Since I don’t have data between 50s and 70s, I can confirm my suspicion, but I think that between 68 and 73, the month of inventory probably went down and people might think things are finally picking back up, only to have it crash again around 1973. There’s no way for us to know until we past it. But anyways, you seem to have your mind set that you can do what no one else can claim they could do before, so good luck to you.
greekfire, I vote for #4. Whether we’ll see it in dollar amount or rapid inflation or combination of both, no one knows. But I’m pretty sure we have to revert back to historical mean. The higher you over shoot, the higher the chances of you under shoot on the way back down.