If newcomers can’t find housing in SD County that they can afford and is near enough to their prospective jobs, then they simply won’t come … plain and simple. Or they will move into Riv County and attempt to commute to SD County every day.
There are plenty of units (both SFR and multifamily) to choose to rent or buy in SD.
We don’t “owe” newcomers (or anyone else, for that matter) “new construction” to live in.
If you don’t build ’em, they won’t come. Or if they do come anyway, they can rent or buy what is on offer. After perusing the housing market here, if renting/buying what is actually on offer in their price range is too distasteful to newcomers, then they won’t come.
We have had more than enough people in SD County since 1992. I know this might be a bit of a stretch for some here to believe, but it’s really okay if SD County doesn’t grow … or even loses population.
“Population forecasts” don’t mean jack sh!t if a jurisdiction doesn’t have enough housing for newcomers. Or if it DOES but what is on offer is too expensive or too “distasteful” for the price in the minds of prospective “newcomers.”
Why is it that the citizens and leaders of Bay Area counties (as well as the County of Los Angeles) don’t seem to have a problem saying, “enough is enough?” These jurisdictions don’t feel a need to cut off the top of every . single . hilltop only to throw up hundreds or thousands more crapshacks. Ask yourselves why SD County leaders and its citizens feel we should continually do this.