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(former)FormerSanDiegan.
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November 29, 2007 at 9:15 AM #105228November 29, 2007 at 11:02 AM #105101
Eugene
Participantcan we sell houses at a 1999 rate but maintain 2001-2003 prices?
Sales will pick up when we approach the bottom, obviously. We’re still far from 2003. Roughly speaking, 700K at the peak in a good neighborhood = 350K in 2003 = 250K in 2000 = 200K in 1997.
November 29, 2007 at 11:02 AM #105190Eugene
Participantcan we sell houses at a 1999 rate but maintain 2001-2003 prices?
Sales will pick up when we approach the bottom, obviously. We’re still far from 2003. Roughly speaking, 700K at the peak in a good neighborhood = 350K in 2003 = 250K in 2000 = 200K in 1997.
November 29, 2007 at 11:02 AM #105193Eugene
Participantcan we sell houses at a 1999 rate but maintain 2001-2003 prices?
Sales will pick up when we approach the bottom, obviously. We’re still far from 2003. Roughly speaking, 700K at the peak in a good neighborhood = 350K in 2003 = 250K in 2000 = 200K in 1997.
November 29, 2007 at 11:02 AM #105226Eugene
Participantcan we sell houses at a 1999 rate but maintain 2001-2003 prices?
Sales will pick up when we approach the bottom, obviously. We’re still far from 2003. Roughly speaking, 700K at the peak in a good neighborhood = 350K in 2003 = 250K in 2000 = 200K in 1997.
November 29, 2007 at 11:02 AM #105250Eugene
Participantcan we sell houses at a 1999 rate but maintain 2001-2003 prices?
Sales will pick up when we approach the bottom, obviously. We’re still far from 2003. Roughly speaking, 700K at the peak in a good neighborhood = 350K in 2003 = 250K in 2000 = 200K in 1997.
November 29, 2007 at 11:56 AM #1051234plexowner
Participantyes sales will increase as we approach a bottom
it is called capitulation
as the last holdouts sell their real estate for dimes on the dollar they will create the market sentiment (abject fear and disgust – blood in the streets) that will allow a lasting bottom to form
it is this capitulation where the overshoot of the trendline is likely to occur
November 29, 2007 at 11:56 AM #1052144plexowner
Participantyes sales will increase as we approach a bottom
it is called capitulation
as the last holdouts sell their real estate for dimes on the dollar they will create the market sentiment (abject fear and disgust – blood in the streets) that will allow a lasting bottom to form
it is this capitulation where the overshoot of the trendline is likely to occur
November 29, 2007 at 11:56 AM #1052184plexowner
Participantyes sales will increase as we approach a bottom
it is called capitulation
as the last holdouts sell their real estate for dimes on the dollar they will create the market sentiment (abject fear and disgust – blood in the streets) that will allow a lasting bottom to form
it is this capitulation where the overshoot of the trendline is likely to occur
November 29, 2007 at 11:56 AM #1052494plexowner
Participantyes sales will increase as we approach a bottom
it is called capitulation
as the last holdouts sell their real estate for dimes on the dollar they will create the market sentiment (abject fear and disgust – blood in the streets) that will allow a lasting bottom to form
it is this capitulation where the overshoot of the trendline is likely to occur
November 29, 2007 at 11:56 AM #1052734plexowner
Participantyes sales will increase as we approach a bottom
it is called capitulation
as the last holdouts sell their real estate for dimes on the dollar they will create the market sentiment (abject fear and disgust – blood in the streets) that will allow a lasting bottom to form
it is this capitulation where the overshoot of the trendline is likely to occur
November 29, 2007 at 12:28 PM #105128cr
ParticipantHistory is repeating itself.
“Meanwhile, U.S. home foreclosures almost doubled in October from a year earlier as subprime borrowers struggled to make higher payments on their adjustable-rate mortgages, according to data compiled by RealtyTrac Inc.
RealtyTrac reported 224,451 foreclosure filings, including default notices, auction notices and bank repossessions, a 94% jump from October 2006 and a 2% gain from September.”
Sales tanked again, and government numbers were wrong again:
“…the sales rate was down 23.5% from the rate of 952,000 a year ago.
September new-home sales fell 0.1% to an annual rate to 716,000; originally, the government said September sales rose by 4.8% to 770,000.”
Eventually these bad numbers will stop doubling and ebb up from one month to month, or even year to year time frame the bottom will be called. Then things will go down again, and panic will reinstate itself.
I don’t need to repeat all the reasons why this will continue for probably 7-10 years, but I personally am holding out for 2000 prices.
November 29, 2007 at 12:28 PM #105219cr
ParticipantHistory is repeating itself.
“Meanwhile, U.S. home foreclosures almost doubled in October from a year earlier as subprime borrowers struggled to make higher payments on their adjustable-rate mortgages, according to data compiled by RealtyTrac Inc.
RealtyTrac reported 224,451 foreclosure filings, including default notices, auction notices and bank repossessions, a 94% jump from October 2006 and a 2% gain from September.”
Sales tanked again, and government numbers were wrong again:
“…the sales rate was down 23.5% from the rate of 952,000 a year ago.
September new-home sales fell 0.1% to an annual rate to 716,000; originally, the government said September sales rose by 4.8% to 770,000.”
Eventually these bad numbers will stop doubling and ebb up from one month to month, or even year to year time frame the bottom will be called. Then things will go down again, and panic will reinstate itself.
I don’t need to repeat all the reasons why this will continue for probably 7-10 years, but I personally am holding out for 2000 prices.
November 29, 2007 at 12:28 PM #105223cr
ParticipantHistory is repeating itself.
“Meanwhile, U.S. home foreclosures almost doubled in October from a year earlier as subprime borrowers struggled to make higher payments on their adjustable-rate mortgages, according to data compiled by RealtyTrac Inc.
RealtyTrac reported 224,451 foreclosure filings, including default notices, auction notices and bank repossessions, a 94% jump from October 2006 and a 2% gain from September.”
Sales tanked again, and government numbers were wrong again:
“…the sales rate was down 23.5% from the rate of 952,000 a year ago.
September new-home sales fell 0.1% to an annual rate to 716,000; originally, the government said September sales rose by 4.8% to 770,000.”
Eventually these bad numbers will stop doubling and ebb up from one month to month, or even year to year time frame the bottom will be called. Then things will go down again, and panic will reinstate itself.
I don’t need to repeat all the reasons why this will continue for probably 7-10 years, but I personally am holding out for 2000 prices.
November 29, 2007 at 12:28 PM #105254cr
ParticipantHistory is repeating itself.
“Meanwhile, U.S. home foreclosures almost doubled in October from a year earlier as subprime borrowers struggled to make higher payments on their adjustable-rate mortgages, according to data compiled by RealtyTrac Inc.
RealtyTrac reported 224,451 foreclosure filings, including default notices, auction notices and bank repossessions, a 94% jump from October 2006 and a 2% gain from September.”
Sales tanked again, and government numbers were wrong again:
“…the sales rate was down 23.5% from the rate of 952,000 a year ago.
September new-home sales fell 0.1% to an annual rate to 716,000; originally, the government said September sales rose by 4.8% to 770,000.”
Eventually these bad numbers will stop doubling and ebb up from one month to month, or even year to year time frame the bottom will be called. Then things will go down again, and panic will reinstate itself.
I don’t need to repeat all the reasons why this will continue for probably 7-10 years, but I personally am holding out for 2000 prices.
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