The only ones I see as a possibility are, but not in the context they put them especially with the occasional next leading question:
#12 We are headed eventually for a bond market dislocation where nominal interest rates will shoot up into the double digits
#13 Real interest rates will be even higher (the nominal rate minus negative inflation)
#15 Government spending (all levels) will be slashed, with loss of entitlements and inability to maintain infrastructure
#16 Finance rules will be changed at will and changes applied retroactively (eg short selling will be banned, loans will be called in at some point)
#19 People with essentially no purchasing power will be living in a pay-as-you-go world
#23 The US dollar will continue to rise for quite a while on a flight to safety and as dollar-denominated debt deflates
But here’s where I don’t like the way they wrote it, it’s kinda like how some polls are skewed with the way they ask a question. A lot of them are two parters, like #23, it is written simply but #24 is written so as if you believe #23 is true, then #24 must be. #19 is vauge, do they mean all people? If you put the word “some” in front of the sentence, I’d say it is true now, it wont apply to all. It has some classic, associative theorum (or bolean) that mimmic timeshare salespeople. An apple is red, an apple tastes good, therefore we will all live in grass huts and eat rocks.
Look at #16, sure part a and b make sense, but c is ridiculous, indulge me, lets break it down, yes financial rules will be changed at will. We see that now, I’m still there. Short selling will be banned, o.k., it has for certain industries and for periods of time, I’m still there. But then C, loans will be called in at some point. You lost me right there, which loans? How many? Maybe some? Not all. Do they mean all home loans? Loans and interest have existed since the first trading occured when someone traded a goat for some corn, banking has been around since the templars, these things aren’t going away.
They need to soften #15, government spending will go down, some entitlemens will be lost or reduced and some infrastructure will be “maintenance deferred” The way they have it, even mexico isn’t in that kinda shape.
Classic timeshare sales, you like vacations (o.k), vacations prices go up on average (I’m listening), therefore, give me 50 grand….ooops, you lost me
right there.
