[quote=svelte][quote=flu]If history is going to be a guide for how the Coronavirus can play out , skip the normal social and cyclical economic models that people were using to predict a recession. This pandemic event is nothing like we’ve seen in modern times.
A closer model would be the one time pandemic event in 1918 also known as the Spanish Flu. That seems to be a more appropriate model of how things can play out. We haven’t had any other major pandemic event since then.
The majority of the death from that was surprise surprise from a cytokine storm.
The killer wasn’t the first wave of that flu. The killer was the second wave that occurred in August that was a deadlier mutation of the first that affected those that weren’t infected by the first wave had not built immunity to the second mutated flu. Which begs the question , if this Coronavirus is bad now, what’s a mutated version going to look like.[/quote]
You went down the same thought process I did flu in that the 1918 epidemic is the closest equivalent. I have actually followed that event quite a bit because my grandmother’s brother died from the 1918 strain while living in Tulsa, Oklahoma. He was a divorced 38 year old male with one child. I have inherited some of his belongings and they are fascinating.
In any case, no telling whether there will be a mutated version, and we certainly know a helluva lot more about medicine 100 years later. But I’m with you that this isn’t going to be a one month thing. It will likely affect us all into and possibly through the summer.
We had a discussion about this topic around the kitchen island last night and we all agreed with that time frame.[/quote]
So far, all the data seems to suggest that kids are spared from this virus. Unlike normal flu, where the hardest hit are usually the elderly and the youngest in a U shape, the left side of the U is mysteriously absent this time. Still, they can be carriers.
I don’t have a problem with people who are ocd about hygiene. Better than the slobs that use their cell phones in the bathroom and leave without washing their hands. Never borrow someone else’s cell phone. Gross.
