[quote=sdduuuude][quote=zk][quote=sdduuuude]In the US today, of the 3916 active cases, only 12 are serious or critical. Seems like that is a lower percentage than it was a couple days ago but I don’t really remember. It is much lower than Italy’s 8%.
Things are looking genuinely exponential, though. Maybe we’ll see in the data effects of this weekends shutdowns around the 27th or so.
That’s the number of confirmed, tested cases (over 5,000 now). Until tests are way, way, WAY easier to get, we won’t know what’s happening. We really have no idea how many cases there are.
Yes, but we do know that the people who are tested are the worst off so if the critical cases-to-total cases ratio is down, that is even better news, given limited testing.[/quote]
Right now the death rate in the U.S. is 1.6%. So it could be cut by 80% (to 0.32%) and still be more than three times deadlier than the flu.
Besides which, a lot of people with serious symptoms still can’t get tests unless they’ve traveled to particular countries.
Most importantly, if we don’t test more widely, the spread is much harder to stop.
