[quote=spdrun]Usually a serious crash/recession/correction is preceded by volatility. Guess what an 850 pt roller-coaster ride is? Also, the yield curve is inverting again… :D[/quote]
Interesting. Just curious. given your track record of forward looking predictions and being able to accurately time the markets, how many times have you been actually correct? It’s an honest self assessment. Wouldn’t you have just been better off with a slow drip strategy? I mean, normally someone who hits it big with a single hand /single guess win (like on blackjack) usually quits playing because they know the longer they play the greater the chances they will be wrong … But you keep trying to guess exactly when the market will tank so you capitalize on it. If this was a blackjack table, you’re still playing trying to get that winning hand…. So either (1) you haven’t got your large winning hand yet or (2) you have a pretty big gambling problem and you don’t know when to quit.
That’s why I’m curious why you always want to be correct in predicting a downturn, if you have already scored big on one. It just doesn’t seem to make logical sense.
Or a different analogy.. Youre thinking the next time for roulette it will be black, because it’s been red for a very long time. But how many times have you already betted on black in the past, but it still kept coming back red, and given the wrong outcomes in those times bets, how correct do you need to be on a one hand bet to make up for all the other bets that kept coming back red when you bet on black?
