Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › Gold at $1900???
- This topic has 24 replies, 15 voices, and was last updated 12 years, 12 months ago by sd_matt.
-
AuthorPosts
-
September 5, 2011 at 7:32 PM #19104September 5, 2011 at 7:38 PM #728433scaredyclassicParticipant
It’s difficult to tell which way is up.
September 5, 2011 at 8:01 PM #728435scaredyclassicParticipantHow many usdollars is fair per oz of gold?
September 5, 2011 at 8:31 PM #728437SD RealtorParticipantWhy is this madness?
September 5, 2011 at 8:38 PM #728438ArrayaParticipantThe dollar will probably benefit from the problems in europe as well short term. But, gold is kind of a panic meter. To me, it looks like another round of debilitating deflation is on the way. Though, Gold will probably hold up.
September 5, 2011 at 9:07 PM #728441enron_by_the_seaParticipantPrice of gold is inversely proportional to people’s faith in the “system”.
September 5, 2011 at 9:25 PM #728444CA renterParticipant[quote=Arraya]The dollar will probably benefit from the problems in europe as well short term. But, gold is kind of a panic meter. To me, it looks like another round of debilitating deflation is on the way. Though, Gold will probably hold up.[/quote]
That’s how I see it as well.
September 5, 2011 at 10:44 PM #728448AecetiaParticipantI think it is because dollars are not as good as gold any longer and the PM market is reflecting it.
September 6, 2011 at 5:41 AM #728452The-ShovelerParticipantI tell you this could be our solution Gold to 3K oz please,
As the price of gold rests near record highs, people from Spokane to Bangkok are selling jewelry or buying bullion, some are giving up steady jobs to take to panning while theft of gold chains and watches is on the rise worldwide.
Gold surge draws prospectors, thieves worldwide
People pan for gold in Panompa near Phichin in this February 17, 2011 file photo. REUTERS/Damir Sagolj
On Wednesday August 31, 2011, 2:16 am EDT
By Natalia Konstantinovskaya and Tan Ee Lyn
TOKYO/BANGKOK (Reuters) – It has been called the saint-seducing metal, with good reason.
As the price of gold rests near record highs, people from Spokane to Bangkok are selling jewelry or buying bullion, some are giving up steady jobs to take to panning while theft of gold chains and watches is on the rise worldwide.
“Panning for gold is becoming a real family affair, more popular now because of the gold price,” says Cordell Kent, who sells do-it-yourself mining equipment in the 19th century Australian gold rush town of Ballarat.
“Some people I know are making hundreds, even thousands of dollars on the weekends.”
Locals say rising prices and heavy rain earlier this year are leading to a surge in amateur prospectors, looking for flakes of gold washing up on river-beds.
“We’re seeing a whole new gold rush now around Ballarat,” Kent says.
Spot gold sells now for $1,830 an ounce, up nearly a third this year. With currencies and stocks faltering and prices of other commodities held back by slowing economic growth, the frenzy for gold has gone global.
Many are cashing in on the gold they have at home — or on gold teeth — although the trend is slowing in the belief prices will rise further.
“The most disgusting thing I had to deal with was a rotten tooth with a gold crown from a customer’s grandmother who died,” said Munehiro Otsuki, the manager of a gold store in the Shinjuku district of western Tokyo.
He also had a customer seeking to sell half a dozen Buddha statues which he had thought were gold, but were in fact brass.
“When I called him this week after the evaluation, I could tell by the way his voice changed that he was extremely disappointed. He never came back.”
At another store in the Kanda district of Tokyo, manager Kenta Okiyama spoke of a middle-aged woman dressed in brand-name clothes, the smell of her expensive perfume wafting across the store, who poured 30 rings of varying designs out on the table in front of her.
She told Okiyama these were rings she had received from ex-husbands and boyfriends back in the heyday of the 1980s, Japan’s free-spending “bubble economy” era.
“When I showed her the 200,000 yen ($2,630) on the calculator screen, the expression on her face changed in a way I will never forget,” Okiyama said. “She became so happy and smiled, saying ‘I’ll take it right now.'”
Ritsuko Aoki, a 40-year-old Tokyo housewife, said she was selling old jewelry to buy domestic appliances.
