[quote=spdrun]Benford’s Law depends on the initial data set. Let’s say we have a set of states with 6,000,000 voters that tend to vote close to 50/50. Would their results follow Benford’s Law, or would 2 and 3 be the most common (likely only) first digits, without fraud?[/quote]
Yes, but you don’t have that. The data seemed to come in low level within a county. And, as presented, Trump and the third and fourth and even fifth place followed Benford’s Law.
So the race was close and Trump’s numbers followed Benford’s law but Biden’s didn’t, in the data I saw.
After some reading, it seems that using the second digit avoids the problem you mention.
