Home › Forums › Financial Markets/Economics › Correction?
- This topic has 150 replies, 15 voices, and was last updated 14 years, 9 months ago by Coronita.
-
AuthorPosts
-
January 22, 2010 at 9:48 AM #505380January 22, 2010 at 10:06 AM #504496daveljParticipant
S&P 500 is about 30% overvalued. It’s either going to head back down to 875-ish, or there won’t be much return over the next 5-7 years. Either way, the S&P is a very bad bet from current levels. But it was a good long-term bet under 700.
Great graph at this link:
http://dshort.com/charts/SP-Composite-regression-charts.html?SP-Composite-real-regression-to-trend
What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.
January 22, 2010 at 10:06 AM #504640daveljParticipantS&P 500 is about 30% overvalued. It’s either going to head back down to 875-ish, or there won’t be much return over the next 5-7 years. Either way, the S&P is a very bad bet from current levels. But it was a good long-term bet under 700.
Great graph at this link:
http://dshort.com/charts/SP-Composite-regression-charts.html?SP-Composite-real-regression-to-trend
What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.
January 22, 2010 at 10:06 AM #505044daveljParticipantS&P 500 is about 30% overvalued. It’s either going to head back down to 875-ish, or there won’t be much return over the next 5-7 years. Either way, the S&P is a very bad bet from current levels. But it was a good long-term bet under 700.
Great graph at this link:
http://dshort.com/charts/SP-Composite-regression-charts.html?SP-Composite-real-regression-to-trend
What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.
January 22, 2010 at 10:06 AM #505137daveljParticipantS&P 500 is about 30% overvalued. It’s either going to head back down to 875-ish, or there won’t be much return over the next 5-7 years. Either way, the S&P is a very bad bet from current levels. But it was a good long-term bet under 700.
Great graph at this link:
http://dshort.com/charts/SP-Composite-regression-charts.html?SP-Composite-real-regression-to-trend
What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.
January 22, 2010 at 10:06 AM #505390daveljParticipantS&P 500 is about 30% overvalued. It’s either going to head back down to 875-ish, or there won’t be much return over the next 5-7 years. Either way, the S&P is a very bad bet from current levels. But it was a good long-term bet under 700.
Great graph at this link:
http://dshort.com/charts/SP-Composite-regression-charts.html?SP-Composite-real-regression-to-trend
What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.
January 22, 2010 at 10:47 AM #504519sdduuuudeParticipant[quote=davelj]What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.[/quote]
Totally agree.
January 22, 2010 at 10:47 AM #504665sdduuuudeParticipant[quote=davelj]What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.[/quote]
Totally agree.
January 22, 2010 at 10:47 AM #505069sdduuuudeParticipant[quote=davelj]What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.[/quote]
Totally agree.
January 22, 2010 at 10:47 AM #505162sdduuuudeParticipant[quote=davelj]What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.[/quote]
Totally agree.
January 22, 2010 at 10:47 AM #505415sdduuuudeParticipant[quote=davelj]What’s amazing to me is how long some of these periods of over- and under-valuation last.[/quote]
Totally agree.
January 22, 2010 at 10:55 AM #504529ArrayaParticipantIt’s all driven by emotional/irrational behavior which by human nature herds. This next down trend, if it indeed has started, should go throughout 2010 and overcorrect to the downside.
January 22, 2010 at 10:55 AM #504675ArrayaParticipantIt’s all driven by emotional/irrational behavior which by human nature herds. This next down trend, if it indeed has started, should go throughout 2010 and overcorrect to the downside.
January 22, 2010 at 10:55 AM #505079ArrayaParticipantIt’s all driven by emotional/irrational behavior which by human nature herds. This next down trend, if it indeed has started, should go throughout 2010 and overcorrect to the downside.
January 22, 2010 at 10:55 AM #505172ArrayaParticipantIt’s all driven by emotional/irrational behavior which by human nature herds. This next down trend, if it indeed has started, should go throughout 2010 and overcorrect to the downside.
-
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.