- This topic has 10 replies, 2 voices, and was last updated 17 years, 4 months ago by
SD Realtor.
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August 3, 2008 at 11:58 PM #13512August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251557
an
ParticipantVery interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.
August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251719an
ParticipantVery interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.
August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251725an
ParticipantVery interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.
August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251782an
ParticipantVery interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.
August 4, 2008 at 12:09 AM #251789an
ParticipantVery interesting snap shot. Thanks for compiling these data. 92127 and 92009 seems to got hit very hard. Could this be the next wave? 92127 and 92009 are both move up areas, better than 92126 and 92117 but not quite 92130. # of sales in those 2 areas are also down 23-42% YOY. 92126 is not doing as great as I thought it would.
August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251567SD Realtor
ParticipantWhat I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.
Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.
Just a guess…
ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.
August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251729SD Realtor
ParticipantWhat I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.
Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.
Just a guess…
ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.
August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251735SD Realtor
ParticipantWhat I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.
Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.
Just a guess…
ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.
August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251792SD Realtor
ParticipantWhat I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.
Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.
Just a guess…
ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.
August 4, 2008 at 12:45 AM #251799SD Realtor
ParticipantWhat I am waiting for AN is the inevitable to happen. That is, sooner or later we are going to see statistics that will make people believe the bottom has been reached or things are turning around… and this will be a royal pain… the media will get all flustered, NAR and CAR will rave and we may get 1, 2 or more months of data that will not fall in line with the secular trend. Then after several more months things will fall back in line again. I think this could happen sooner, perhaps in the upcoming months and stretching into early 09 before we resume a correct secular path.
Again, things never go straight down, just lower highs and lower lows for a secular depreciation cycle.
Just a guess…
ps – definitely not second wave… we will not see true second wave activity for another year by my count.
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