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  • August 3, 2008 at 11:58 PM #13512
    SD Realtor
    Participant

    A few statistics for you to chew on. I took the first 25 days of June and July from 07 and 08. You have list price, sales price, and number of sales.

    month/yr zip sales lprice sprice
    7/08 92127 25 815k 789k
    7/07 43 1.2k 1.15k
    6/08 25 1.23M 1.13M
    6/07 25 992k 945k

    7/08 92130 36 1.17k 1.12k
    7/07 32 1.09M 1.06M
    6/08 26 1.29M 1.21M
    6/07 43 1.57M 1.49M

    7/08 92009 23 798k 770k
    7/07 30 988k 938k
    6/08 29 935k 894k
    6/07 34 982k 946k

    7/08 92117 21 517k 497k
    7/07 14 606k 570k
    6/08 14 456k 444k
    6/07 19 516k 501k

    7/08 92126 25 399k 390k
    7/07 26 513k 497k
    6/08 34 402k 398k
    6/07 25 504k 491k

    Not liable for the accuracy of the data cuz it is late.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251557
    an
    Participant

    Very interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251719
    an
    Participant

    Very interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251725
    an
    Participant

    Very interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251782
    an
    Participant

    Very interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251789
    an
    Participant

    Very interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251567
    SD Realtor
    Participant

    What I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.

    Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.

    Just a guess…

    ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251729
    SD Realtor
    Participant

    What I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.

    Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.

    Just a guess…

    ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251735
    SD Realtor
    Participant

    What I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.

    Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.

    Just a guess…

    ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251792
    SD Realtor
    Participant

    What I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.

    Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.

    Just a guess…

    ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.

    August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251799
    SD Realtor
    Participant

    What I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.

    Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.

    Just a guess…

    ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.

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