Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › Dow up 200; SKF, GLD getting trounced
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davelj.
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April 18, 2008 at 12:31 PM #189802April 18, 2008 at 12:34 PM #189743
TheBreeze
ParticipantIs anyone shorting here? I would think today would be the day to do it. I agree that we are likely to see another leg down and I think it will come about because of the problems in Alt-A and Option ARMs.
However, I think that Bernanke has mostly saved the stock market at the expense of the dollar. Instead of making speculators bear the brunt of the housing bubble (and thus crashing the stock market), Bernanke has slashed interest rates, which has eroded the value of the dollar. Bernanke has in essence forced savers to take some of the pain.
I’m no longer expecting the market to go down big. It may test the low of 11,500 or so sometime again this year, but I don’t see it getting any lower than that.
April 18, 2008 at 12:34 PM #189764TheBreeze
ParticipantIs anyone shorting here? I would think today would be the day to do it. I agree that we are likely to see another leg down and I think it will come about because of the problems in Alt-A and Option ARMs.
However, I think that Bernanke has mostly saved the stock market at the expense of the dollar. Instead of making speculators bear the brunt of the housing bubble (and thus crashing the stock market), Bernanke has slashed interest rates, which has eroded the value of the dollar. Bernanke has in essence forced savers to take some of the pain.
I’m no longer expecting the market to go down big. It may test the low of 11,500 or so sometime again this year, but I don’t see it getting any lower than that.
April 18, 2008 at 12:34 PM #189797TheBreeze
ParticipantIs anyone shorting here? I would think today would be the day to do it. I agree that we are likely to see another leg down and I think it will come about because of the problems in Alt-A and Option ARMs.
However, I think that Bernanke has mostly saved the stock market at the expense of the dollar. Instead of making speculators bear the brunt of the housing bubble (and thus crashing the stock market), Bernanke has slashed interest rates, which has eroded the value of the dollar. Bernanke has in essence forced savers to take some of the pain.
I’m no longer expecting the market to go down big. It may test the low of 11,500 or so sometime again this year, but I don’t see it getting any lower than that.
April 18, 2008 at 12:34 PM #189805TheBreeze
ParticipantIs anyone shorting here? I would think today would be the day to do it. I agree that we are likely to see another leg down and I think it will come about because of the problems in Alt-A and Option ARMs.
However, I think that Bernanke has mostly saved the stock market at the expense of the dollar. Instead of making speculators bear the brunt of the housing bubble (and thus crashing the stock market), Bernanke has slashed interest rates, which has eroded the value of the dollar. Bernanke has in essence forced savers to take some of the pain.
I’m no longer expecting the market to go down big. It may test the low of 11,500 or so sometime again this year, but I don’t see it getting any lower than that.
April 18, 2008 at 12:34 PM #189811TheBreeze
ParticipantIs anyone shorting here? I would think today would be the day to do it. I agree that we are likely to see another leg down and I think it will come about because of the problems in Alt-A and Option ARMs.
However, I think that Bernanke has mostly saved the stock market at the expense of the dollar. Instead of making speculators bear the brunt of the housing bubble (and thus crashing the stock market), Bernanke has slashed interest rates, which has eroded the value of the dollar. Bernanke has in essence forced savers to take some of the pain.
I’m no longer expecting the market to go down big. It may test the low of 11,500 or so sometime again this year, but I don’t see it getting any lower than that.
April 18, 2008 at 12:38 PM #189748TheBreeze
ParticipantI’d say enjoy the rally while you can, and if you think that the worst is over, and that main street American Jane and Joe are gonna be OK, go ahead and stay long the market.
Will do.
Care to offer any specific advice today hipmatt or do you just want to speak in generalities about the past? Do you recommend buying MOO, GSG, XLE, and USO here?
April 18, 2008 at 12:38 PM #189769TheBreeze
ParticipantI’d say enjoy the rally while you can, and if you think that the worst is over, and that main street American Jane and Joe are gonna be OK, go ahead and stay long the market.
Will do.
Care to offer any specific advice today hipmatt or do you just want to speak in generalities about the past? Do you recommend buying MOO, GSG, XLE, and USO here?
April 18, 2008 at 12:38 PM #189801TheBreeze
ParticipantI’d say enjoy the rally while you can, and if you think that the worst is over, and that main street American Jane and Joe are gonna be OK, go ahead and stay long the market.
