I note a comment on this page where someone says he has been predicting this recession for some time now.
When exactly is it going to hit?
Timing of a prediction is important. You can’t say “a recession is coming” for 5 years, then claim success when it hits in the 6th year.
I’m not saying I disagree with the article, but I am interested in the timing of his expectations. If the recession is suppoed to hit in late 2007, then we may have many months of healthy stock market before the pre-recession bear hits. If it is coming in early 2007, maybe not.
