protect intellectual property and a yawning gap when it comes to lawyers and upper management.
You now have a real interesting soup pot bubbling.
January 21, 2008 at 10:59 AM #139893ParticipantNost: In my mind, it has always been a question as to how a centrally planned communist government will react when (somewhat) free market forces start exerting real pressure on their economy.
Add to that the inevitable backlash once these various businessmen, entrepeneurs, and financiers start demanding an equal voice in the running of the country.
In the background, you have a large and very disaffected peasantry, all of whom are watching their way of life becoming progressively more disenfranchised.
Throw in pollution, endemic AIDS in certain parts of the country, a growing and vocal cadre of former Chinese Army officers that don’t like the present government and are agitating for its ouster, no rule of law to protect intellectual property and a yawning gap when it comes to lawyers and upper management.
You now have a real interesting soup pot bubbling.
January 21, 2008 at 10:59 AM #139874ParticipantNost: In my mind, it has always been a question as to how a centrally planned communist government will react when (somewhat) free market forces start exerting real pressure on their economy.
Add to that the inevitable backlash once these various businessmen, entrepeneurs, and financiers start demanding an equal voice in the running of the country.
In the background, you have a large and very disaffected peasantry, all of whom are watching their way of life becoming progressively more disenfranchised.
Throw in pollution, endemic AIDS in certain parts of the country, a growing and vocal cadre of former Chinese Army officers that don’t like the present government and are agitating for its ouster, no rule of law to protect intellectual property and a yawning gap when it comes to lawyers and upper management.
You now have a real interesting soup pot bubbling.
January 21, 2008 at 12:52 PM #140144stockstradr
ParticipantRegards Asian stock marketes…
When Asian stock markes are hyper-appreciated to the tune of 600% in three years (Shanghai,for example) I don’t need to defend my opinion those markets are prime for a 1929-style crash. In fact, the % drop will be far more severe than our 1929 stock market collapse.
Go read Barron’s round table discussion from two weekends back. When you have multiple widely respected Asia-sector experts like Marc Faber saying he thinks EVERY Asia index is in a bubble, then you should worry.
January 21, 2008 at 12:52 PM #139835ParticipantRegards Asian stock marketes…
When Asian stock markes are hyper-appreciated to the tune of 600% in three years (Shanghai,for example) I don’t need to defend my opinion those markets are prime for a 1929-style crash. In fact, the % drop will be far more severe than our 1929 stock market collapse.
Go read Barron’s round table discussion from two weekends back. When you have multiple widely respected Asia-sector experts like Marc Faber saying he thinks EVERY Asia index is in a bubble, then you should worry.
January 21, 2008 at 12:52 PM #140097ParticipantRegards Asian stock marketes…
When Asian stock markes are hyper-appreciated to the tune of 600% in three years (Shanghai,for example) I don’t need to defend my opinion those markets are prime for a 1929-style crash. In fact, the % drop will be far more severe than our 1929 stock market collapse.
Go read Barron’s round table discussion from two weekends back. When you have multiple widely respected Asia-sector experts like Marc Faber saying he thinks EVERY Asia index is in a bubble, then you should worry.
January 21, 2008 at 12:52 PM #140070ParticipantRegards Asian stock marketes…
When Asian stock markes are hyper-appreciated to the tune of 600% in three years (Shanghai,for example) I don’t need to defend my opinion those markets are prime for a 1929-style crash. In fact, the % drop will be far more severe than our 1929 stock market collapse.
Go read Barron’s round table discussion from two weekends back. When you have multiple widely respected Asia-sector experts like Marc Faber saying he thinks EVERY Asia index is in a bubble, then you should worry.
January 21, 2008 at 12:52 PM #140046ParticipantRegards Asian stock marketes…
When Asian stock markes are hyper-appreciated to the tune of 600% in three years (Shanghai,for example) I don’t need to defend my opinion those markets are prime for a 1929-style crash. In fact, the % drop will be far more severe than our 1929 stock market collapse.
Go read Barron’s round table discussion from two weekends back. When you have multiple widely respected Asia-sector experts like Marc Faber saying he thinks EVERY Asia index is in a bubble, then you should worry.
January 21, 2008 at 1:59 PM #140103Participantstockstradr: I wasn’t asking you to defend your opinion; I was asking you to support it. Two sentences about a supposed meltdown in the Asian markets does not a prognostication make.
You’re an engineer, and should be familiar with the concept of showing your math. I run a specialty engineering company, and I know that without support, our “opinions” would have the substance of wind.
January 21, 2008 at 1:59 PM #140125Participantstockstradr: I wasn’t asking you to defend your opinion; I was asking you to support it. Two sentences about a supposed meltdown in the Asian markets does not a prognostication make.
You’re an engineer, and should be familiar with the concept of showing your math. I run a specialty engineering company, and I know that without support, our “opinions” would have the substance of wind.
January 21, 2008 at 1:59 PM #139888Participantstockstradr: I wasn’t asking you to defend your opinion; I was asking you to support it. Two sentences about a supposed meltdown in the Asian markets does not a prognostication make.
You’re an engineer, and should be familiar with the concept of showing your math. I run a specialty engineering company, and I know that without support, our “opinions” would have the substance of wind.
January 21, 2008 at 1:59 PM #140152Participantstockstradr: I wasn’t asking you to defend your opinion; I was asking you to support it. Two sentences about a supposed meltdown in the Asian markets does not a prognostication make.
You’re an engineer, and should be familiar with the concept of showing your math. I run a specialty engineering company, and I know that without support, our “opinions” would have the substance of wind.
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