zk: My original thread ended with a rhetorical question. You kinda missed that and jumped into the weeds.
Moving on, another way to think about contact tracing is going back to the venn diagram concept.
Let’s suppose you pick a random person in NY who doesn’t know he is a carrier. (NY only because the high density helps illustrate my point.) That person quarantines in his house with his family. Then he goes to market for food. Next Home Depot, gas, drug store, walk in park. Repeat a couple times a week.
Now if you track his contacts and then everyone else in his apartment building, they are going to be shopping at very close by shops following a similar exposure path. Now imagine this as venn diagram.
See how in no time, everyone will have crossed paths with our infected guy. And how the next ‘logical’ step is to have all those people now quarantine.
This again will lead to work stoppage and lumbering economy.
Can we agree on the future data collected by contact tracing is going to be a can of worms? ( hence my original rhetorical question )
People cannot be quarantined until there is a treatment or vaccine. People will accept some level of risk. Let people choose their own level of risk.
Can we also agree that the current data attributing a death from Covid excluding any pre-existing terminal condition (hospice)skews data.
Wouldn’t a more accurate data set include patient other conditions?