Will do.
Care to offer any specific advice today hipmatt or do you just want to speak in generalities about the past? Do you recommend buying MOO, GSG, XLE, and USO here?
April 18, 2008 at 12:38 PM #189810TheBreeze
ParticipantI’d say enjoy the rally while you can, and if you think that the worst is over, and that main street American Jane and Joe are gonna be OK, go ahead and stay long the market.
Will do.
Care to offer any specific advice today hipmatt or do you just want to speak in generalities about the past? Do you recommend buying MOO, GSG, XLE, and USO here?
April 18, 2008 at 12:38 PM #189817TheBreeze
ParticipantI’d say enjoy the rally while you can, and if you think that the worst is over, and that main street American Jane and Joe are gonna be OK, go ahead and stay long the market.
Will do.
Care to offer any specific advice today hipmatt or do you just want to speak in generalities about the past? Do you recommend buying MOO, GSG, XLE, and USO here?
April 18, 2008 at 1:07 PM #189778hipmatt
Participantummm… you said that piggie investing was bad advice, I just said it actually has been quite good with the exception of recent activity in short funds that I never recommended. I have ridden gold from 600 to 950, then took profits. I took at least 15% profits on moo, over 35% on GLD, over %45 on GDX and various other decent returns on a few other commodity related stocks. Would I buy them at these levels, maybe not, maybe so. I’m currently sitting mostly on the sidelines, I know when to admit that the current market is too nutty to stay in, and I am not confident in too many investments right now. I will start putting more back into cash as I expect to buy a home in the next two years or so. Do I claim to give financial advice, no(well I will say that you shouldn’t buy a home yet).
BTW.. I didn’t get your specific advice going forward “the breeze”? Or do you just want to gloat AFTER the dow has had a few big days?
April 18, 2008 at 1:07 PM #189799hipmatt
Participantummm… you said that piggie investing was bad advice, I just said it actually has been quite good with the exception of recent activity in short funds that I never recommended. I have ridden gold from 600 to 950, then took profits. I took at least 15% profits on moo, over 35% on GLD, over %45 on GDX and various other decent returns on a few other commodity related stocks. Would I buy them at these levels, maybe not, maybe so. I’m currently sitting mostly on the sidelines, I know when to admit that the current market is too nutty to stay in, and I am not confident in too many investments right now. I will start putting more back into cash as I expect to buy a home in the next two years or so. Do I claim to give financial advice, no(well I will say that you shouldn’t buy a home yet).
BTW.. I didn’t get your specific advice going forward “the breeze”? Or do you just want to gloat AFTER the dow has had a few big days?
April 18, 2008 at 1:07 PM #189832hipmatt
Participantummm… you said that piggie investing was bad advice, I just said it actually has been quite good with the exception of recent activity in short funds that I never recommended. I have ridden gold from 600 to 950, then took profits. I took at least 15% profits on moo, over 35% on GLD, over %45 on GDX and various other decent returns on a few other commodity related stocks. Would I buy them at these levels, maybe not, maybe so. I’m currently sitting mostly on the sidelines, I know when to admit that the current market is too nutty to stay in, and I am not confident in too many investments right now. I will start putting more back into cash as I expect to buy a home in the next two years or so. Do I claim to give financial advice, no(well I will say that you shouldn’t buy a home yet).
BTW.. I didn’t get your specific advice going forward “the breeze”? Or do you just want to gloat AFTER the dow has had a few big days?
April 18, 2008 at 1:07 PM #189841hipmatt
Participantummm… you said that piggie investing was bad advice, I just said it actually has been quite good with the exception of recent activity in short funds that I never recommended. I have ridden gold from 600 to 950, then took profits. I took at least 15% profits on moo, over 35% on GLD, over %45 on GDX and various other decent returns on a few other commodity related stocks. Would I buy them at these levels, maybe not, maybe so. I’m currently sitting mostly on the sidelines, I know when to admit that the current market is too nutty to stay in, and I am not confident in too many investments right now. I will start putting more back into cash as I expect to buy a home in the next two years or so. Do I claim to give financial advice, no(well I will say that you shouldn’t buy a home yet).
BTW.. I didn’t get your specific advice going forward “the breeze”? Or do you just want to gloat AFTER the dow has had a few big days?
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