Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › I don’t know what your models are saying, Chris
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August 9, 2007 at 11:32 PM #72761August 10, 2007 at 6:22 AM #72659Chris Scoreboard JohnstonParticipant
My blog is http://www.iamafuturestrader.blogspot.com. I have had so much trouble with my satellite internet, that I have not been able to put something up every day. It often can take 2 hours to post something as my internet cuts in and out. I thought no matter what I needed to do it last night.
I just posted my most current view of things there last night. Ironically, one of the stocks I bought, rose yesterday, but the rest got hit just like everyone else. The commercials are still heavily long, which is an important component of my models. This is volatile trading to be sure, but please do not panic.
The basic fundamentals of the stock market are still intact, this is event based volatility. I wrote in my newsletter last month that I expected flat to down trading for the first two weeks of this month, followed by a bounce. Keep in mind going in to today, the market is still up on the week.
Your time horizon should be your main consideration as to what to do, the shorter it is, the more quickly you should act, the longer it is, the more slowly you should act. We probably have a 500 pt up day lurking out there somewhere soon. Today should be fun to watch based on the pre-mkt futures, and the Fed action with the Repos etc that went on this am.
I have been watching Kramer for kicks this week, and he just can’t seem to take a side, what a flip flopper he is. He is very bright, but he has lost some of my respect this last week. I might be dead wrong, but itleast I take a side and stay with it.
August 10, 2007 at 6:22 AM #72779Chris Scoreboard JohnstonParticipantMy blog is http://www.iamafuturestrader.blogspot.com. I have had so much trouble with my satellite internet, that I have not been able to put something up every day. It often can take 2 hours to post something as my internet cuts in and out. I thought no matter what I needed to do it last night.
I just posted my most current view of things there last night. Ironically, one of the stocks I bought, rose yesterday, but the rest got hit just like everyone else. The commercials are still heavily long, which is an important component of my models. This is volatile trading to be sure, but please do not panic.
The basic fundamentals of the stock market are still intact, this is event based volatility. I wrote in my newsletter last month that I expected flat to down trading for the first two weeks of this month, followed by a bounce. Keep in mind going in to today, the market is still up on the week.
Your time horizon should be your main consideration as to what to do, the shorter it is, the more quickly you should act, the longer it is, the more slowly you should act. We probably have a 500 pt up day lurking out there somewhere soon. Today should be fun to watch based on the pre-mkt futures, and the Fed action with the Repos etc that went on this am.
I have been watching Kramer for kicks this week, and he just can’t seem to take a side, what a flip flopper he is. He is very bright, but he has lost some of my respect this last week. I might be dead wrong, but itleast I take a side and stay with it.
August 10, 2007 at 6:22 AM #72784Chris Scoreboard JohnstonParticipantMy blog is http://www.iamafuturestrader.blogspot.com. I have had so much trouble with my satellite internet, that I have not been able to put something up every day. It often can take 2 hours to post something as my internet cuts in and out. I thought no matter what I needed to do it last night.
I just posted my most current view of things there last night. Ironically, one of the stocks I bought, rose yesterday, but the rest got hit just like everyone else. The commercials are still heavily long, which is an important component of my models. This is volatile trading to be sure, but please do not panic.
The basic fundamentals of the stock market are still intact, this is event based volatility. I wrote in my newsletter last month that I expected flat to down trading for the first two weeks of this month, followed by a bounce. Keep in mind going in to today, the market is still up on the week.
Your time horizon should be your main consideration as to what to do, the shorter it is, the more quickly you should act, the longer it is, the more slowly you should act. We probably have a 500 pt up day lurking out there somewhere soon. Today should be fun to watch based on the pre-mkt futures, and the Fed action with the Repos etc that went on this am.
I have been watching Kramer for kicks this week, and he just can’t seem to take a side, what a flip flopper he is. He is very bright, but he has lost some of my respect this last week. I might be dead wrong, but itleast I take a side and stay with it.
August 10, 2007 at 9:24 AM #72734HereWeGoParticipantpr-
They aren’t responsible for inflating markets, but they are responsible for financial stability.The two moves this morning, stating that the discount window is always open and then buying $19 billion worth of MBS, those were two very nice moves, even better if the MBS securities are subprime/Alt-A.
The ECB has injected almost 200 Billion Euros the last couple of days. It’s about time the Fed awakened from its slumber and started to pull its weight.
August 10, 2007 at 9:24 AM #72852HereWeGoParticipantpr-
They aren’t responsible for inflating markets, but they are responsible for financial stability.The two moves this morning, stating that the discount window is always open and then buying $19 billion worth of MBS, those were two very nice moves, even better if the MBS securities are subprime/Alt-A.
The ECB has injected almost 200 Billion Euros the last couple of days. It’s about time the Fed awakened from its slumber and started to pull its weight.
August 10, 2007 at 9:24 AM #72859HereWeGoParticipantpr-
They aren’t responsible for inflating markets, but they are responsible for financial stability.The two moves this morning, stating that the discount window is always open and then buying $19 billion worth of MBS, those were two very nice moves, even better if the MBS securities are subprime/Alt-A.
The ECB has injected almost 200 Billion Euros the last couple of days. It’s about time the Fed awakened from its slumber and started to pull its weight.
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