yes that is a much better precursor. The enxt step would be to look at the individual houses that arent selling to see if they are overpriced relative to prior sales, whether they are priced under 800K and whether they sitting in the shadow of I-5. If they are fairly priced, at the prices where the action is and in decent locations it would bode well for declines. Of course that would be for that area and not necessarily the SW Carlsbad I beleive she prefers. Nonetheless, that is indeed how its done.