“We did not even think that my old gold accessories were worth anything before we saw news about people selling their gold on TV,” she said. “If gold prices rise more, I’ll look for more accessories in the depths of my closet.”
VOLATILITY, HEDGING
But experts say sales of recycled gold will rise only about 5 percent this year, against 30 percent in 2009. “Either people are waiting till the price hits $2,000 or they are running out,” says Mariabi Peenya, a street side dealer in New York’s Diamond District.
Nevertheless, canny investors see opportunities in gold’s price volatility. Although prices have been rising steadily since the start of the year, gold has veered between as low as $1,600 per ounce to as high as $1,900 in August.
And if dealing in physical gold, it’s much easier since there are no brokerage fees or delays in payment.
“We bought and sold twice and made a nice tidy sum,” says Ivy Mok, a mother of two who lives in Bangkok. “Not very huge because we sold, and then the price went even higher.”
She and her husband dealt in small gold bars bought and sold in the well-guarded upstairs rooms of stores in the city’s Chinatown district.
“People buy and sell their gold bars right there,” Mok said. “But it was very stressful for me because once you are on the streets, you are on your own with all your gold bars and you feel very vulnerable.”
Her fears are not unfounded. One of the unsavory sides of gold’s price surge has been a matching surge in crimes associated with the metal.
Dubai, Casablanca, Pathanamthitta in southern India, all have been hit by major robberies linked to gold in recent weeks. In Ghana, a gold dealer is being accused of fraud after he alleged he was held up and robbed of gold he had promised to customers.
Snatchings of gold chains are on the increase in London, China, across the United States and many other parts of the globe, but especially in India, which is the world’s biggest buyer of gold.
In northern Vietnam, a gold shop owner, his wife and 19-month-old daughter were killed and the shop robbed 10 days ago in one of the most violent crimes in the country in years. Another daughter was discovered cowering under a bed with her hand severed.
In France, there were 183 armed robberies of jewelers in the first half of 2011, up from 138 in the year-earlier period, according to OCLCO, a police agency that tackles organized crime.
“If gold is a safe haven for people with savings, it is also becoming it would seem a safe haven for armed robbers,” said Frederic Doidy, an officer with OCLCO.September 6, 2011 at 7:24 AM #728459AnonymousGuestSimilar thing that happened during the dot com boom.
You have a bubble, combined with new means of trading that make it easier for the average consumer to buy.
The dot com boom coincided with the availability of online trading. It was so easy for anyone to buy those shares of pets.com. Just a couple of clicks – much simpler than calling your broker, and putting in an order. Didn’t have to talk to anyone.
Gold is similar today. It’s easier to buy than ever. ETFs, “GoldLine,” etc. Plus you have the parade of “experts” on CNBC talking about it. Since there’s nothing left to talk about (tech?, real estate? – old news.) They are on for ten hours a day – they have to talk about something.
And then there are the commercials…
Bubble? Possibly. If so, when will it pop?
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
September 6, 2011 at 11:55 AM #728495scaredyclassicParticipantThe real bubble is treasury debt. Gold is a little tiny minibubble attached thereto.
September 6, 2011 at 6:02 PM #728524kev374Participantit’s madness because at $1000 per ounce just a little while ago people were saying that gold is soaring, now it is closer to TWICE that $2000/oz. What is the reason it has DOUBLED in such a short period? Is the faith in fiat currencies so dismal?
September 6, 2011 at 6:46 PM #728526scaredyclassicParticipanti think 1000 an ounce was a while ago.
September 6, 2011 at 6:57 PM #728527SD RealtorParticipantI think it does reflect an aggregated lack of faith in many things. Really do you believe the government can figure out a solution? Do you think the private market can figure it out? It also does indicate that many people know the next bubble to burst will be the bond market. Honestly you can only build up so much debt until liquidation is the only real option. I think many people understand that. QE1 – N will do nothing but to continue to prolong the game but in the end reconciliation will be necessary.
September 7, 2011 at 12:45 PM #728574UCGalParticipant[quote=walterwhite]i think 1000 an ounce was a while ago.[/quote]
A while ago = 2 years ago.
What else doubled in the last 2 years? -
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.