“We’ve tried getting vaccines for coronaviruses before, particularly SARS and MERS. We just haven’t done it yet. We think this is going to be a hard effort.”[/quote]
Nothing in either of those articles says a vaccine is “unlikely to work.”
There is a lot of concern that finding a vaccine will take more time than we would like. There is concern that it’ll have to be taken annually or that it will not be 100% effective.
There is some concern that we won’t find one. That is possible. But likely? If anyone is saying that it’s likely that we won’t find one that works (and I haven’t read anyone saying that) they’re in the minority.[/quote]
I don’t understand. what standard are you using? We have never created a Coronavirus vaccine that is acceptable after 30+ years of trying. We have new, poorly understood, highly contagious virus which is able to spread without and even before symptoms. We have an virus that seems to prey upon the sick and infirm, who are the most difficult to defend.
Please define ‘unlikely to work’ because ‘Thing we have never done before in a time frame we have never accomplished’ seems to qualify to me.
The FDA just announced that any approved vaccine would need to be 50% effect or better to be approved in full phase III clinical trials. This is inline with our best flu vaccines, and only means 1/2 people are protected/ symptoms reduced per vaccination. Flu season is an annual thing that claims tens of thousands of lives annually, and we can’t stop it. I need to know what you mean by ‘work’ because I think most people erroneously think it means ‘stop the spread of COVID-19’. Even the experts are not holding out for that.
