NSR you are correct, and no argument as the math supports your post as of today. I am not as centric on myself surviving though. I have the resources and have prepped sufficiently to give my family and I a better chance then most. It is the disruption to everyday life and our functional society that I don’t want to have to endure. I would much rather see our society burdened with inconveniences now that could very well help prevent a larger outbreak or at least reduce the chances, then later.
It is kind of a no win game. Implementing things like travel bans and such seems quite archiac and can easily be painted as ineffective. Yet to argue that they do not help in any way, shape or form seems be incorrect in my opinion. Would they be considered an over reaction? Yes. Are they really an over reaction? Maybe, in fact probably. Would they reduce the chances of wider spreading? Perhaps but they definitely would not increase the chances.
It is certainly new ground for western society. As a technological culture we have faith that we can overcome pretty much everything. Maybe the vaccine is already there as I type.
So my post is not a fear of me catching it, it is more of a fear from an epidemiology standpoint. (sorry if I butchered the spelling)