I don’t expect the option ARM holders to default when the loans reset to a higher interest rates. I expect them to default when the LTV caps are reached AND the notes have to be fully amortized at a higher rate. We’ll see real pain when the payments double. They won’t be able to refinance because the houses won’t appraise and they won’t be able to sell because they’ll be seriously under water. 2008 is when that’ll start to happen.
